The second day of the Grand National Festival contains more Grade 1 action. Just like with Day One, Dave Young has analysed every race’s trends to pick out some fitting winners.
Bookmakers not found
Claim Bonus 
Signup Offer Bet £10 Get £40 In Free Bets
Live streaming available on their platform
Odds are competitive
Profit boost bonuses
Claim Bonus
Excellent Review
Mildmay Novices Chase
- ALL of the last 10 winners raced at Cheltenham last time out
- ALL of the last 10 winners finished first or second last time out
- ALL of the last 10 winners were priced 11/2 or shorter (9 of the those were 4/1 or shorter)
- ALL of the last 10 winners had posted a 160+ RPR over fences (9 of those were 162+)
- ALL of the last 10 winners had 4+ runs that season (7 of those had 5+)
- 9 of the last 10 winners had won 2+ times that season (6 of those won 3+ times)
- 9 of the last 10 winners recorded their season highest RPR in their last two starts (6 last time out)
- 7 of the last 10 winners had run and won at about 3 miles (2 hadn’t tried the trip and GERRI had won at 2m 7f)
- 7 of the last 10 winners had NOT run at Aintree (the three that had finished top 2 in each try)
- 7 of the last 10 winners either won or were beaten favourite at Cheltenham
- 6 of the last 10 winners were 7yo’s
Shortlist – CORBETTS CROSS
William Hill Handicap Hurdle
- ALL of the last 10 winners had either 2 hurdles wins that season or none at all
- 9 of the last 10 winners had run at about 2m 4f before (8 of those 2+ times)
- 8 of the last 10 winners posted their season peak RPR within their last 2 runs
- 8 of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out (none in last 7)
- 7 of the last 10 winners had won at about 2m 4f
- 7 of the last 10 winners were aged 5 or 6
- 6 of the last 10 winners were a double-figure price
- 6 of the last 10 winners posted a season peak RPR in the 130’s
- 6 of the last 10 winners did NOT run at Cheltenham
Shortlist – INTHEWATERSIDE
Top Novices Hurdle
- 8 of the last 10 winners had won at least 2 races that season (7 or those won exactly 2)
- 8 of the last 10 winners recorded ALL of their wins at about 2 miles
- 8 of the last 10 winners were 6yo’s (5&7 the other two)
- 8 of the last 10 winners posted their highest RPR last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran at Cheltenham last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out
- 7 of the last 10 winners had record an RPR of 146+ (6 were 149+ and other three were; 133,135,136)
Shortlist – FIREFOX
Melling Chase
- ALL of the last 10 winners had at least 3 runs that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners had run at about 2m 4f (8 of those had won)
- 9 of the last 10 winners had achieved an RPR of 166+ that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners were having their first season in open chase company (other 2 were MIN who was neck second first time in the race and FAKIR D’OUDARIES who won the year prior)
- 8 of the last 10 winners recorded their career highest RPR that season (6 on their last start)
- 8 of the last 10 winners were having their first WIN at Aintree (7 of those 8 had previously run there)
- 8 of the last 10 winners raced at Cheltenham last time out (not the last two)
- 7 of the last 10 winners had won 2+ races that season
Shortlist – JONBON & PROTEKTORAT
Topham Chase
- ALL of the last 10 winners were priced 15/2 or bigger (6 were double figures)
- 9 of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out (last years winner did)
- 9 of the last 10 winners had at 4+ runs this season (all of the last 9)
- 8 of the last 10 winners raced 33 days ago or less
- 8 of the last 10 winners had posted an RPR of 143+ that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners had won at about 2m 5f
- 6 of the last 10 winners started their careers in France
- 6 of the last 10 were having their first run over ‘National’ fences
- 6 of the last 10 winners posted their season peak RPR last time out
Shortlist – JAMES DU BERLAIS, FLEGMATIK & LIFE IN THE PARK
Sefton Novices Hurdle
- 9 of the last 10 winners either did NOT run at Cheltenham or if they did were beaten
- 9 of the last 10 winners had been beaten that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners had raced in March but only 4 at Cheltenham
- 8 of the last 10 winners had NOT won at about 3m (the 2 that did, had run 2+ times at the trip)
- 8 of the last 10 winners had 3+ runs that season and 2+ wins (the other two raced twice with 1 win each)
- 8 of the last 10 winners were 6yo’s (the other two were 7yo’s)
- 7 of the last 10 winners posted their best RPR last time out (the other 3 did it on their penultimate start)
- 6 of the last 10 winners posted an RPR of 149+ (the other 4 were 139 or lower)
Shortlist – THE JUKEBOX MAN
Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle
- ALL of the last 10 winners had NOT already won at Aintree (only 3 had run there)
- 9 of the last 10 winners did NOT record their season peak RPR last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners had last run 35 days ago or less (all of the last 7)
- 8 of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners did NOT run at Cheltenham
- 7 of the last 10 winners have been double-figure prices
- 7 of the last 10 winners had run 4 or more times that season
Shortlist – BALLEE & PARTY VIBES
Bookmakers not found
Claim Bonus Signup Offer Bet £10 Get £40 In Free Bets
Live streaming available on their platform
Odds are competitive
Profit boost bonuses
Claim Bonus
Excellent Review
Grand National Trends 2024 – All the vital stats for Aintree marathon
There have been many changes to the Grand National over many years, but this renewal will see the field size cut from 40 to 34 which shouldn’t have a huge impact in finding the winner but both Auroras Encore (2013) & Minella Times (2021) were number 35 winners. I’m going to look at the last…
Mon 08 Apr 2024Looking For More Racing Info? Check Out Our Racecards & Top Tips Sections
Make sure you’re following us on all our social media platforms to keep up to date with all the latest Cheltenham Festival news and the best tips.