Top Tipster Daryl Carter gives two tips for Wednesday’s racing, both running on the Ascot card.
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Posted: 5.27pm May 2nd (Odds correct at time posted)
1.30 Ascot – KEYSER SOZE (0.5pt E/W – 50/1 generally)
KEYSER SOZE shaped far better than the bare result on seasonal return at Lingfield, and he returns to the race he won in 2021 five pounds lower, so he looks to have been underestimated by the market at wild odds. When he won this race, he had switched back to turf, having run on the AW – the same scenario as today, and the blinkers wore on two of his last three runs (including a Kempton win) have had a positive effect on him. This is the first return to turf since July 2021, when 25/1 fifth at Newmarket. This tends to be the time of year to catch him, and looks worth chancing at big odds.
3.50 Ascot – BRADSELL (2pt win – 10/3 generally)
There’s little between Mischief Magic, Cold Case, Trillium, and BRADSELL on the bare form but he does come out on top. The selection can easily be forgiven his run in the Phoenix Stakes at the Curragh, having stumbled coming out of the stalls and never looking happy on the track – and then subsequently found to have an injury. Prior to that, he was a dominant winner of the Coventry Stakes at Royal Ascot in a very good time and did the best of those drawn low across the entire card. The form has worked out brilliantly, including that of the only other low-drawn runner (3rd Royal Scotsman). He is well worth forgiving in receipt of four pounds from the Godolphin favourite, who is respected on his Breeders’ Cup second but hasn’t matched the speed of Archie Watson’s improver. Bradsell looks good value here but punters should tread carefully on seasonal return. Still, he should be the clear favourite for this contest at around 7/4 rather than 10/3.
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Tue 02 May 20234.25 Ascot – Cash (1pt win – 6/1 generally)
It may pay to take a chance on the potential improver in the field in CASH, who has a bit to do on ratings, but this race has seen an upset many times in the last few years. Chindit is very much respected, having a 2/2 record on seasonal return (not including his debut), but his form last season hardly suggested he was improving, and he may have reached the peak of his powers. His form ties in very closely with stablemate Lusail who is another that lacked improvement last season and has looked a little tripless. At the same time, Tempus had also seen his form plateaux after a jolt of improvement last term and needs to bounce back from a below-par seasonal return. Raadobarg has a good record first time up, but the fitting of the cheek-pieces tempers enthusiasm, and he will need to improve as much, if not more, than the selection. Cash, shaped with considerable promise in two runs on turf, arguably has the strongest form with an excellent and unlucky short-head second to the 119-rated Westover this time last year. He has had just three runs, and his last run at Kempton saw him unfavoured by a steady gallop. This should be more suitably run for his strong finishing effort, and he has been written off too quickly by the market as the outsider of the field.
Daryl Carter’s Best Bets
1.30 Ascot – KEYSER SOZE (0.5pt E/W – 50/1 generally)
3.50 Ascot – BRADSELL (2pt win – 10/3 generally)
4.25 Ascot – Cash (1pt win – 6/1 generally)
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