Andrew Mount has provided his expert insight into the first day of York’s Ebor meeting, and has done exactly the same with the second, as four races in particular come under his microscope during his latest Angles column.
Day 2 – Thursday, August 21st
1.50 – Sky Bet Lowther Stakes
Stats and trends
Running style
Horse ridden patiently (pace abbreviation = H) have had a torrid time in the past ten years…
Number of previous runs…
Nine of the last ten winners had raced between three and five times previously. Backing those with three previous runs to their name found five winners (from 19 runners) for a profit of £35.00 to a £1 level stake at SP.
Finishing position last time out
Seven of the ten winners had won their prep race. Backing all 47 qualifiers returned a profit of £12.25.
Race classification last time out
Five winners prepped in Group 3 company. Those who last raced in Group 1 or Group 2 company had a combined record of 0-14.
2.25 – Harry’s Half Million By Goffs
Horse sex
Seven of the past ten winners were colts (though backing all the qualifiers returned a loss of £77.00 to a £1 level stake at SP), three were fillies (+£11.50 to a £1 level stake at SP) and geldings were 0-33.
3.00 – Clipper Handicap
Horse sex
Nine of the ten winners were aged between four and six.
Draw
The draw had a massive impact last year, favouring those berthed low, with the first five coming from stalls 6, 8, 1, 5 and 2 of 17. In the past ten years backing every runner drawn in stall 8 or lower (non-runner adjusted) returned a healthy profit…
…the other two winners both came from stall 13.
Running style
Three winners made all, four were prominent throughout whereas only three winners (from 119 qualifier) were ridden patiently…
Prep race
All ten winners had prepped in a handicap, those that didn’t were 0-17. Nine of the ten winners had prepped in a Class 2 handicap…
…and backing all 130 qualifiers returned a profit of £24.00.
System
Backing runners drawn 1-8, who prepped in a Class 2 handicap and had a Proform pace rating of 2 or more produced the following results…
In the past five years only, the score is five from 23 for a profit of £65.00.
5.20 – British EBF Fillies’ Handicap
Finishing position last time out
Those who finished in the top two in their prep race won eight of the past ten renewals…
…and backing all 66 qualifiers returned a small profit at SP (+£1.50).
Those who arrived at York on the back of a top-two effort and that also started in the top three in the betting in their prep race were eight from 47 for a profit of £20.50 (+£38.21 at Betfair SP after 2% commission)…
