Day three of Glorious Goodwood features another Group 1 prize in the Nassau Stakes. With eight races to enjoy on the whole, Dave Young has had a look at the stats for each of the day’s contests.
Coral Kincsem Handicap (Class 2) – 1m2f
- 9 of the last 10 winners had no more than 2 career wins
- 8 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 88+
- 8 of the last 10 winners finished top 4 last time out (3 had won)
- 8 of the last 10 winners were single-figure priced
- 8 of the last 10 winners had won that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners had run at 1m2f (6 had won)
- 7 of the last 10 winners had 4 or more runs that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners ran inside the last 21 days (two others came from the London Gold Cup at Newbury)
“No more than 2 career wins, preferably placed top 4 last time out, has won this season, a single-figure price, holds an OR of 88+ and has run at 1m2f.”
Markel Richmond Stakes (Group 2) – 6f
- 9 of the last 10 winners were either the 1st or 3rd favourite
- 9 of the last 10 favourites finished in the top 2 (5 won)
- 9 of the last 10 winners had been beaten that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran inside the last 30 days
- 7 of the last 10 winners won last time out
“Look to the 1st and 3rd in the betting, ideally won last time out and ran in the last 30 days but likely to have been beaten this season.”
Gordon Stakes (Group 3) – 1m
- 9 of the last 10 winners last ran 21 days ago or more
- 8 of the last 10 winners had 2 or 3 career wins
- 7 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 104+ (last year held no BHA OR)
- 7 of the last 10 winners had already raced at 12f but only 2 had won
- 7 of the last 10 winners came from the first 3 in the betting (4 favourites)
“Ran 21 days ago or more, likely to have an OR of 104+, has raced at 12f but doesn’t need to have won at 12f and look to those with just 2 or 3 career wins.”
Qatar Nassau Stakes (Group 1) – 1m2f
- ALL of the last 10 winners had been beaten that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 111+
- 8 of the last 10 winners came from the first 3 in the betting (4 favourites)
- 8 of the last 10 winners had already won a Group 1
- 8 of the last 10 winners had 3 or more runs that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners finished in the top 2 last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners last ran between 34 and 43 days ago
- 7 of the last 10 winners had already won that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners were aged 3
“Will have been beaten this season, hold an OR of 111+, look to the first three in the betting, has won a Group 1, finished top 2 last time out and last ran 34-43 days ago.”
Jaeger-Lecoultre Nursery Handicap (Class 2) – 7f
- ALL of the last 10 winners were making their handicap debut
- 8 of the last 10 winners had exactly 3 runs
- 8 of the last 10 winners last ran in a Class 4 or Class 5
- 8 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 81+
- 7 of the last 10 winners had already run at 7f (5 had won)
- 7 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stalls 4, 5 and 6
- 7 of the last 10 winners at least placed last time out
“A handicap debutant, likely to have had 3 runs this season and probably ran in a Class 4 or 5 last time out. Has an OR of 81 or higher, placed last time out and bonus points if drawn in stalls 4, 5 or 6.”
Buccellati Handicap (Class 3) – 5f
- ALL of the last 10 winners ran in a Handicap last time out
- ALL of the last 10 winners last ran 31 days ago or less
- 9 of the last 10 winners were single-figure priced
- 8 of the last 10 winners had already won that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners had 4 or more runs that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners had ALL their wins at 5f
- 7 of the last 10 winners had NOT already run at Goodwood
“Ran 31 days ago or less in a Handicap, likely to be single-figure priced with at least 4 runs this season and a win this season. Respect those with all wins at 5f and Goodwood debutants.”
Maiden Fillies Stakes (Class 2) – 7f
- ALL of the last 10 winners had no more than one run prior
- 7 of the last 10 winners were either favourite or joint favourite
- 6 of the last 10 winners who had raced did so at 7 furlongs
- 6 of the last 10 winners who had raced finished top 3 last time out
- 6 of the last 10 winners last ran at either Newmarket or Newbury
“Should have no more than one run and probably finished top 3 and race at 7 furlongs. Respect those from Newmarket or Newbury and respect favourites even more.”
World Pool Handicap (Class 3) – 1m
(Introduced 2023)
“Too few runnings to notice any trends.”