The Breeders’ Cup is one of those international meetings which grabs attention across the globe. Dave Young has gone through every race on day one, known as Future Stars Friday, to guide you towards this year’s winners.
All Juvenile action on Day 1 of the Breeders’ Cup and this year it’s coming from Del Mar racecourse. Given that not all runnings come from the same venue, the distance of the race varies depending on the configuration of the host racetrack.
BREEDERS’ CUP JUVENILE TURF SPRINT – GRADE 1 – 5F
(introduced in 2018 as a listed race, Grade 2 2019-21 and Grade 1 since 2022)
- ALL winners have been drawn in stall 4 or higher
- ALL winners were sent off 100/30 or shorter last time out
- 5 of the last 6 winners won last time out
- 4 of the 5 winners with a recorded RPR achieved their highest last time out
- The last 4 winners did NOT run in the last 40 days
“Will been drawn in stall 4 or higher, will have been sent off 100/30 or shorter last time out, ideally won and achieved their highest RPR last time out. Probably hasn’t run for 41+ days”
BREEDERS’ CUP JUVENILE FILLIES’ DIRT – GRADE 1 – 8.5F
- ALL of the last 10 winners ran in a G1 last time out
- ALL of the last 10 winners ran at either 8F or 8.5F last time out
- ALL of the last 10 winners last ran 26-36 days ago
- 8 of the last 10 winners placed top 2 last time out
- The last 6 winners had already won a G1
- 5 of the last 7 winners last ran in the Frizette Stakes (all finished top 2)
“Ran in a G1 over 8 or 8.5f last time out, ran 26-36 days ago and placed top 2 last time out. Probably has already won a G1 and look at the Frizette Stakes from this year”
2024 Frizette Stakes result:
1st – SCOTTISH LASSIE, won by 9 lengths – “Towards rear early, chased leaders after 2f, closed smoothly to be a half-length second 3f out, shaken up and led well over 1 1/2f out, kicked 5 lengths clear 1f out, stayed on under hands and heels”
2nd – SNOWYTE, first time blinkers – “Raced in final pair on inner, closed to chase leaders halfway, angled out and nearly 3 lengths third well over 1 1/2f out, chased clear leader approaching final furlong, no impression”
BREEDERS’ CUP JUVENILE FILLIES’ TURF – GRADE 1 – 8F
- ALL of the last 10 winners placed top 2 last time out (8 won)
- 9 of the last 10 winners recorded their highest RPR last time out
- 9 of the last 10 winners raced 2 or 3 times prior
- 8 of the last 10 winners did NOT run in a G1 last time out (2 who did were beaten)
- 8 of the last 10 winners already had 2 wins
- 8 of the last 10 winners were drawn top 4 or bottom 4
- Chad C. Brown has won 5 of the last 10 runnings
“Top 2 last time out but ideally won, recorded highest RPR last time out and has run 2 or 3 times. Didn’t run in a G1 last time out or was beaten, has 2 wins and favour those drawn in the top 4 or bottom 4. Respect Chad C. Brown”
BREEDERS’ CUP JUVENILE DIRT – GRADE 1 – 8.5F
- ALL of the last 10 winners were drawn in stall 4 or higher
- ALL of the last 10 winners last ran between 27-35 days ago
- ALL of the last 10 winners came from; The Champagne Stakes (Belmont) x2, The Futurity Stakes (Keeneland) x 3 or The American Pharoah Stakes (Santa Anita) x 5
- 9 of the last 10 winners recorded their highest RPR last time out
“Will be drawn in stall 4 or higher, last ran 27-35 days ago and recorded their highest RPR last time out. Will have run in The Champagne Stakes (Belmont), The Futurity Stakes (Keeneland) or The American Pharoah Stakes (Santa Anita) last time out”
2024 American Pharoah Stakes Result:
1st – CITIZEN BULL
2nd – GETAWAY CAR
3rd – MCKINZIE STREET
BREEDERS’ CUP JUVENILE TURF – GRADE 1 – 8F
- BOTH winners at Del Mar won from Stall 1
- ALL of the last 10 winners recorded their highest RPR last time out
- ALL of the last 10 winners placed top 2 last time out (7 won)
- 8 of the last 10 winners came from the bottom 5 stalls or the top 2
- 8 of the last 10 winners had already run 3 or more times
- 6 of the last 10 winners were trained in Ireland or Britain (last 3)
“Both winners at Del Mar won from Stall 1, will have recorded their highest RPR and finished top 2 but preferably won last time out. Should have run 3+ times and respect British & Irish runners”
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