Royal Ascot 2022 begins on Tuesday with three Group 1s on the card. The last of these is the St James’s Palace Stakes, run over Ascot’s round mile and consigned to 3yo colts. Coroebus is the star attraction for this year’s race, but who comes out best on the trends? Find out here, and why not also check out LiveScore Bet‘s exclusive Bet £10 – Get £20 Sign-Up Bonus.
ST JAMES’S PALACE STAKES (Ascot, 4:20pm, Tuesday June 14th)
Last Ten Winners
2021 – Poetic Flare (Jim Bolger, Kevin Manning) 7/2F
2020 – Palace Pier (John Gosden, Frankie Dettori) 4/1
2019 – Circus Maximus (Aidan O’Brien, Ryan Moore) 10/1
2018 – Without Parole (John Gosden, Frankie Dettori) 9/4F
2017 – Barney Roy (Richard Hannon, James Doyle) 5/2
2016 – Galileo Gold (Hugo Palmer, Frankie Dettori) 6/1
2015 – Gleneagles (Aidan O’Brien, Ryan Moore) 8/15F
2014 – Kingman (John Gosden, James Doyle) 8/11F
2013 – Dawn Approach (Jim Bolger, Kevin Manning) 5/4F
2012 – Most Improved (Brian Meehan, Kieren Fallon) 9/1
Bet £10 – Get £20 With LiveScore Bet Here
Key Trends
Form: Top 2 Finish Last Time Out (7/10) Three Exceptions All Ran In A Derby On Run Prior
Seven of the last ten winners of the St James’s Palace Stakes finished in the top two on their start prior, and interestingly, the three exceptions all ran in a Derby on their start prior, with Most Improved contesting the Prix Du Jockey Club and both Dawn Approach and Circus Maximus running in the Derby. Therefore a top two finish can be considered an important trend unless a horse is dropping back in trip. Angel Bleu was only third in the Greenham last time out and needs to bounce back from that.
Rating: Officially Rated 109 Or Higher (10/10) Top Official Rating 5/10
The last ten St James’s Palace winners were all rated 109 or higher at the time of their victories. The joint or outright top officially rated horse has won half of the last ten renewals. Both Checkandchallenge (108) and Light Infantry (107) have this statistic to buck.
Experience: Had Between 3 – 8 Previous Runs (10/10) Average 5 Runs Last Ten Years
The last ten winners of the St James’s Palace Stakes had raced between three and eight times prior to their wins. The average amount of runs prior to landing the St James’s Palace Stakes sits somewhere in the middle of this with five runs. Aidan O’Brien’s The Acropolis has raced 11 times so would have this trend to buck.
Bet £10 – Get £20 With LiveScore Bet Here
Class: Previous Group 1 Winner (4/10) Group 1 Placed 7/10
Four of the last ten St James’s Palace winners had already scored at Group 1 level, and, positively for backers of Coroebus, all of those were 2000 Guineas winners. Seven of the last ten winners had placed at Group 1 level in the past and of the three exceptions, two (Without Parole, Palace Pier) had yet to be tried at the level. Richard Hannon’s Lusail was only sixth on his sole Group 1 start to date.
Pedigree: Dam Had Raced Over A Mile Or Further (8/10) Exceptions Both Out Of Unraced Dams
Eight of the last ten St James’s Palace winners were out of dams that had raced over a mile or further. Both of the exceptions were out of unraced dams.
Headgear: Wore Headgear (1/10) Horses That Wore Headgear Are 1-18 In Last Ten Renewals
Circus Maximus had first-time blinkers enlisted when landing the St James’s Palace Stakes, but none of the other nine winners wore headgear. Horses carrying headgear are just 1-18 in the St James’s Palace Stakes in the last ten years and this, therefore, could be a negative for any horse that carries headgear next week.
Bet £10 – Get £20 With LiveScore Bet Here
Trends Outcome
Angel Bleu has raced nine times previously which is a trend to overcome considering that the last ten winners had raced on eight or less occasions prior to their St James’s Palace wins. The only previous Group 1 winner in the field is the favourite COROEBUS, who from a trends perspective looks very difficult to oppose.
Charlie Appleby’s colt is out of First Victory, who raced at up to 1m2f in her brief career on the track, whilst he’s had four runs – just one shy of the winning average of five – prior to this race. Half of the last ten winners were the officially highest rated, something Coroebus is by a significant 7lb, and given his Group 1 win came in the 2000 Guineas, another trends positive, he looks very tough to oppose.
Of the remainder, My Prospero, Maljoom, New Energy and Mighty Ulysees are the only runners to come into this on the back of a top two finish – The Acropolis was down the field in the Prix Du Jockey Club last time, but he falls short on various other trends. There isn’t a great deal trendswise to split the aforementioned quartet, who are all making their first start in Group 1 company, but whichever of the William Haggas duo that makes this lineup would probably be the most interesting in terms of a selection in the betting without the favourite market.
BACK COROEBUS HERE AND GET £20 IN FREE BETS
Bet £10 – Get £20 With LiveScore Bet Here:
New members. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook, placed & settled at 1.5 min odds within 14 days of sign-up. Win part of E/W bets. 2 non-withdrawable £10 Free Bet Tokens: accept in 7 days, valid for 7 days from crediting (ex. E/Ws & Multiples), stakes not returned. Click here for Rules & Exclusions.
**UK and Irish horse racing win/each-way bets placed after 9am on race day. Max enhancement £50k/day. Rules and exclusions apply. Click here for Rules & Exclusions. Bet Responsibly. GambleAware.org