Five tracks go racing in Britain and Ireland on Wednesday, from jumps cards at Worcester and Sedgefield to the flat at Nottingham and Navan, before Kempton’s evening fixture. Andrew Mount has horses to watch at both Worcester and Kempton, taking a pair of runners out of two races.
1.35 Worcester – Draco Malfoy (1.5pt win – 100/30 bet365, 3/1 generally)
Draco Malfoy won twice over hurdles last term, including on his reappearance, and first time out could be when to catch him now that he makes his debut over fences. The Kim Bailey and Mat Nicholls-trained six-year-old has done his winning right-handed on officially soft ground but the ground was good not soft according to Proform’s going adjustment when he made a winning comeback at Huntingdon in December and his subsequent runner-up effort at Doncaster on good ground suggests that the left-handed track won’t trouble him.
His in-form yard has a great record with break-returners at this time of year and, since 2020, if we just backed their runners in October to December, who had been absent for 150 days or longer, we’d have found 54 winners from 210 bets (25.7% strike-rate) for a profit of £63.58 to a £1 level stake at SP (+£102.11 at Betfair SP after 2% commission, expected wins = 36.17, A/E = 1.49).
5.05 Nottingham – Drish Samphire (0.5pt e/w – 12/1 generally with the firms paying five places)
Drish Samphire got off the mark when 50-1 for a classified contest at Thirsk on her penultimate start and she had excuses when a 16-1 ninth of 16 at Redcar next time. That was a rare Redcar meeting where the high draws were favoured on the straight course, with the first three finishers drawn 16, 14 and 15 of 16 once adjusted for the non-runners. Thirteen horses from that race have run since, recording next time out figures of 2110813083520 (3-13) for a profit of £10.00 to a £1 level stake at SP (+£15.29 at Betfair SP after 2% commission).
Lawrence Mullaney’s four-year-old emerged third best of the centre group and finished four lengths ahead of Rinky Tinky Tinky in tenth place who landed her next two starts at 16-1 and 11-1. Her stall 10 draw looks fine today – she’s not far from likely pace angle Imagine That (stall 7) and she’s likely to be finishing to good effect.
Andrew Mount’s Best Bets Today
1.35 Worcester – Draco Malfoy (1.5pt win – 100/30 bet365, 3/1 generally)
5.05 Nottingham – Drish Samphire (0.5pt e/w – 12/1 generally with the firms paying five places)
FAQs: Today’s Racing Tips
Which racecourses run on Wednesday 7 October? Nottingham, Worcester, Sedgefield, Kempton & Navan.
Who is Andrew Mount? Andrew Mount is a professional tipster with over a decade of experience following UK and Irish racing. He combines form study, market moves and trainer intelligence to identify value bets each day, and shares his tips daily on X as @TrendHorses.
When was today’s article published? Today’s article was published at 7.40am on Wednesday 7th October