Day 4 of the Cheltenham Festival is the big one, featuring the Cheltenham Gold Cup. Dave Young has pulled out the key statistical perspective for the championship race and all others on Cheltenham Friday below.
Triumph Hurdle (1.30pm)
- 14 of the last 14 did NOT wear headgear
- 13 of the last 16 were 13/2 or shorter
- Every winner this century ran inside 55 days of The Festival
Trends Pick – SIR GINO
County Handicap Hurdle (2.10pm)
- 18 of the last 21 were in their first or second season hurdling
- 13 of the last 14 winners did NOT wear headgear
- 8 of the last 9 winners came from Dan Skelton or Willie Mullins
- 11 of the last 17 were Irish Trained
Trends Pick – BIALYSTOK
Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle (2.50pm)
- 17 of the last 19 winners placed top 3 last time out
- 16 of the last 18 were 6 or 7yos
- 16 of the last 19 winners ran in a Graded hurdle last time out
- 16 of the last 18 winners had 3 or more runs over hurdles
Trends Pick – DANCING CITY
Cheltenham Gold Cup
- 23 of the last 24 were 7-9 years old
- 22 of the last 23 did NOT wear headgear
- 20 of the last 23 were 1st or 2nd last time out
- 19 of the last 23 had at least placed at The Festival before
- No winner since 2000 had run in The Cotswold Chase
Trends Pick – GALOPIN DES CHAMPS
Festival Hunters Chase
- Last 9 winners aged 10 or 11
- Only 1 of the last 18 was rated 140+ in their peak as a handicapper
- 14 of the last 16 winners placed at least 3rd last time out
Trends Pick – FROM THE HEART
Mares’ Chase
- 2 from 3 trained by Willie Mullins
- 2 from 3 aged 8
- 3 from 3 had run at a previous Festival
Trends Pick – ALLEGORIE DE VASSY
Martin Pipe Handicap Hurdle
- 13 of the last 15 winners were aged 5 or 6
- 11 of the last 13 winners last raced within 55 days
- 11 of the last 13 winners finished in the top 3 last time out
- 8 of the last 14 winners won last time out
- 13 of the last 15 winners had 8 or fewer runs over hurdles
- 9 of the 17 Gigginstown runners have placed (4 won)
Trends Pick – BETTER DAYS AHEAD
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