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Newmarket Preview: Dewhurst Stakes and Cesarewitch Analysis and Selections

Newmarket Preview: Dewhurst Stakes and Cesarewitch Analysis and Selections

Dubai Future Champions Day at Newmarket has two standout races. The Darley Dewhurst Stakes at 3.00pm matches the 2,000 Guineas favourite against the Derby favourite. The Club Godolphin Cesarewitch follows at 3.40pm, with 29 runners over two miles and two furlongs.

Going: Good to firm (GoingStick 7.3). Rain is forecast, so it could ride closer to good by post time. Check the going update on Saturday morning.

TimeRaceRunners
1.15pmDarley Stakes (Group 3)5
1.50pmZetland Stakes (Group 3)6
2.25pmAutumn Stakes (Group 3)7
3.00pmDewhurst Stakes (Group 1, 7f)5
3.40pmCesarewitch (Heritage Handicap, 2m2f)29
4.15pmMaiden Fillies’ Stakes7
4.50pmNursery Handicap9

Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1, 7f), 3.00pm

Only five runners, but it’s the clash of the season so far. Charlie Appleby’s unbeaten Desert Castle, the 2,000 Guineas favourite, takes on Aidan O’Brien’s Darkness Falls, the Derby favourite. The market makes it a two-horse race.

15:00 Newmarket

Good To Firm

Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (No Geldings)

  • Flat Turf
  • Turf
  • 0m 7f 0y
  • Class 1
  • 5 runners
  • First Prize: £283,550
  • 2nd: £107,500
  • 3rd: £53,800
  • 4th: £26,800
  • 5th: £13,450
  • 6th: £6,750
ITV
Newmarket

Runners: 5 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Sunny

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 (5) Darkness Falls uniform Darkness Falls 28 days W: 9st 3lb Age: 2 yo Colt
OR: — RPR: 121 Form: 311
GG Racing Score 49% Ability 7.5/10 Draw — Jockey 5/10 Trainer 1.3/10 Course — Distance 3.3/10
2 (3) Desert Castle uniform Desert Castle 28 days OUR TIP W: 9st 3lb Age: 2 yo Colt
OR: 116 RPR: 123 Form: 11
GG Racing Score 87% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 8.8/10 Course 5/10 Distance 8.3/10
3 (4) Gentle Hurricane uniform Gentle Hurricane 28 days W: 9st 3lb Age: 2 yo Colt
OR: 105 RPR: 110 Form: 124
GG Racing Score 25% Ability 2.5/10 Draw — Jockey 2.5/10 Trainer 5/10 Course — Distance 0/10
4 (1) Great Barrier Reef uniform Great Barrier Reef 42 days W: 9st 3lb Age: 2 yo Colt
OR: — RPR: 116 Form: 1112
GG Racing Score 28% Ability 5/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 1.3/10 Course — Distance —
5 (2) Jassas uniform Jassas 15 days W: 9st 3lb Age: 2 yo Colt
OR: 92 RPR: 103 Form: 151
GG Racing Score 49% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 7.5/10 Trainer 8.8/10 Course — Distance 8.3/10

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

9/4 Darkness Falls, 4/6 Desert Castle, 33/1 Gentle Hurricane, 13/2 Great Barrier Reef, 20/1 Jassas

All carry 9st 3lb. Prices on Thursday 8 October: Desert Castle 10/11, Darkness Falls 15/8, Great Barrier Reef 7/1, Jassas 33/1, Gentle Hurricane 40/1. Check the final market on the day.

The contenders

Desert Castle is a Frankel colt and a full brother to two Group 1 winners. He’s 2 from 2. In the Champagne Stakes at Doncaster, he missed the break and still beat Sergei Diaghilev by three lengths. That performance cut him to around 4/1 for the Guineas. This is his first Group 1. Appleby has won three Dewhursts since 2019, and his juveniles tend to peak at this time of year.

Darkness Falls is a Camelot colt. He won the Golden Fleece at Leopardstown on Irish Champions Weekend by more than four lengths over nine furlongs. He drops two furlongs in trip here, and this is his first run below a mile. The stable reports he has come out of that race well and his work since has been good. With three runs behind him, he has the experience his rival lacks.

Great Barrier Reef won the Coventry at Royal Ascot but lost his unbeaten record last time. He has only sprinted. Moving up to seven furlongs is the question, and the trends are against horses dropping in from 5f or 6f.

Jassas (won a Haydock novice) and Gentle Hurricane need big improvement to win.

  • Favourites have a strong record in the race.
  • Experience counts: City Of Troy was the first twice-raced winner since Shamardal in 2004. That’s a mark against Desert Castle.
  • Shadow Of Light was only the second winner since Mujahid in 1998 to come into the race off a 5f or 6f run, which counts against Great Barrier Reef.

Club Godolphin Cesarewitch (Heritage Handicap, 2m2f), 3.40pm

Twenty-nine runners line up for £175,000, the year’s biggest Flat staying handicap. Beylerbeyi, last year’s winner, heads the market. Irish raiders and hurdlers with a light Flat profile have a strong record in the race.

15:40 Newmarket

Good To Firm

Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)

  • Flat Turf
  • Turf
  • 2m 2f 0y
  • Class 2
  • 29 runners
  • First Prize: £90,195
  • 2nd: £42,298
  • 3rd: £21,158
  • 4th: £10,570
  • 5th: £5,285
  • 6th: £2,643
ITV
Newmarket

Runners: 29 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Sunny

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 (18) Tactician uniform Tactician 49 days W: 9st 12lb Age: 5 yo Colt
OR: 102 RPR: 109 Form: 2166/3
GG Racing Score 51% Ability 5.4/10 Draw — Jockey 7.5/10 Trainer 6.1/10 Course 3.7/10 Distance 2.5/10
2 (22) Beylerbeyi uniform Beylerbeyi 29 days W: 9st 11lb Age: 6 yo Gelding
OR: 101 RPR: 112 Form: 608452
GG Racing Score 76% Ability 7.7/10 Draw — Jockey 9.3/10 Trainer 3.4/10 Course 9.7/10 Distance 8/10
3 (7) Align The Stars uniform Align The Stars 49 days W: 9st 10lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: 100 RPR: 108 Form: 126170
GG Racing Score 44% Ability 3.9/10 Draw — Jockey 8.6/10 Trainer 5/10 Course 0.5/10 Distance —
4 (15) Berkshire Sundance uniform Berkshire Sundance 29 days W: 9st 9lb Age: 6 yo Gelding
OR: 99 RPR: 108 Form: 116826
GG Racing Score 46% Ability 3.9/10 Draw — Jockey 6.8/10 Trainer 6.1/10 Course — Distance 2.5/10
5 (2) Valedictory uniform Valedictory 27 days W: 9st 9lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: 99 RPR: 109 Form: 611571
GG Racing Score 79% Ability 5.4/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 10/10 Course 8.9/10 Distance —
6 (3) Kirchner uniform Kirchner 52 days W: 9st 7lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: 97 RPR: 108 Form: -75216
GG Racing Score 65% Ability 3.9/10 Draw — Jockey 8.9/10 Trainer 9.1/10 Course — Distance —
7 (5) Dawn Rising uniform Dawn Rising 28 days W: 9st 7lb Age: 9 yo Gelding
OR: 97 RPR: 115 Form: 807800
GG Racing Score 67% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 9.6/10 Trainer 7.9/10 Course 2.1/10 Distance 0.8/10
8 (9) Manxman uniform Manxman 32 days W: 9st 7lb Age: 6 yo Gelding
OR: 97 RPR: 105 Form: 003-51
GG Racing Score 49% Ability 1.6/10 Draw — Jockey 5/10 Trainer 7.5/10 Course 3.7/10 Distance 9.8/10
9 (29) Tashkhan uniform Tashkhan 28 days W: 9st 5lb Age: 8 yo Gelding
OR: 95 RPR: 109 Form: 070-09
GG Racing Score 45% Ability 5.4/10 Draw — Jockey 3.4/10 Trainer 1.3/10 Course 5.3/10 Distance 6.3/10
10 (19) Reverend Hubert uniform Reverend Hubert 106 days W: 9st 5lb Age: 8 yo Gelding
OR: 95 RPR: 100 Form: 915-01
GG Racing Score 36% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 4.3/10 Trainer 4.1/10 Course 7.1/10 Distance 6.3/10
11 (23) Cock And Bull uniform Cock And Bull 73 days W: 9st 2lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: 92 RPR: 101 Form: 629-31
GG Racing Score 28% Ability 0.5/10 Draw — Jockey 7.9/10 Trainer 0.5/10 Course — Distance 4.5/10
12 (26) Mountain Road uniform Mountain Road 52 days W: 9st 2lb Age: 7 yo Gelding
OR: 92 RPR: 107 Form: 435132
GG Racing Score 43% Ability 2.7/10 Draw — Jockey 5.7/10 Trainer 2.3/10 Course 8.2/10 Distance —
13 (24) Shrimp Shady uniform Shrimp Shady 52 days W: 9st 1lb Age: 4 yo Colt
OR: 91 RPR: 112 Form: 216120
GG Racing Score 64% Ability 7.7/10 Draw — Jockey 3.4/10 Trainer 6.1/10 Course 5.3/10 Distance 8.5/10
14 (4) Bahadur uniform Bahadur 32 days W: 9st 1lb Age: 4 yo Colt
OR: 91 RPR: 112 Form: 105792
GG Racing Score 62% Ability 7.7/10 Draw — Jockey 6.4/10 Trainer 7.1/10 Course 2.1/10 Distance —
15 (17) Sea Lantern uniform Sea Lantern 23 days W: 8st 13lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: 89 RPR: 112 Form: 31-31
GG Racing Score 62% Ability 7.7/10 Draw — Jockey 8.2/10 Trainer 1.3/10 Course — Distance —
16 (28) Sax Appeal uniform Sax Appeal 14 days W: 8st 12lb Age: 6 yo Gelding
OR: 88 RPR: 108 Form: 533341
GG Racing Score 32% Ability 3.9/10 Draw — Jockey 2.1/10 Trainer 5/10 Course — Distance 0.8/10
17 (20) Dream On Baby uniform Dream On Baby 58 days W: 8st 11lb Age: 6 yo Mare
OR: 87 RPR: 101 Form: 222-31
GG Racing Score 12% Ability 0.5/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 0.5/10 Course — Distance 4.5/10
18 (14) Alphonse Le Grande uniform Alphonse Le Grande 13 days W: 8st 11lb Age: 7 yo Gelding
OR: 87 RPR: 110 Form: -00540
GG Racing Score 68% Ability 6.3/10 Draw — Jockey 6.1/10 Trainer 6.8/10 Course 6.3/10 Distance 9/10
19 (12) Pole Star uniform Pole Star 28 days W: 8st 11lb Age: 4 yo Colt
OR: 87 RPR: 112 Form: 095331
GG Racing Score 47% Ability 7.7/10 Draw — Jockey 5/10 Trainer 5/10 Course 0.5/10 Distance 2.5/10
20 (10) Highwind uniform Highwind 24 days W: 8st 9lb Age: 6 yo Gelding
OR: 85 RPR: 105 Form: 4-6453
GG Racing Score 46% Ability 1.6/10 Draw — Jockey 7.1/10 Trainer 8.2/10 Course — Distance 4.5/10
21 (6) Naval Tribute uniform Naval Tribute 35 days W: 8st 9lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: 85 RPR: 113 Form: 171211
GG Racing Score 75% Ability 9.1/10 Draw — Jockey 2.5/10 Trainer 9.1/10 Course — Distance —
22 (1) High Fibre uniform High Fibre 34 days W: 8st 8lb Age: 7 yo Gelding
OR: 84 RPR: 112 Form: 06/312
GG Racing Score 78% Ability 7.7/10 Draw — Jockey 5/10 Trainer 9.1/10 Course 9.7/10 Distance —
23 (21) Percy Shelley uniform Percy Shelley 21 days W: 8st 8lb Age: 7 yo Gelding
OR: 84 RPR: 113 Form: -46242
GG Racing Score 51% Ability 9.1/10 Draw — Jockey 0.4/10 Trainer 9.1/10 Course 0.5/10 Distance 2.5/10
24 (25) Letsbefrank uniform Letsbefrank 55 days W: 8st 6lb Age: 6 yo Gelding
OR: 82 RPR: 106 Form: -11361
GG Racing Score 38% Ability 2.1/10 Draw — Jockey 2.9/10 Trainer 2.3/10 Course — Distance 9.8/10
25 (11) Gooloogong uniform Gooloogong 21 days W: 8st 6lb Age: 6 yo Colt
OR: 82 RPR: 114 Form: 146315
GG Racing Score 56% Ability 9.6/10 Draw — Jockey 1.8/10 Trainer 0/10 Course 5.3/10 Distance 7.3/10
26 (16) Premiere Ligne uniform Premiere Ligne 21 days W: 8st 5lb Age: 7 yo Gelding
OR: 81 RPR: 107 Form: 967651
GG Racing Score 42% Ability 2.7/10 Draw — Jockey 1.4/10 Trainer 2.9/10 Course 8.2/10 Distance 7.3/10
27 (13) Wahraan uniform Wahraan 28 days W: 8st 4lb Age: 8 yo Gelding
OR: 80 RPR: 108 Form: 640526
GG Racing Score 38% Ability 3.9/10 Draw — Jockey 0.7/10 Trainer 1.8/10 Course 7.1/10 Distance 5.5/10
28 (8) Appier uniform Appier 21 days W: 8st 3lb Age: 7 yo Gelding
OR: 79 RPR: 110 Form: 061346
GG Racing Score 45% Ability 6.3/10 Draw — Jockey 3.9/10 Trainer 4.1/10 Course 3.7/10 Distance 2.5/10
29 (27) Vaguely Royal uniform Vaguely Royal 8 days W: 8st 2lb Age: 6 yo Gelding
OR: 78 RPR: 103 Form: 361165
GG Racing Score 15% Ability 1.1/10 Draw — Jockey 1.1/10 Trainer 3.4/10 Course 2.1/10 Distance 0/10

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

Tactician, Beylerbeyi, Align The Stars, Berkshire Sundance, Valedictory, Kirchner, Dawn Rising, Manxman, Tashkhan, Reverend Hubert, Cock And Bull, Mountain Road, Shrimp Shady, Bahadur, Sea Lantern, Sax Appeal, Dream On Baby, Alphonse Le Grande, Pole Star, Highwind, Naval Tribute, High Fibre, Percy Shelley, Letsbefrank, Gooloogong, Premiere Ligne, Wahraan, Appier, Vaguely Royal

Early-week prices ranged from 9/2 (Beylerbeyi) to 16/1 (Cock And Bull, Dawn Rising, Reverend Hubert). Check the final market on the day.

The contenders

Beylerbeyi won this race last year. He comes in off a second in the Doncaster Cup, but he’s still a maiden for 2026 and has a lot more weight this time. He’s the one to beat, but the price is short in a 29-runner handicap.

Sea Lantern is the unexposed one. He has run only four times and won emphatically on his handicap debut at Pontefract last month. The 4lb penalty keeps him well treated, and the only real doubt is how much he’s learned from so few runs.

Mountain Road finished second over two miles at York. He steps up in trip with Paul Mulrennan in the saddle and has a solid staying profile.

Cock And Bull won at Galway for Emmet Mullins, who won this race in 2023 with The Shunter. He’s rated 99 over hurdles, and Mullins says there are no trip concerns. He’s gone up 10lb, but James Doyle’s booking stands out. Stablemate Dream On Baby, a Listed hurdle winner, is unexposed on the Flat and runs in her first handicap.

Reverend Hubert has won three hurdles this year and comes with a typical Charles Byrnes preparation. He also has course form.

Kirchner was second in the Northumberland Plate but disappointed at York last time. Manxman finished second in this race in 2024, but he’s much better on softer ground. Dawn Rising was second last year and has been well backed despite modest 2026 form.

  • Only 2 of the last 10 favourites have won.
  • Three of the last 10 winners started at 14/1 or bigger, and winners have gone off as big as 33/1.
  • Lower weights have dominated: nine of the last 10 winners carried 9st 2lb or less (before this year’s weights were raised).
  • Willie Mullins won three in a row from 2018 to 2020, and Emmet Mullins won in 2023.

Steve Chambers’ Best Bets

Dewhurst Stakes Pick

We may only have five going to post for the Dewhurst Stakes, but there’s a quality quintet bidding for glory. Desert Castle is the one to beat having bounded to a three-length success in the Champagne Stakes at Doncaster. However, Aidan O’Brien’s Darkness Falls romped to Group 1 glory in emphatic style last month and the Ballydoyle raider can strike gold again here.

15:00 Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (No Geldings)

Cesarewitch Handicap Pick

Third in a listed event at Chester, Andrew Balding’s Tactician has been given a notable hike in the handicap and will carry top weight here. That came off a two year break, so if he can kick on from that then he looks tailor-made for this. He was sixth in the Cesarewitch Trial back in 2024, so has shown he can produce the goods at the track and trip. Charlie Tucker will take a vital 7lbs off his back and with the yard in such great form he’s the standout each-way play.

15:40 Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)
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