Six meetings run across Britain and Ireland on Monday 12 October: Worcester over fences, Musselburgh, Yarmouth and Roscommon on turf, and Kempton and Newcastle under lights. We’ve picked out the four best races of the day and pulled the stats that matter before you bet.

The biggest prize is Kempton’s Class 2 fillies’ novice at 6.15pm (£15,462 to the winner). The going is Good at Worcester, Good To Soft at Musselburgh, Yielding To Soft at Roscommon and Standard To Slow at Kempton.

Key Race Schedule For Monday 12th October

Time	Course	Race	Grade	Distance	Runners
3.07pm	Worcester	Paul Ferguson’s Jumpers To Follow Novices’ Chase	Class 3	2m7f	4
3.47pm	Musselburgh	British Stallion Stud EBF Fillies’ Handicap	Class 3	7f 15y	7
4.00pm	Roscommon	Roscommon Rated Race	Rated	1m2f 95y	7
6.15pm	Kempton	Juddmonte EBF Fillies’ Restricted Novice Stakes	Class 2	1m	10

3.07pm Worcester – Paul Ferguson’s Jumpers To Follow Novices’ Chase (Class 3)

Just four go to post for this 2m7f novice chase on Good ground. The ratings point one way.

Class edge: Potters Charm is rated 153, 20lb clear of Jupiter Des Mottes (133) and Glen To Glen (132).
Stable in form: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies are 9 from 24 (38%) in the last 14 days, and Sam Twiston-Davies is 8 from 26 (31%).
Fitness question: Potters Charm has been off 186 days and Jupiter Des Mottes 171 days. Glen To Glen ran just two days ago.
Stable switch: Jupiter Des Mottes makes his Dan Skelton debut after a wind operation, following back-to-back hurdle wins in April.

15:07 Worcester

Good

Paul Ferguson’s Jumpers To Follow Novices’ Chase (GBB Race)

Chase Turf
Turf
2m 7f 0y
Class 3
3 runners
Win time: 6m 15s

First Prize: £9,803
2nd: £4,516
3rd: £2,257
4th: £1,130

1st 2 11 tips

Potters Charm OUR TIP W: 11st 2lb Age: 7 yo Gelding

1/5 (Won)

J: Sam Twiston-Davies T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies

OR: 153 RPR: — Form: 34115-

GG Racing Score 75% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 3.3/10 Trainer 6.7/10 Course 10/10 Distance 5/10

2nd 1

Jupiter Des Mottes W: 11st 2lb Age: 7 yo Gelding

3/1

J: Harry Skelton T: Dan Skelton

OR: 133 RPR: 111 Form: /9P11-

GG Racing Score 70% Ability 5/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 10/10 Course — Distance 5/10

3rd 3

Vicomte Le Brave W: 11st 2lb Age: 7 yo Gelding

66/1

J: Tom Cannon T: Cynthia Woods

OR: — RPR: — Form: —

GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 0/10 Course — Distance —

Glen To Glen W: 10st 11lb Age: 4 yo Gelding

6/1

J: Kielan Woods T: Nick Scholfield

OR: 132 RPR: 143 Form: -5O138

GG Racing Score 20% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 6.7/10 Trainer 3.3/10 Course 0/10 Distance —

Non-runners

Glen To Glen

+o+e Betting Returns

	Payout
Exacta	£1.20
Straight Forecast	£1.37
Trifecta	£1.20

Selections

D Express:

Daily Mail:

Daily Mirror:

Daily Record:

POSTDATA:

Glen To Glen

SPOTLIGHT:

Potters Charm

TOPSPEED:

Glen To Glen

Telegraph:

The Guardian:

The Star:

The Sun:

The Times:

WEST COUNTRY:

3.47pm Musselburgh – British Stallion Stud EBF Fillies’ Handicap (Class 3)

A seven-runner fillies’ handicap over 7f on Good To Soft ground. Four of the seven are three-year-olds.

Only C&D winner: Homestrait (Brian Ellison) is the one runner to have won over course and distance. She’s rated 79 and ran 13 days ago.
Burke double-handed: K R Burke runs Samra Green and Aspiral, both carrying top course trainer and jockey flags.
Hot jockey: Shane Gray, on Ice Sovereigns, is 6 from 18 (33%) in the last 14 days.
Quick turnaround: Dandy Magic (Jim Goldie) runs again just four days after her last start, off a mark of 77.

15:47 Musselburgh

Good To Soft

British Stallion Stud EBF Fillies’ Handicap

Flat Turf
Turf
0m 7f 15y
Class 3
7 runners
Win time: 1m 27s

First Prize: £13,085
2nd: £6,140
3rd: £3,068
4th: £1,535
5th: £765

1st 5 (7)

Ice Sovereigns W: 9st 4lb Age: 3 yo Filly

12/1 (Won)

J: Shane Gray T: Richard & Peter Fahey

OR: 82 RPR: 89 Form: 110-08

GG Racing Score 19% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 2.5/10 Trainer 0/10 Course 3.8/10 Distance 5/10

2nd 2 (4) 1 tip

Carnival Of Light W: 9st 7lb Age: 4 yo Filly

7/2

J: Sam James T: Charlie Johnston

OR: 83 RPR: 92 Form: 441100

GG Racing Score 52% Ability 3.3/10 Draw — Jockey 8.3/10 Trainer 3.3/10 Course — Distance 7.5/10

3rd 7 (3) 6 tips

Dandy Magic OUR TIP W: 9st 1lb Age: 4 yo Filly

15/8

J: Paul Mulrennan T: Jim Goldie

OR: 77 RPR: 96 Form: 313245

GG Racing Score 52% Ability 9.2/10 Draw — Jockey 2.5/10 Trainer 6.7/10 Course 3.8/10 Distance 0/10

4th 6 (5) 4 tips

Homestrait W: 9st 1lb Age: 3 yo Filly

100/30

J: Billy Garritty T: Brian Ellison

OR: 79 RPR: 96 Form: 461238

GG Racing Score 74% Ability 9.2/10 Draw — Jockey 6.7/10 Trainer 1.7/10 Course 10/10 Distance 7.5/10

5th 3 (1) 1 tip

Samra Green W: 9st 7lb Age: 3 yo Filly

13/2

J: Clifford Lee T: K R Burke

OR: 85 RPR: 94 Form: 17-20

GG Racing Score 58% Ability 6.7/10 Draw — Jockey 5/10 Trainer 9.2/10 Course 3.8/10 Distance 3.3/10

6th 4 (6) 1 tip

Aspiral W: 9st 6lb Age: 3 yo Filly

18/1

J: Pierre-Louis Jamin T: K R Burke

OR: 84 RPR: 92 Form: 1318-0

GG Racing Score 72% Ability 3.3/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 9.2/10 Course — Distance 10/10

7th 1 (2)

Brazilian Rose W: 9st 12lb Age: 5 yo Filly

11/1

J: David Allan T: Rebecca Menzies

OR: 88 RPR: 92 Form: 569070

GG Racing Score 29% Ability 3.3/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 5/10 Course 3.8/10 Distance 1.7/10

+o+e Betting Returns

	Payout
Exacta	£60.50
Straight Forecast	£53.81
Trifecta	£139.50

Selections

D Express:

Daily Mail:

Daily Mirror:

Daily Record:

POSTDATA:

RP RATINGS:

SPOTLIGHT:

TOPSPEED:

Telegraph:

The Guardian:

The Star:

The Sun:

The Times:

4.00pm Roscommon – Roscommon Rated Race

A seven-runner rated race over 1m2f 95y on Yielding To Soft ground. Five of the seven are three-year-olds.

Joint top-rated: Back Straight and Minella Rockett are both rated 90. Minella Rockett has won two of his last three (form -45112).
Top rider booked: Colin Keane rides Back Straight for M D O’Callaghan. The colt ran seven days ago (form 2-17).
Bolger angle: J S Bolger is 2 from 8 (25%) in the last 14 days and Seamie Heffernan 4 from 20 (20%). Their Neo Smart is rated just 67, though.
Trainer-rider: Andrew Slattery trains and rides God Of Power. As a jockey he’s 6 from 23 (26%) in the last 14 days.

16:00 Roscommon

Yielding To Soft

Roscommon Rated Race

Flat Turf
Turf
1m 2f 95y
5 runners
Win time: 2m 23s

First Prize: €11,780
2nd: €3,780
3rd: €1,780
4th: €780
5th: €380
6th: €180

1st 7 (1)

Ryefield Dasher W: 8st 11lb Age: 3 yo Colt

3/1 (Won)

J: Nicola Burns T: Thomas Gibney

OR: 75 RPR: 89 Form: -60531

GG Racing Score 27% Ability 1.7/10 Draw — Jockey 1.7/10 Trainer 3.3/10 Course 5/10 Distance —

2nd 6 (3)

Royal Bones W: 8st 11lb Age: 3 yo Gelding

8/1

J: Shane Foley T: Mrs John Harrington

OR: 74 RPR: 96 Form: 6230

GG Racing Score 62% Ability 8.3/10 Draw — Jockey 6.7/10 Trainer 5/10 Course — Distance 2.5/10

3rd 1 (4) 2 tips

Back Straight OUR TIP W: 9st 12lb Age: 3 yo Colt

9/4

J: Colin Keane T: M D O’Callaghan

OR: 90 RPR: 94 Form: 2-17

GG Racing Score 71% Ability 6.7/10 Draw — Jockey 8.3/10 Trainer 6.7/10 Course — Distance —

4th 2 (6)

Minella Rockett W: 9st 12lb Age: 3 yo Colt

9/4

J: Reese Holohan T: John J Nallen

OR: 90 RPR: 89 Form: -45112

GG Racing Score 37% Ability 1.7/10 Draw — Jockey 3.3/10 Trainer 1.7/10 Course — Distance 10/10

5th 3 (5)

Retracement W: 9st 11lb Age: 5 yo Gelding

13/2

J: Ben Coen T: J P Murtagh

OR: 85 RPR: 91 Form: 0-6740

GG Racing Score 72% Ability 5/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 8.3/10 Course — Distance 7.5/10

4 (7)

God Of Power W: 9st 10lb Age: 3 yo Colt

7/1

J: Andrew Slattery T: Andrew Slattery

OR: 88 RPR: 102 Form: 124320

GG Racing Score 71% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 5/10 Trainer 10/10 Course 5/10 Distance 2.5/10

5 (2)

Neo Smart W: 9st 1lb Age: 5 yo Filly

33/1

J: Seamie Heffernan T: J S Bolger

OR: 67 RPR: 89 Form: 454662

GG Racing Score 18% Ability 1.7/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 0/10 Course 5/10 Distance 2.5/10

Non-runners

God Of Power, Neo Smart

+o+e Betting Returns

	Payout
Exacta	€18.70
Straight Forecast	€24.47
Trifecta	€71.50

Selections

POSTDATA:

God Of Power

RP RATINGS (IRE):

God Of Power

SPOTLIGHT:

Back Straight

TOPSPEED:

God Of Power

The Irish Sun:

Back Straight

6.15pm Kempton – Juddmonte EBF Fillies’ Restricted Novice Stakes (Class 2)

The day’s most valuable race: a ten-runner two-year-old fillies’ novice over a mile, worth £15,462 to the winner.

Form choice: Rhythm Of My Heart has finished second on both starts and is the top-rated runner (79). Hector Crouch rides and is 9 from 38 (24%) in the last 14 days.
Bell in form: Michael Bell is 3 from 12 (25%) in the last 14 days and runs Heavenly Parole (form 82) with Billy Loughnane.
Murphy on a newcomer: Oisin Murphy, 8 from 39 (21%) in the last 14 days, rides debutant Fear The Dark for Oliver Cole.
Headgear: Blue Vixen wears a hood for the first time.

18:15 Kempton

Standard To Slow

Juddmonte EBF Fillies’ Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

Flat AW
Polytrack
1m 0f 0y
Class 2
10 runners
Win time: 1m 39s

First Prize: £15,462
2nd: £7,251
3rd: £3,627
4th: £1,812
5th: £906
6th: £453

1st 10 (3) 12 tips

Rhythm Of My Heart OUR TIP W: 8st 13lb Age: 2 yo Filly

2/11 (Won)

J: Hector Crouch T: David Menuisier

OR: 79 RPR: 98 Form: 22

GG Racing Score 68% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 7.5/10 Trainer 2.2/10 Course 6.3/10 Distance 5/10

2nd 6 (9)

Thespian Queen W: 9st 2lb Age: 2 yo Filly

10/1

J: Charles Bishop T: Eve Johnson Houghton

OR: — RPR: 78 Form: 266

GG Racing Score 61% Ability 8.6/10 Draw — Jockey 1.3/10 Trainer 6.7/10 Course 6.3/10 Distance 5/10

3rd 8 (1) 1 tip

Heavenly Parole W: 8st 13lb Age: 2 yo Filly

12/1

J: Billy Loughnane T: Michael Bell

OR: — RPR: 70 Form: 82

GG Racing Score 74% Ability 7.1/10 Draw — Jockey 6.3/10 Trainer 8.9/10 Course — Distance —

4th 7 (2)

Freshie W: 8st 13lb Age: 2 yo Filly

28/1

J: Joe Leavy T: Roger Teal

OR: — RPR: — Form: —

GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 0/10 Course — Distance —

5th 2 (5)

Fear The Dark W: 9st 2lb Age: 2 yo Filly

11/2

J: Oisin Murphy T: Oliver Cole

OR: — RPR: — Form: —

GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 5.6/10 Course — Distance —

6th 4 (6)

Renascent W: 9st 2lb Age: 2 yo Filly

50/1

J: Finley Marsh T: Richard Hughes

OR: — RPR: 53 Form: 5

GG Racing Score 38% Ability 2.1/10 Draw — Jockey 3.8/10 Trainer 3.3/10 Course 6.3/10 Distance 5/10

7th 1 (8)

Blue Vixen W: 9st 2lb Age: 2 yo Filly

66/1

J: Rossa Ryan T: Alan King

OR: — RPR: 53 Form: 78

GG Racing Score 59% Ability 2.1/10 Draw — Jockey 8.8/10 Trainer 10/10 Course 6.3/10 Distance —

8th 3 (10)

Ortenzian Twilight W: 9st 2lb Age: 2 yo Filly

100/1

J: Jack Mitchell T: Heather Main

OR: — RPR: 60 Form: 8

GG Racing Score 31% Ability 4.3/10 Draw — Jockey 2.5/10 Trainer 1.1/10 Course — Distance —

9th 5 (7)

Sueboys W: 9st 2lb Age: 2 yo Filly

250/1

J: Stevie Donohoe T: Ollie Sangster

OR: — RPR: 45 Form: 08

GG Racing Score 30% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 5/10 Trainer 7.8/10 Course 0/10 Distance 5/10

10th 9 (4)

Mystic Ballistic W: 8st 13lb Age: 2 yo Filly

200/1

J: Ivan Rossi T: Hilal Kobeissi

OR: 48 RPR: 61 Form: 579

GG Racing Score — Ability 5.7/10 Draw — Jockey — Trainer 4.4/10 Course — Distance —

Form

1st 10 (3) 12 tips

Rhythm Of My Heart 12 tips 2 yo Filly · 8st 13lb OUR TIP

J: Hector Crouch T: David Menuisier

OR 79

RPR 98

TS 58

Form 22

Win % 67%

2/11 (Won)

Win: £1.19
Place: £1.02

in touch, headway and ridden over 2f out, sustained duel with runner-up inside final furlong, led towards finish, kept on

2nd 6 (9)

Thespian Queen 2 yo Filly · 9st 2lb

J: Charles Bishop T: Eve Johnson Houghton

OR —

RPR 78

TS 62

Form 266

Win % 7%

10/1

Place: £1.90

in touch, headway over 2f out, led over 1f out, pressed inside final furlong, headed and no extra towards finish

3rd 8 (1) 1 tip

Heavenly Parole 1 tip 2 yo Filly · 8st 13lb

J: Billy Loughnane T: Michael Bell

OR —

RPR 70

TS 30

Form 82

Win % 6%

12/1

Place: £2.10

prominent, led narrowly over 2f out, headed over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong

4th 7 (2)

Freshie 2 yo Filly · 8st 13lb

J: Joe Leavy T: Roger Teal

OR —

RPR —

TS —

Form —

Win % 3%

28/1

in touch, headway on inner over 2f out, weakened over 1f out

5th 2 (5)

Fear The Dark 2 yo Filly · 9st 2lb

J: Oisin Murphy T: Oliver Cole

OR —

RPR —

TS —

Form —

Win % 12%

11/2

dwelt start, towards rear, headway over 3f out, weakened over 1f out

6th 4 (6)

Renascent 2 yo Filly · 9st 2lb

J: Finley Marsh T: Richard Hughes

OR —

RPR 53

TS 13

Form 5

Win % 2%

50/1

in rear, some headway over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong

7th 1 (8)

Blue Vixen 2 yo Filly · 9st 2lb

J: Rossa Ryan T: Alan King

OR —

RPR 53

TS 35

Form 78

Win % 1%

66/1

towards rear, weakened over 1f out

8th 3 (10)

Ortenzian Twilight 2 yo Filly · 9st 2lb

J: Jack Mitchell T: Heather Main

OR —

RPR 60

TS —

Form 8

Win % 1%

100/1

towards rear, weakened over 1f out

9th 5 (7)

Sueboys 2 yo Filly · 9st 2lb

J: Stevie Donohoe T: Ollie Sangster

OR —

RPR 45

TS —

Form 08

Win % 0%

250/1

dwelt start, in rear, weakened inside final furlong

10th 9 (4)

Mystic Ballistic 2 yo Filly · 8st 13lb

J: Ivan Rossi T: Hilal Kobeissi

OR 48

RPR 61

TS —

Form 579

Win % 0%

200/1

led, headed over 2f out, weakened quickly over 1f out

+o+e Betting Returns

	Payout
Exacta	£4.20
Straight Forecast	£4.11
Trifecta	£14.50

Selections

D Express:

Daily Mail:

Daily Mirror:

Daily Record:

NEWMARKET:

POSTDATA:

RP RATINGS:

SPOTLIGHT:

Telegraph:

The Guardian:

The Star:

The Sun:

The Times:

Trainers and jockeys in form

These strike rates cover the last 14 days, and every name has runners in today’s featured races.

Name	Role	Last 14 days	Featured runners today
Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies	Trainer	9/24 (38%)	Potters Charm (3.07pm Worcester)
Michael Bell	Trainer	3/12 (25%)	Heavenly Parole (6.15pm Kempton)
J S Bolger	Trainer	2/8 (25%)	Neo Smart (4.00pm Roscommon)
Shane Gray	Jockey	6/18 (33%)	Ice Sovereigns (3.47pm Musselburgh)
Sam Twiston-Davies	Jockey	8/26 (31%)	Potters Charm (3.07pm Worcester)
Andrew Slattery	Jockey	6/23 (26%)	God Of Power (4.00pm Roscommon)
Hector Crouch	Jockey	9/38 (24%)	Rhythm Of My Heart (6.15pm Kempton)
Oisin Murphy	Jockey	8/39 (21%)	Fear The Dark (6.15pm Kempton)

Key angles

Class standout: Potters Charm is rated 20lb clear at Worcester, for a yard striking at 38%.
Only course-and-distance winner: Homestrait in the 3.47pm at Musselburgh.
First-time headgear: Blue Vixen (hood) in the 6.15pm at Kempton.

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