Top tipster Andrew Mount has three bets at Exeter, Ffos Las and Southwell on Thursday. View his selections below and also check out a new customer sign-up offer at SBK – Get Up To £40 Money Back As Cash matched to your first deposit losses.
LUCKY MAN – 12.56 Southwell
LUCKY MAN did us a good turn when scoring at Newcastle last time and today’s straight track will suit. Progeny of Kodi Bear are 11 from 76 on Tapeta for a profit of £31.58 to a £1 level stake at SP and today’s new surface should suit. The majority of his rivals are not bred to appreciate Tapeta and the likely strong pace is another factor in his favour.
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TRANS EXPRESS – 1.05 Exeter
TRANS EXPRESS ran poorly when we backed him at a big price Leicester last time, a run that took his handicap record in December to 2111110 (5-7), improving to 11111 (5-5) at Exeter only. It’s possible that the 11-year-old has gone at the game and will soon be retired, though the optimist in me thinks that the Leicester run was still needed and this has been the plan all along. He’s worth a small punt at the available prices.
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DALKINGSTOWN – 2.55 Ffos Las
DALKINGSTOWN, whose last win came over 3m in the mud at Ffos Las in novice hurdle company last October, looks interesting now back up in trip at this venue. He ran over 2m here on his penultimate start, doing well to finish a 15-length sixth at 14-1 over the woefully inadequate trip, and was also outpaced over 2m3.5f on good ground at Sedgefield last time.
The seven-year-old has been dropped 4lb to a mark of 98 since his latest effort and jockey Sean Bowen has a great record at this venue, scoring on 55 of is 278 rides (19.8% strike-rate, expected wins only 45). We’d have lost money by backing all his mounts but in handicaps only, after a recent run (within six weeks), his course record stands at 34 winners from 122 rides (27.9%) for a profit of £33.01. Had we taken the best early price the night before racing the profit would have been in excess of £92.
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Today’s Best Bets
Lucky Man – 2pts win – 12.56 Southwell (5-2 bet365, William Hill)
Trans Express – 1pt win – 1.05 Exeter (8-1 generally)
Dalkingstown – 1pt win – 2.55 Ffos Las (9-1 generally)
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