ITV Racing heads to Newmarket and York on Saturday 10 October for eight live races. The Group 1 Darley Dewhurst Stakes and the Club Godolphin Cesarewitch headline day two of the Dubai Future Champions Festival, and York’s card includes the Sky Bet Sprint Trophy.

The Dewhurst has produced more Classic winners than almost any other two-year-old race. We’ve gone back through the last ten runnings of each ITV race to pull out the trends worth knowing before you bet.

Race Schedule

Time	Course	Race	Grade	Distance
1.15pm	Newmarket	Darley Stakes	Group 3	1m1f
1.30pm	York	Sky Bet Rockingham Stakes	Listed	6f
1.50pm	Newmarket	Zetland Stakes	Group 3	1m2f
2.05pm	York	Sky Bet For The Fans Handicap	Class 2	1m2f56y
2.25pm	Newmarket	Autumn Stakes	Group 3	1m
3.00pm	Newmarket	Darley Dewhurst Stakes	Group 1	7f
3.17pm	York	Sky Bet Sprint Trophy	Heritage Handicap	6f
3.40pm	Newmarket	Club Godolphin Cesarewitch	Heritage Handicap	2m2f

Darley Stakes (Group 3) – 1.15pm, Newmarket

The Darley Stakes is a Group 3 over a mile and a furlong on the Rowley Mile, open to horses aged three and older. It is one of the last Pattern races of the British season at the trip and often goes to an improving three-year-old.

Three-year-olds rule: 7 of the last 10 winners were three-year-olds. Humidity is the only three-year-old in this year’s line-up.
Favourites: just 3 of the last 10 favourites have won.
Prices: 9 of the last 10 winners started 8/1 or shorter. Lady Wannabe (28/1, 2020) is the big-priced exception.
Older horses: only one winner in the last 10 was aged five or older (Highland Avenue, 2023), a hurdle for Haatem and Boiling Point.
Future stars: Mostahdaf won this in 2021 and went on to land the Prince of Wales’s Stakes and the Juddmonte International in 2023.

13:15 Newmarket

Good

Modern Games Darley Stakes (Group 3)

Flat Turf
Turf
1m 1f 0y
Class 1
5 runners

First Prize: £53,875
2nd: £20,425
3rd: £10,222
4th: £5,092
5th: £2,556
6th: £1,283

ITV

View Course

Runners: 5 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

1 (5) 2 tips

Haatem 33 days W: 9st 8lb Age: 5 yo Colt

J: Ryan Moore T: Richard Hannon

OR: 110 RPR: 122 Form: 6-7051

GG Racing Score 38% Ability 6.3/10 Draw — Jockey 7.5/10 Trainer 0/10 Course 2.5/10 Distance 0/10

2 (3) 3 tips

Boiling Point 17 days W: 9st 5lb Age: 5 yo Colt

J: Clifford Lee T: K R Burke

OR: 110 RPR: 123 Form: 134262

GG Racing Score 63% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 2.5/10 Course 10/10 Distance 5/10

3 (4)

High Stock 21 days W: 9st 5lb Age: 4 yo Colt

J: Rob Hornby T: Andrew Balding

OR: 104 RPR: 117 Form: 44-755

GG Racing Score 40% Ability 1.3/10 Draw — Jockey 2.5/10 Trainer 7.5/10 Course 7.5/10 Distance —

4 (2) 5 tips

The Lost King 15 days OUR TIP W: 9st 5lb Age: 4 yo Colt

J: William Buick T: Andrew Balding

OR: 110 RPR: 122 Form: 401122

GG Racing Score 75% Ability 6.3/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 7.5/10 Course 5/10 Distance 10/10

5 (1) 4 tips

Humidity 378 days W: 9st 1lb Age: 3 yo Colt

J: James Doyle T: Andrew Balding

OR: 111 RPR: 117 Form: 11722-

GG Racing Score 30% Ability 1.3/10 Draw — Jockey 5/10 Trainer 7.5/10 Course 0/10 Distance —

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

9/4 Haatem, 7/1 Boiling Point, 20/1 High Stock, 7/4 The Lost King, 11/4 Humidity

Selections

D Express:

Daily Mail:

Daily Mirror:

Daily Record:

LAMBOURN:

POSTDATA:

RP RATINGS:

SPOTLIGHT:

TOPSPEED:

Telegraph:

The Guardian:

The Star:

The Sun:

The Times:

Sky Bet Rockingham Stakes (Listed) – 1.30pm, York

The Rockingham Stakes is a Listed race over six furlongs for two-year-olds, run at York’s final meeting of the season. It is a valuable late-season target for juvenile sprinters who have been running in Group company or are stepping up from nursery and novice wins.

Haggas and Marquand: William Haggas and Tom Marquand have won 3 of the last 5 runnings (Canonized, Alpha Capture and Division). The yard has no runner this year, but Marquand rides Divine Whisper for George Boughey.
Favourites: 3 of the last 10 favourites have won, all of them since 2022.
Shocks happen: 3 of the last 10 winners started 20/1 or bigger.
Draw: 7 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5 to 9.
Colts dominate: fillies have won only 2 of the last 10 runnings.

Zetland Stakes (Group 3) – 1.50pm, Newmarket

The Zetland Stakes is a Group 3 over a mile and a quarter for two-year-olds, one of the longest Pattern races of the season for juveniles. It held Listed status until it was upgraded to Group 3 in 2019, and it is often won by middle-distance types who come into their own as three-year-olds.

Favourites: 5 of the last 10 favourites have won.
No shocks: every winner in the last 10 years started 7/1 or shorter.
Aidan O’Brien has won it 3 times in the last 10 years (Kew Gardens, Norway and Pierre Bonnard). He relies on Drumbeat this year.
Future stayers: Kew Gardens (2017) won the Grand Prix de Paris and the St Leger the following year. Wings Of Eagles was only 4th in the 2016 Zetland and won the Derby in 2017.

13:50 Newmarket

Good

Native Trail Zetland Stakes (Group 3)

Flat Turf
Turf
1m 2f 0y
Class 1
6 runners

First Prize: £42,533
2nd: £16,125
3rd: £8,070
4th: £4,020
5th: £2,018
6th: £1,013

ITV

View Course

Runners: 6 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

1 (4) 2 tips

Apulia Bay 22 days W: 9st 4lb Age: 2 yo Colt

J: James Doyle T: Simon & Ed Crisford

OR: 92 RPR: 99 Form: 3213

GG Racing Score 55% Ability 6/10 Draw — Jockey 2/10 Trainer 8/10 Course — Distance —

2 (3) 1 tip

Bowdens 20 days W: 9st 4lb Age: 2 yo Colt

J: Rowan Scott T: Charlie Johnston

OR: — RPR: 84 Form: 1

GG Racing Score 23% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 6/10 Trainer 3/10 Course — Distance —

3 (6) 8 tips

Drumbeat 14 days W: 9st 4lb Age: 2 yo Colt

J: Ryan Moore T: A P O’Brien

OR: — RPR: 108 Form: 6313

GG Racing Score 75% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 4/10 Trainer 6/10 Course — Distance —

4 (2)

Netherstream 16 days W: 9st 4lb Age: 2 yo Colt

J: Billy Loughnane T: Jane Chapple-Hyam

OR: 83 RPR: 97 Form: 351

GG Racing Score 42% Ability 4/10 Draw — Jockey 8/10 Trainer 0/10 Course 5/10 Distance —

5 (1) 1 tip

Sword Salute 13 days W: 9st 4lb Age: 2 yo Colt

J: William Buick T: Charlie Johnston

OR: 94 RPR: 101 Form: 310172

GG Racing Score 73% Ability 8/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 3/10 Course — Distance —

6 (5) 2 tips

Wykehurst Park 23 days OUR TIP W: 9st 4lb Age: 2 yo Colt

J: Rob Hornby T: Andrew Balding

OR: 81 RPR: 88 Form: 31

GG Racing Score 35% Ability 2/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 10/10 Course — Distance —

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

9/1 Apulia Bay, 20/1 Bowdens, 5/6 Drumbeat, 6/1 Netherstream, 4/1 Sword Salute, 10/1 Wykehurst Park

Selections

D Express:

Daily Mail:

Daily Mirror:

Daily Record:

NEWMARKET:

POSTDATA:

RP RATINGS:

SPOTLIGHT:

TOPSPEED:

Telegraph:

The Guardian:

The Star:

The Sun:

The Times:

Sky Bet For The Fans Handicap – 2.05pm, York

This Class 2 handicap over a mile and a quarter and 56 yards is open to horses aged three and older. The sponsor’s title changes each year, but it has long been York’s big middle-distance handicap on its last Saturday of the season.

Three-year-olds: they won 5 of the 9 recent runnings open to them, although none has won since 2021.
Favourites: only 2 of the last 10 favourites have won, though four more finished 2nd.
Draw: 5 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 1 to 4.
Defending champion: Grey Cuban won last year at 12/1 for Hugo Palmer and is back to defend his crown off joint top weight.
Classy winners: Bay Bridge took this in 2021 and won the Champion Stakes at Ascot a year later.
William Haggas won it with Ilaraab in 2020 and has last year’s Old Rowley Cup winner Yabher and Ancestor in the field.

Autumn Stakes (Group 3) – 2.25pm, Newmarket

The Autumn Stakes is a Group 3 over a mile for two-year-olds, run on the Rowley Mile. It often goes to a colt with Classic ambitions, and several recent winners have gone on to Group 1 success the following year.

Charlie Appleby has won 5 of the last 10 runnings (Ghaiyyath, One Ruler, Coroebus, Silver Knott and Ancient Wisdom). He saddles Al Jabbar this year.
William Buick has ridden 5 of the last 10 winners and partners Rock Montreal.
Favourites: 5 of the last 10 have won, and 9 of the last 10 winners started 5/1 or shorter.
Classic link: Coroebus (2021) won the 2000 Guineas the following May, and Persian King (2018) won the French 2000 Guineas. Aidan O’Brien’s 2024 winner Delacroix went on to win the Eclipse and the Irish Champion Stakes.
The Flying Scotsman route: last year’s winner Hankelow was beaten in the Listed Flying Scotsman at Doncaster before winning this. Rock Montreal comes the same way after losing by a head.

14:25 Newmarket

Good

Emirates Autumn Stakes (Group 3)

Flat Turf
Turf
1m 0f 0y
Class 1
7 runners

First Prize: £42,533
2nd: £16,125
3rd: £8,070
4th: £4,020
5th: £2,018
6th: £1,013

ITV

View Course

Runners: 7 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

1 (3) 4 tips

Al Jabbar 28 days W: 9st 3lb Age: 2 yo Colt

J: Billy Loughnane T: Charlie Appleby

OR: — RPR: 99 Form: 21

GG Racing Score 50% Ability 0.8/10 Draw — Jockey 8.3/10 Trainer 10/10 Course 5/10 Distance 5/10

2 (6)

Clash Of Hearts 40 days W: 9st 3lb Age: 2 yo Colt

J: Mikey Sheehy T: Adrian Paul Keatley

OR: 93 RPR: 99 Form: 231856

GG Racing Score 17% Ability 0.8/10 Draw — Jockey 3.3/10 Trainer 1.7/10 Course — Distance —

3 (5)

Mia Fantasia 42 days W: 9st 3lb Age: 2 yo Colt

J: James Doyle T: Hugo Palmer

OR: 95 RPR: 104 Form: 13615

GG Racing Score 50% Ability 5/10 Draw — Jockey 5/10 Trainer 5/10 Course — Distance —

4 (4) 2 tips

Notable Dream 16 days W: 9st 3lb Age: 2 yo Colt

J: Silvestre De Sousa T: Marco Botti

OR: 99 RPR: 113 Form: 3162

GG Racing Score 50% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 1.7/10 Trainer 3.3/10 Course 0/10 Distance —

5 (2) 5 tips

Rock Montreal 29 days OUR TIP W: 9st 3lb Age: 2 yo Colt

J: William Buick T: Roger Varian

OR: 106 RPR: 109 Form: 12

GG Racing Score 58% Ability 6.7/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 0/10 Course — Distance —

6 (7) 3 tips

Sergei Diaghilev 28 days W: 9st 3lb Age: 2 yo Colt

J: Ryan Moore T: A P O’Brien

OR: — RPR: 110 Form: 1912

GG Racing Score 73% Ability 8.3/10 Draw — Jockey 6.7/10 Trainer 8.3/10 Course — Distance 5/10

7 (1)

Sole Ambition 15 days W: 9st 3lb Age: 2 yo Colt

J: Kieran Shoemark T: Ed Walker

OR: 90 RPR: 101 Form: 331

GG Racing Score 47% Ability 3.3/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 6.7/10 Course 10/10 Distance —

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

13/2 Al Jabbar, 33/1 Clash Of Hearts, 14/1 Mia Fantasia, 13/2 Notable Dream, 6/4 Rock Montreal, 5/2 Sergei Diaghilev, 8/1 Sole Ambition

Selections

D Express:

Daily Mail:

Daily Mirror:

Daily Record:

NEWMARKET:

POSTDATA:

RP RATINGS:

SPOTLIGHT:

TOPSPEED:

Telegraph:

The Guardian:

The Star:

The Sun:

The Times:

Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) – 3.00pm, Newmarket

The Dewhurst Stakes is a Group 1 over seven furlongs for two-year-old colts and fillies (geldings are not allowed), run on the Rowley Mile. First run in 1875, it is Britain’s most important race for juveniles, and its winner usually heads the betting for the following year’s 2000 Guineas and Derby.

A nursery for Classic winners

Since 1990, 15 Dewhurst winners have gone on to win a Classic the following year:

Dewhurst	Winner	Classic(s) won next year
1990	Generous	Derby
1991	Dr Devious	Derby
1992	Zafonic	2000 Guineas
1994	Pennekamp	2000 Guineas
2001	Rock Of Gibraltar	2000 Guineas & Irish 2000 Guineas
2004	Shamardal	French 2000 Guineas & Prix du Jockey Club
2005	Sir Percy	Derby
2007	New Approach	Derby
2010	Frankel	2000 Guineas
2012	Dawn Approach	2000 Guineas
2016	Churchill	2000 Guineas & Irish 2000 Guineas
2020	St Mark’s Basilica	French 2000 Guineas & Prix du Jockey Club
2021	Native Trail	Irish 2000 Guineas
2022	Chaldean	2000 Guineas
2023	City Of Troy	Derby

Frankel is the most famous name on the list, but the last six runnings alone produced St Mark’s Basilica, Native Trail, Chaldean and City Of Troy. Beaten runners can win Classics too: Roderic O’Connor was 2nd to Frankel and won the Irish 2000 Guineas, and Poetic Flare finished 10th in 2020 before winning the 2000 Guineas.

Darkness Falls, Leopardstown — Darkness Falls winning at Leopardstown

Key Dewhurst trends

Favourites dominate: 7 of the last 10 winners started favourite, and 6 of those 10 were evens or shorter.
In form: 8 of the last 10 winners won last time out.
The routes in: the National Stakes at the Curragh (4) and the Champagne Stakes at Doncaster (3) have supplied 7 of the last 10 winners.
Aidan O’Brien is the race’s joint-leading trainer with 8 wins, 4 of them in the last 10 years.
Charlie Appleby has won 3 of the last 7 runnings (Pinatubo, Native Trail and Shadow Of Light).
Andrew Balding has won 2 of the last 4, with Chaldean and 25/1 shock winner Gewan.

2026 angle: Early favourite Desert Castle ticks plenty of boxes for Appleby and Buick. He is unbeaten in two, comes out of the Champagne Stakes and heads the 2000 Guineas market. The one doubt is experience: City Of Troy in 2023 was the first winner since 2004 with only two previous runs. Main rival Darkness Falls won the Group 1 Golden Fleece at Leopardstown and drops back in trip for Aidan O’Brien.

15:00 Newmarket

Good

Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (No Geldings)

Flat Turf
Turf
0m 7f 0y
Class 1
5 runners

First Prize: £283,550
2nd: £107,500
3rd: £53,800
4th: £26,800
5th: £13,450
6th: £6,750

ITV

View Course

Runners: 5 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

1 (5) 5 tips

Darkness Falls 28 days W: 9st 3lb Age: 2 yo Colt

J: Ryan Moore T: A P O’Brien

OR: — RPR: 121 Form: 311

GG Racing Score 49% Ability 7.5/10 Draw — Jockey 5/10 Trainer 1.3/10 Course — Distance 3.3/10

2 (3) 7 tips

Desert Castle 28 days OUR TIP W: 9st 3lb Age: 2 yo Colt

J: William Buick T: Charlie Appleby

OR: 116 RPR: 123 Form: 11

GG Racing Score 87% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 8.8/10 Course 5/10 Distance 8.3/10

3 (4)

Gentle Hurricane 28 days W: 9st 3lb Age: 2 yo Colt

J: James Doyle T: Andrew Balding

OR: 105 RPR: 110 Form: 124

GG Racing Score 25% Ability 2.5/10 Draw — Jockey 2.5/10 Trainer 5/10 Course — Distance 0/10

4 (1) 2 tips

Great Barrier Reef 42 days W: 9st 3lb Age: 2 yo Colt

J: Wayne Lordan T: A P O’Brien

OR: — RPR: 116 Form: 1112

GG Racing Score 28% Ability 5/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 1.3/10 Course — Distance —

5 (2)

Jassas 15 days W: 9st 3lb Age: 2 yo Colt

J: Billy Loughnane T: Charlie Appleby

OR: 92 RPR: 103 Form: 151

GG Racing Score 49% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 7.5/10 Trainer 8.8/10 Course — Distance 8.3/10

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

13/8 Darkness Falls, 4/5 Desert Castle, 40/1 Gentle Hurricane, 13/2 Great Barrier Reef, 25/1 Jassas

Selections

D Express:

Daily Mail:

Daily Mirror:

Daily Record:

NEWMARKET:

POSTDATA:

RP RATINGS:

SPOTLIGHT:

TOPSPEED:

Telegraph:

The Guardian:

The Star:

The Sun:

The Times:

Sky Bet Sprint Trophy (Heritage Handicap) – 3.17pm, York

The Sprint Trophy is a heritage handicap over six furlongs for horses aged three and older, and one of the most competitive sprint handicaps of the autumn. Fields are big, often 20 or more, so the draw and the weights matter.

Low draw: 9 of the last 10 winners came from stall 9 or lower, and 8 of them from stalls 2 to 7.
Weight: 9 of the last 10 winners carried 9-0 or more. Defending champion Binhareer was the exception on 8-11 last year.
Price: 8 of the last 10 winners started 10/1 or bigger, and only one favourite (jointly) has won.
Trainers: David O’Meara has won it 3 times, and Kevin Ryan, Richard Fahey and William Haggas twice each. Tim Easterby is 0 from 20 runners over the last 20 years.
Repeat winners: Gulliver (2019 and 2020) and Strike Red (2022 and 2024) have both won it twice, and Strike Red runs again.

Club Godolphin Cesarewitch (Heritage Handicap) – 3.40pm, Newmarket

The Cesarewitch is a heritage handicap over two and a quarter miles for horses aged three and older, and one of the longest races on the British Flat. First run in 1839, it is the second leg of the famous autumn double with the Cambridgeshire, and it regularly attracts jumpers from leading National Hunt yards.

Beylerbeyi, Cesarewitch, Newmarket — Beylerbeyi, last year’s Cesarewitch winner

Irish raiders: 6 of the last 10 winners were trained in Ireland. Willie Mullins won three in a row from 2018 to 2020, and Emmet Mullins won with The Shunter in 2023.
Jumpers do well: most recent winners came from yards with a big jumps string. The Shunter had already won at the Cheltenham Festival, and 2021 winner Buzz won the Grade 2 Coral Hurdle a month later.
Favourites: only 2 of the last 10 have won, and 7 of the last 10 winners started 7/1 or bigger.
Weight: 9 of the last 10 winners carried 9-2 or less, and 7 carried under 9st. Only Stratum (9-7 in 2019) defied a big weight.
Ratings: winners were rated 86 to 101, and half were rated 86 to 90.
Experience: every winner in the last 10 years was aged four or older.

2026 angle: Last year’s winner Beylerbeyi heads the early market for Ian Williams, but he is 10lb higher at 101 and set to carry 9-11. Only Stratum has won off that sort of mark in the last 10 years. 2024 winner Alphonse Le Grande, who won at 33/1, runs again off 87.

Saturday trends summary

Back the favourite: the Dewhurst (7 from 10), Zetland and Autumn Stakes (5 from 10 each).
Look for a price: the Sprint Trophy and Cesarewitch, where 8 and 7 of the last 10 winners respectively started 7/1 or bigger.
Follow the draw: low in the Sprint Trophy, and stalls 5 to 9 in the Rockingham.
Trainers to follow: Charlie Appleby in the Autumn Stakes and Dewhurst, Aidan O’Brien in the Dewhurst and Zetland, and William Haggas at York.

18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Odds correct at time of writing and subject to change.

Saturday ITV Racing Cheat Sheet: Stats & Trends For Newmarket And York

Race Schedule

Darley Stakes (Group 3) – 1.15pm, Newmarket

13:15 Newmarket

Modern Games Darley Stakes (Group 3)

Selections

Sky Bet Rockingham Stakes (Listed) – 1.30pm, York

13:30 York

Sky Bet Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race)

Selections

Zetland Stakes (Group 3) – 1.50pm, Newmarket

13:50 Newmarket

Native Trail Zetland Stakes (Group 3)

Selections

Sky Bet For The Fans Handicap – 2.05pm, York

14:05 York

Sky Bet For The Fans Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Selections

Autumn Stakes (Group 3) – 2.25pm, Newmarket

14:25 Newmarket

Emirates Autumn Stakes (Group 3)

Selections

Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) – 3.00pm, Newmarket

A nursery for Classic winners

Key Dewhurst trends

15:00 Newmarket

Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (No Geldings)

Selections

Sky Bet Sprint Trophy (Heritage Handicap) – 3.17pm, York

15:17 York

Sky Bet Sprint Trophy Handicap (Heritage Handicap)

Selections

Club Godolphin Cesarewitch (Heritage Handicap) – 3.40pm, Newmarket

15:40 Newmarket

Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)

Selections

Saturday trends summary