Glorious Goodwood is the next big racing festival on the horizon. To get prepared for the main event, Dave Young has looked into the trends of all the individual contests, starting with day one.
Coral Chesterfield Cup Handicap (Class 2) – 1m2f
- ALL of the last 10 winners were aged 4 or 5
- ALL of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out
- 9 of the last 10 winners ran in the last 25 days
- 8 of the last 10 winners had an OR between 95-102
- 8 of the last 10 winners had fewer than 20 flat runs
- 7 of the last 10 winners had already won at 10f
- 7 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stall 10 or higher
- 6 of the last 10 winners were favourite, joint favourite or second favourite
- 6 of the last 10 winners came from the top 3 or bottom 3 stalls
- 4 of the last 10 winners last raced in the John Smiths Cup at York
“Will be aged 4 or 5, did NOT win last time out, last ran 25 days ago or less and has an OR of 95-102. Respect the front two in the market and those drawn near the wings. Bonus point if last raced in the John Smiths Cup at York.”
HKJC World Pool Vintage Stakes (Group 2) – 7f
- ALL of the last 10 winners had already won a race
- 9 of the last 10 winners placed top 2 last time out
- 9 of the last 10 winners had NOT already raced at Goodwood
- 9 of the last 10 winners had 2 or more runs
- 7 of the last 10 winners had already raced at 7f
- 7 of the last 10 winners were sent off as favourite
- 7 of the last 10 winners ran in the last 4 weeks
- 7 of the last 10 winners had already been beaten
- 6 of the last 10 winners won last time out
“Has won a race, placed Top 2 last time out with two or more career runs. Has raced at 7f, ran in the last 4 weeks, has probably been beaten and respect favourites.”
World Pool Lennox Stakes (Group 2) – 7f
- ALL of the last 10 winners had 3 or more career wins
- ALL of the last 10 winners had already won a Group race
- 9 of the last 10 winners had two or more wins at 7f (the other had not run at 7f)
- 9 of the last 10 winners were aged 4 or older
- 9 of the last 10 winners had 2 or more runs that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 111+
- 8 of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out
- 7 of the last 10 winners had already raced at Goodwood
“Will have 3 or more career wins including a Group race and multiple wins at 7f. Has 2 or more runs this season, probably beaten last time out, has an OR of 111+ and aged 4+.”
Al Shaqab Goodwood Cup Stakes (Group 1) – 2m
- ALL of the last 10 winners had won at least a Group 2
- 9 of the last 10 winners had last run between 21 and 40 days ago
- 9 of the last 10 winners had won that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners were aged 4 or older
- 9 of the last 10 winners won last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 116+
- 8 of the last 10 winners had raced at 16f (7 had won)
- 7 of the last 10 winners last ran in the Princess of Wales stakes or Gold Cup at Ascot
- 7 of the last 10 winners were sent off as favourite
“At least a Group 2 winner, last ran 21 to 40 days ago, won last time out, aged 4+ with an OR of 116+ and has raced at 16f.”
Coral Handicap (Class 2) – 5f
- No winning first or second favourite in the last 10 running’s
- ALL of the last 10 winners did NOT place last time out
- ALL of the last 10 winners had 3 or more runs that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners had 15 or more career runs (the last 9)
- 8 of the last 10 winners had won 3 or more times at 5f
- 8 of the last 10 winners had 4 or more runs that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 89 or lower
- 5 of the last 10 winners came from the highest stall or lowest 3 stalls
“Avoid 1st and 2nd favourites, will have NOT placed last time out, has 3 or more runs this season and 15 or more career runs. Has 3 or more wins at 5f and an OR of 89 or lower.”
Maiden Stakes (Class 2) – 6f
- 8 of the last 10 winners were priced 13/2 or shorter (5 favourites)
- 8 of the last 10 winners had already run (all of the last 6)
- ALL of the 8 winners who had raced ran in a double-figure sized field last time out
- ALL of the 8 winners who had raced finished 6th or better
- ALL of the 8 winners who had raced had run at 6 furlongs
- 4 of the last 6 winners were the favourite
“Probably priced 13/2 or shorter and respect favourites. Likely to have already run and will have run at 6 furlongs and placed 6th or better in a double-figure sized field.”
Fillies’ Handicap (Class 3) – 1m
- ALL of the 9 winners had already run at 1m
- 8 of the 9 winners raced in the last 3 weeks
- 8 of the 9 winners had won a race this season
- 7 of the 9 winners ran in a Handicap last time out (all beaten last time out)
- 7 of the 9 winners had 5 or more career runs
- 7 of the 9 winners had an OR of between 83-88 (last four years 88,87,90,88)
“Will have run at 1 mile, ran in the last 3 weeks, has won this season and look to those who were beaten in a Handicap last time out. Likely to have 5 or more career runs and holds an OR of 83-88.”
Fillies’ Handicap (Class 3) – 6f
- ALL 4 winners raced at 6f last time out
- ALL 4 winners had an OR between 80-84
- ALL 4 winners ran in a Handicap last time out (3 were beaten last time out)
- ALL 4 winners had no more than 1 win this season
- 3 of the 4 favourites have NOT placed
- 3 of the 4 winners last ran at Newmarket
“Will have run in a 6f Handicap last time out and respect those coming from Newmarket. Hold and OR between 80 and 84 and has no more than 1 win this season.”