Andrew turns his attention to day two of next week’s Ebor meeting at York and the stats/systems that matter…
1.50 – Sky Bet Lowther Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies)
Run style
Nine of the last ten winners led (L) or raced prominently (P). Hold-up horses were just one from 38…
…though last time out running style hasn’t always been a useful guide (four winners were ridden patiently in their prep race) so this could be one for in-running bettors only.
2.25 – Harry’s Half Million By Goffs (Class 2)
Prep race
Those who ran in Class 5 company last time out had a poor record across the past ten renewals…
Course last time out
Four winners prepped at Newbury and backing all 18 qualifiers returned a profit of £37.00 to a £1 level stake at SP.
Horse sex
Geldings were 0-37 in the study period…
Trainers
Richard Hannon and Clive Cox have been responsible for eight of the last ten winners…
3.00 – Sir Kevin Sinfield 7 In 7 Grand Finale Handicap (Heritage Handicap)
Draw
Eight of the last ten winners were drawn in stall 8 or lower, the other two in stall 13…
Run style
Eight of the last ten winners led or raced prominently. Hold-up horses were just two from 116…
Those with a Proform pace rating of zero (i.e. ridden patiently in their last three starts) had a poor record…
Prep race
Nine winners prepped in another Class 2 handicap and backing all 132 qualifiers returned a small profit…
Age
Horses aged seven or older were 0-35…
System
Aged six or younger, Class 2 handicap prep, drawn in stalls 1-8, pace rating greater than zero…
This angle has found seven of the last ten winners, including the last six…
4.45 – 7f Mews Hotel Ossett EBF Stallions Nursery Handicap (Class 2)
Only six previous runnings to go on but those tenth or lower in the weights struggled…
Days since last run
Five of the six winners had raced within the past 18 days and backing all 33 qualifiers returned a healthy profit…
…the other winner had been off the track for 23 days.
Market position last time out
All six winners had started in the front two in the SP betting last time out…
System
Favourite or second favourite last time out, raced within past 28 days, top nine in weights…
