Andrew takes a look at the stats and trends that matter for Saturday’s televised action at Ascot and Newmarket.
12.25 Newmarket – British EBF Premier Fillies’ Handicap (Class 2)
Finishing position last time out
Five of the nine previous winners of this 1m2f fillies’ handicap had landed their prep race (+£16.50 to a £1 level stake at SP), the otherfour had also finished in the top six.
Last time out speed
This has been a good pointer, with five of the nine winners ranked first or second on Proform’s last time out speed figures. Backing all 18 qualifiers returned a profit of £19.50 at SP…
…this angle would have seen us through to the next leg of the Placepot in three of the four blank years, with 10-1 shot Hamley, one of two qualifiers in 2018, just missing out on third place by a head.
1.00 Newmarket – £200,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes (Class 2)
Last time out speed
This 7f contest has also been a good race for last time out speed, with those ranked top (or joint-top) on Proform’s figures landing five of the past ten renewals…
1.35 Newmarket – BetMGM Sun Chariot Stakes (Group 1)
Running style
Four winners made all (L for led in the table below, five more were prominent (P) throughout, and only one of the 43 runners ridden patiently (H for held up) was successful…
1.50 Ascot – BetMGM Rous Stakes (Listed Race)
Prep race
Newbury’s World Trophy has been a great pointer to this race, with eight of the last 12 winners lining up in that Group 3 contest. Backing all 27 qualifiers returned a profit of £47.88 to a £1 level stake at SP…
…those who were favourite in that race had form figures of 12111 (4-5), with the sole beaten horse (3-1 shot Mr Lupton in 2018) trading at 1.10 in running. This year’s Newbury favourite Starlust isn’t entered but several beaten horses are including the Clive Cox-trained Redorange
2.25 Ascot – BetMGM Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3)
Running style
Pace has been crucial in this 1m4f contest, with 13 of the last 14 winners making the running or racing prominently…
…hold-up horses were just one from 52.
Pace rank
All 14 winners were in the top four on Proform’s pace rankings, with seven coming out on top (+£41.00 at SP)…
3.35 Ascot – BetMGM Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap)
Running style
Seven of the last ten winners of this 7f heritage handicap were ridden patiently…
Last time out running style
Eight of the last ten winners were ridden patiently in their prep race…
