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Thursday Racing Cheat Sheet: Stats & Trends For Curragh, Fontwell, Perth And Southwell

Thursday Racing Cheat Sheet: Stats & Trends For Curragh, Fontwell, Perth And Southwell

Five meetings run across Britain and Ireland on Thursday 15 October: Perth and Fontwell over jumps, the Curragh and Brighton on the Flat, and Southwell on the all-weather. We’ve picked out the four best races of the day and pulled the stats that matter before you bet.

The biggest prize is the Curragh’s DNG Nationwide Handicap at 1.37pm (€20,615 to the winner). The going is Good To Soft at Perth and Fontwell, Yielding at the Curragh and Standard at Southwell.

Key Race Schedule For Thursday 15th October

TimeCourseRaceGradeDistanceRunners
1.25pmPerthDownload The Free Racing TV App Now Beginners’ Chase (GBB Race)Class 32m4
1.37pmCurraghDNG Nationwide HandicapHandicap6f13
2.19pmFontwellbetting.bet New Betting Sites Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 32m5f 135y4
5.30pmSouthwellGet The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 31m 13y10

1.25pm Perth – Download The Free Racing TV App Now Beginners’ Chase (GBB Race) (Class 3)

Just four go to post for this 2m beginners’ chase on Good To Soft ground, worth £7,922 to the winner. Three of the four return from breaks of six months or more.

  • Class edge: Kabral Du Mathan is a Grade 2-winning hurdler rated 156, 24lb clear of Jabbar (132). Hold The Serve is on 130 and Dream Shadow on 126.
  • Skelton in form: Harry Skelton rides Kabral Du Mathan for Dan Skelton and is 12 from 40 (30%) in the last 14 days.
  • Hot jockey: Brian Hughes, on Jabbar for Gerard O’Leary, is 7 from 21 (33%) in the last 14 days. Jabbar has finished second on his last two starts (form 234-22).
  • Fitness question: Kabral Du Mathan has been off 217 days, Hold The Serve 187 and Dream Shadow 183. Jabbar ran 45 days ago.
  • Wind op: Hold The Serve (Olly Murphy) returns after a wind operation, and was beaten favourite last time out.

13:25 Perth

Download The Free Racing TV App Now Beginners’ Chase (GBB Race)

  • Going Good To Soft
  • Distance 2m 0f 0y
  • Class Class 3
  • Race Type Chase Turf
  • Surface Turf
  • Runners 4
Prize Money
  • 1st £7,922
  • 2nd £3,645
  • 3rd £1,823
  • 4th £912
  • 5th £455
RTV
Perth

Runners: 4 runners

Type: Chase Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Light rain

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 Hold The Serve uniform Hold The Serve 187 days W: 11st 5lb Age: 6 yo Gelding
OR: 130 RPR: — Form: 01115-
GG Racing Score 40% Ability 3.3/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 3.3/10 Course — Distance 0/10
2 Jabbar uniform Jabbar 45 days W: 11st 5lb Age: 7 yo Gelding
OR: 132 RPR: 129 Form: 234-22
GG Racing Score 53% Ability 6.7/10 Draw — Jockey 6.7/10 Trainer 0/10 Course — Distance 6.7/10
3 11 tips Kabral Du Mathan uniform Kabral Du Mathan 217 days OUR TIP W: 11st 5lb Age: 6 yo Gelding
OR: 156 RPR: — Form: 2/114-
GG Racing Score 87% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 3.3/10 Trainer 10/10 Course — Distance 10/10
4 1 tip Dream Shadow uniform Dream Shadow 183 days W: 10st 12lb Age: 7 yo Mare
OR: 126 RPR: — Form: 11421-
GG Racing Score 20% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 6.7/10 Course — Distance 3.3/10

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

9/2 Hold The Serve, 20/1 Jabbar, 1/4 Kabral Du Mathan, 14/1 Dream Shadow

Verdict

This revolves around the classy hurdler KABRAL DU MATHAN who will be extremely tough to beat if anywhere near his best on this chase and seasonal debut. Hold The Serve (second choice) and the mare Dream Shadow could both be nice chasing prospects this season.[Ben Hutton]

Selections

D Express:

Kabral Du Mathan

Daily Mail:

Kabral Du Mathan

Daily Mirror:

Kabral Du Mathan

Daily Record:

Kabral Du Mathan

POSTDATA:

Kabral Du Mathan

SPOTLIGHT:

Kabral Du Mathan

Telegraph:

Kabral Du Mathan

The Guardian:

Kabral Du Mathan

The Star:

Kabral Du Mathan

The Times:

Kabral Du Mathan

WEST COUNTRY:

Dream Shadow

1.37pm Curragh – DNG Nationwide Handicap

The day’s most valuable race: a 13-runner handicap over 6f on Yielding ground, worth €20,615 to the winner. Five of the field are course-and-distance winners.

  • C&D winners: Keke, Staysound Susie, Moltophino, Nouvel Espoir and Go Athletico have all won over course and distance.
  • Last year’s winner: Top weight Unique Journey (OR 94) won this race last year off a 5lb lower mark.
  • Hot jockey: Jimmy Dalton rides C&D winner Staysound Susie for Andrew Slattery and is 3 from 12 (25%) in the last 14 days.
  • Quick turnaround: Keke, Staysound Susie and Unauthorized all ran just five days ago.
  • Headgear: Unauthorized wears a visor for the first time. Nouvel Espoir is up 8lb for his latest C&D win.

13:37 Curragh

DNG Nationwide Handicap

  • Going Yielding
  • Distance 0m 6f 0y
  • Class —
  • Race Type Flat Turf
  • Surface Turf
  • Runners 13
Prize Money
  • 1st €20,615
  • 2nd €6,615
  • 3rd €3,115
  • 4th €1,365
  • 5th €665
  • 6th €315
RTV
Curragh

Runners: 13 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Rain

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 (1) Unique Journey uniform Unique Journey 19 days W: 10st 0lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: 94 RPR: 102 Form: 240278
GG Racing Score 67% Ability 7.1/10 Draw — Jockey 3.3/10 Trainer 3.3/10 Course 10/10 Distance 9.2/10
2 (2) 1 tip Keke uniform Keke 5 days W: 9st 13lb Age: 6 yo Gelding
OR: 93 RPR: 102 Form: 444093
GG Racing Score 51% Ability 7.1/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 2.5/10 Course 9.2/10 Distance 5/10
3 (11) Staysound Susie uniform Staysound Susie 5 days W: 9st 12lb Age: 5 yo Filly
OR: 92 RPR: 93 Form: 160754
GG Racing Score 42% Ability 0.8/10 Draw — Jockey 6.3/10 Trainer 8.8/10 Course 5.8/10 Distance 2.5/10
4 (5) The Highway Rat uniform The Highway Rat 13 days W: 9st 9lb Age: 8 yo Gelding
OR: 89 RPR: 103 Form: 609053
GG Racing Score 49% Ability 9.2/10 Draw — Jockey 6.3/10 Trainer 5/10 Course 0/10 Distance 0/10
5 (6) 1 tip Dmaniac uniform Dmaniac 11 days W: 9st 7lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: 87 RPR: 104 Form: 152048
GG Racing Score 83% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 8.3/10 Trainer 8.8/10 Course 7.1/10 Distance 5.8/10
6 (3) 1 tip Amiata uniform Amiata 32 days W: 9st 6lb Age: 3 yo Gelding
OR: 87 RPR: 98 Form: 418148
GG Racing Score 64% Ability 1.7/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 10/10 Course 8.3/10 Distance 6.7/10
7 (8) Unauthorized uniform Unauthorized 5 days W: 9st 6lb Age: 3 yo Colt
OR: 87 RPR: 99 Form: 718270
GG Racing Score 31% Ability 2.9/10 Draw — Jockey 1.7/10 Trainer 5.8/10 Course 1.3/10 Distance 4.2/10
8 (12) 1 tip Chicago Pope uniform Chicago Pope 32 days W: 9st 5lb Age: 3 yo Colt
OR: 86 RPR: 101 Form: 1-2140
GG Racing Score 44% Ability 4.6/10 Draw — Jockey 2.5/10 Trainer 4.2/10 Course 2.5/10 Distance 8.3/10
9 (4) Dark Ace uniform Dark Ace 19 days W: 9st 5lb Age: 4 yo Colt
OR: 85 RPR: 102 Form: 300160
GG Racing Score 53% Ability 7.1/10 Draw — Jockey 5/10 Trainer 1.3/10 Course 1.3/10 Distance 10/10
10 (7) Moltophino uniform Moltophino 19 days W: 9st 4lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: 84 RPR: 99 Form: 799213
GG Racing Score 25% Ability 2.9/10 Draw — Jockey 4.2/10 Trainer 0/10 Course 4.2/10 Distance 0.8/10
11 (10) Nouvel Espoir uniform Nouvel Espoir 11 days W: 8st 12lb Age: 6 yo Gelding
OR: 78 RPR: 92 Form: 432221
GG Racing Score 36% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 9.2/10 Trainer 7.5/10 Course 3.3/10 Distance 1.7/10
12 (9) Smoke Them Out uniform Smoke Them Out 11 days W: 8st 11lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: 77 RPR: 101 Form: 307713
GG Racing Score 63% Ability 4.6/10 Draw — Jockey 7.5/10 Trainer 6.7/10 Course 7.1/10 Distance 7.5/10
13 (13) 1 tip Go Athletico uniform Go Athletico 11 days OUR TIP W: 8st 8lb Age: 8 yo Gelding
OR: 74 RPR: 102 Form: 256004
GG Racing Score 41% Ability 7.1/10 Draw — Jockey 0.8/10 Trainer 1.3/10 Course 5/10 Distance 3.3/10

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

16/1 Unique Journey, 13/2 Keke, 16/1 Staysound Susie, 12/1 The Highway Rat, 14/1 Dmaniac, 11/1 Amiata, 25/1 Unauthorized, 20/1 Chicago Pope, 12/1 Dark Ace, 11/2 Moltophino, 4/1 Nouvel Espoir, 5/1 Smoke Them Out, 15/2 Go Athletico

Verdict

The forecast rain is a concern for Keke and Moltophino. Only 2.5l separated Nouvel Espoir, Smoke Them Out and GO ATHLETICO over C&D 11 days ago and the latter is taken to come out on top on these revised terms. Dmaniac can go well if conditions turn very testing, as can last year’s winner Unique Journey. [Dave Stephens]

Selections

POSTDATA:

Amiata

RP RATINGS (IRE):

Dmaniac

SPOTLIGHT:

Go Athletico

TOPSPEED:

Chicago Pope

The Irish Sun:

Keke

2.19pm Fontwell – betting.bet New Betting Sites Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) (Class 3)

A four-runner novices’ limited handicap chase over 2m5f 135y on Good To Soft ground. At £8,450 to the winner, it’s the richest race on the British cards.

  • Top weight: Double Powerful (Neil Mulholland) is rated 136 and carries 11st 10lb. He unseated and fell in his last two chases, both last November.
  • Quick turnaround: Glen To Glen (OR 132) ran over hurdles at Chepstow on Saturday, just five days ago.
  • Course flags: All The Glory (Jonjo & A J O’Neill) and Inca De Lafayette (Paul Nicholls) both carry top course trainer and jockey flags.
  • Chase record: All The Glory is 0 from 7 over fences and has been off 184 days.
  • Layoff: Inca De Lafayette, rated 117, has not run for 120 days.

14:19 Fontwell

betting.bet New Betting Sites Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

  • Going Good To Soft
  • Distance 2m 5f 135y
  • Class Class 3
  • Race Type Chase Turf
  • Surface Turf
  • Runners 4
Prize Money
  • 1st £8,450
  • 2nd £3,888
  • 3rd £1,944
  • 4th £973
  • 5th £485
SKY
Fontwell

Runners: 4 runners

Type: Chase Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Cloudy

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 9 tips Double Powerful uniform Double Powerful 75 days W: 11st 10lb Age: 7 yo Gelding
OR: 136 RPR: 144 Form: 2582-3
GG Racing Score 36% Ability 1.7/10 Draw — Jockey 3.3/10 Trainer 0/10 Course 5/10 Distance 10/10
2 1 tip All The Glory uniform All The Glory 184 days W: 10st 11lb Age: 9 yo Mare
OR: 123 RPR: 148 Form: 3347P-
GG Racing Score 77% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 6.7/10 Trainer 6.7/10 Course — Distance 5/10
3 1 tip Glen To Glen uniform Glen To Glen 5 days W: 10st 10lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: 132 RPR: 144 Form: -5O138
GG Racing Score 17% Ability 1.7/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 3.3/10 Course — Distance —
4 3 tips Inca De Lafayette uniform Inca De Lafayette 120 days OUR TIP W: 10st 5lb Age: 8 yo Gelding
OR: 117 RPR: 147 Form: 321-23
GG Racing Score 67% Ability 6.7/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 10/10 Course — Distance 0/10

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

4/5 Double Powerful, 13/2 All The Glory, 7/2 Glen To Glen, 4/1 Inca De Lafayette

Verdict

None of these presents a straightforward case. Double Powerful had jumping issues when he was last seen in this sphere, so the vote goes to INCA DE LAFAYETTE who lost out to two improved performers in June on his latest start.[Richard Austen]

Selections

D Express:

Inca De Lafayette

Daily Mail:

Double Powerful

Daily Mirror:

Double Powerful

Daily Record:

Double Powerful

POSTDATA:

Double Powerful

RP RATINGS:

All The Glory

SPOTLIGHT:

Inca De Lafayette

TOPSPEED:

Double Powerful

Telegraph:

Double Powerful

The Guardian:

Double Powerful

The Star:

Glen To Glen

The Sun:

Double Powerful

The Times:

Double Powerful

WEST COUNTRY:

Inca De Lafayette

5.30pm Southwell – Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) (Class 3)

A ten-runner two-year-old maiden over 1m 13y on Standard ground, worth £7,020 to the winner. Three of the ten are newcomers.

  • Form standard: Grove Street (Brian Meehan) is the only rated runner (89). He has form figures of 225 and still holds a Futurity entry.
  • Gosden newcomer: King Ida debuts for John & Thady Gosden, who are 10 from 39 (26%) in the last 14 days. Robert Havlin rides and is 8 from 35 (23%).
  • Other debutants: Forged Ahead (K R Burke) and Noble Archer (Andrew Balding) also make their debuts.
  • Placed on debut: Heno was third on his Leicester debut, and Till Then fourth on his Kempton debut 15 days ago.
  • Hot jockey: Jack Mitchell, on Wadacre Gabriel for Charlie Johnston, is 9 from 37 (24%) in the last 14 days.

17:30 Southwell

Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

  • Going Standard
  • Distance 1m 0f 13y
  • Class Class 3
  • Race Type Flat AW
  • Surface Tapeta
  • Runners 10
Prize Money
  • 1st £7,020
  • 2nd £3,296
  • 3rd £1,648
  • 4th £824
SKY
Southwell

Runners: 10 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Mostly cloudy

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 (5) Ahmadi uniform Ahmadi 42 days W: 9st 7lb Age: 2 yo Colt
OR: — RPR: 70 Form: 47
GG Racing Score 71% Ability 7.5/10 Draw — Jockey 6.7/10 Trainer 8.9/10 Course — Distance 5/10
2 (8) Chertsey uniform Chertsey 96 days W: 9st 7lb Age: 2 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: 18 Form: 6
GG Racing Score 29% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 5.6/10 Trainer 6.1/10 Course — Distance —
3 (4) Close Circle uniform Close Circle 14 days W: 9st 7lb Age: 2 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: 55 Form: 9
GG Racing Score 32% Ability 3.3/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 6.1/10 Course — Distance —
4 (3) Forged Ahead uniform Forged Ahead W: 9st 7lb Age: 2 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: — Form: —
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 8.9/10 Trainer 10/10 Course — Distance —
5 (7) 9 tips Grove Street uniform Grove Street 27 days OUR TIP W: 9st 7lb Age: 2 yo Colt
OR: 89 RPR: 89 Form: 225
GG Racing Score 72% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 1.1/10 Course — Distance 5/10
6 (2) 1 tip Heno uniform Heno 24 days W: 9st 7lb Age: 2 yo Colt
OR: — RPR: 70 Form: 3
GG Racing Score 49% Ability 7.5/10 Draw — Jockey 4.4/10 Trainer 0/10 Course — Distance —
7 (1) 3 tips King Ida uniform King Ida W: 9st 7lb Age: 2 yo Colt
OR: — RPR: — Form: —
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 7.8/10 Trainer 7.8/10 Course — Distance —
8 (10) Noble Archer uniform Noble Archer W: 9st 7lb Age: 2 yo Colt
OR: — RPR: — Form: —
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 2.2/10 Trainer 4.4/10 Course — Distance —
9 (9) Till Then uniform Till Then 15 days W: 9st 7lb Age: 2 yo Colt
OR: — RPR: 62 Form: 4
GG Racing Score 42% Ability 5/10 Draw — Jockey 3.3/10 Trainer 3.3/10 Course — Distance —
10 (6) Wadacre Gabriel uniform Wadacre Gabriel 40 days W: 9st 7lb Age: 2 yo Colt
OR: — RPR: 50 Form: 7
GG Racing Score 17% Ability 1.7/10 Draw — Jockey 1.1/10 Trainer 2.2/10 Course — Distance —

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

12/1 Ahmadi, 66/1 Chertsey, 66/1 Close Circle, 5/1 Forged Ahead, 6/4 Grove Street, 6/1 Heno, 7/2 King Ida, 10/1 Noble Archer, 10/1 Till Then, 50/1 Wadacre Gabriel

Verdict

The three newcomers are all nicely bred types from respected yards, so a market move for any of them should be heeded. Heno and Till Then showed enough on their respective debuts to make them of interest, but Futurity entry GROVE STREET sets a fair standard on his efforts so far and may know a bit too much for his rivals at this stage.[David Bellingham]

Selections

D Express:

Grove Street

Daily Mail:

Grove Street

Daily Mirror:

King Ida

Daily Record:

King Ida

NEWMARKET:

King Ida

POSTDATA:

Grove Street

RP RATINGS:

Grove Street

SPOTLIGHT:

Grove Street

Telegraph:

Grove Street

The Guardian:

Grove Street

The Star:

Heno

The Sun:

Grove Street

The Times:

Grove Street

Trainers and jockeys in form

These strike rates cover the last 14 days, and every name has runners in today’s featured races.

NameRoleLast 14 daysFeatured runners today
John & Thady GosdenTrainer10/39 (26%)King Ida (5.30pm Southwell)
Brian HughesJockey7/21 (33%)Jabbar (1.25pm Perth)
Harry SkeltonJockey12/40 (30%)Kabral Du Mathan (1.25pm Perth)
Jimmy DaltonJockey3/12 (25%)Staysound Susie (1.37pm Curragh)
Jack MitchellJockey9/37 (24%)Wadacre Gabriel (5.30pm Southwell)
Robert HavlinJockey8/35 (23%)King Ida (5.30pm Southwell)

Key angles

  • Class standout: Kabral Du Mathan is rated 24lb clear on his chase debut in the 1.25pm at Perth.
  • Course-and-distance winners: Keke, Staysound Susie, Moltophino, Nouvel Espoir and Go Athletico, all in the 1.37pm at the Curragh.
  • First-time headgear: Unauthorized (visor) in the 1.37pm at the Curragh.
  • Quick turnaround: Glen To Glen runs again five days after Chepstow in the 2.19pm at Fontwell.

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