Daryl Carter has seven bets on a cracking Saturday’s racing. Check out his thoughts below, with selections backable via William Hill and their exclusive new customer offer that provides £60 in free bets when you bet £10.
BOUNDLESS POWER – (1.45 Doncaster, 1pt each-way, 14/1)
The best-handicapped horse in this Portland Handicap is undoubtedly BOUNDLESS POWER. Whether things will fall right for him is another matter, but he must be backed after shaping with considerable promise at Royal Ascot when given far too much to do behind Significantly and Hurricane Ivor.
He made up plenty of ground and finished with a punch, and that suggests today’s extra 1/2 furlong will suit him well. He got no run at Goodwood when finishing on the bridle, and it was the same case in the Racing League last time out behind a subsequent winner. He finished with plenty of running left after being denied a clear passage on a number of occasions. He runs off the same mark here, and 1lb lower than his Ascot run and will have a race run to suit over the ideal distance. He must go close!
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JAWWAAL – (1.45 Doncaster, 1pt each-way, 10/1)
JAWWAAL loves it here at Doncaster (3-6), and he has been drawn well (all winners drawn high in the last 10 years). He stuck on eye-catching well at York on the wrong side of the track and then finished strongly behind Mondammej at Haydock last time.
He has improved this season, recording a career-best RPR at this venue and deserves plenty of respect off this mark of 99.
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ALOUNAK – (2.00 Chester, 1pt win, 5/2)
ALOUNAK ran a blinder for us in the Ebor last time and didn’t get the clearest of runs. That was a career-best effort on the figures, and he still looks on the upgrade.
This is far weaker than he is used to contesting outside of the favourite Alignak, who returns from a long absence (has won fresh previously), but that one has clearly had some issues, and he faces an in-form rival here.
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GOLDEN ROMANCE – (2.05 Bath, 1pt win, 10/1)
I am happy to take a chance on handicap debutant GOLDEN ROMANCE for trainer Saeed bin Suroor, who has had three runs over 5f and 6f yet she is a half brother to Dubai Mirage who started his career off over 1m.
She steps up to 1m for the first time today on handicap debut and she has been given a lowly opening handicap mark of just 69. Sean Kirrane claims a further five pounds. Her trainer has a 40% record here at Bath with his last 50 runners and an 18% strike rate with handicap debutants. He did the same thing when we scored with Royal Partnership back in July.
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HOCHFELD – (2.35 Chester, 2pt win, 5/1)
HOCHFELD looks like one of the bets of the day now dropped into a Class 3 for the first time since finding his stablemate a neck too good at Hamilton off a handicap mark of 98, and that was a deep contest. Thanks to Jonny Peate’s claim, he effectively runs off a handicap mark of 89, the lowest since scoring here at Chester in 2017.
His form figures at this venue read 32211, with two of his defeats coming in Listed company and the other his latest run behind Falcon Eight and the Grand Visir in the Chester Cup. Stall ten will put many off, but high draws over 1m4f to 1m6f actually have a higher return of investment, and this is too good an opportunity to pass up.
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SCOPE (w/o Hurricane Lane) – (3.35 Doncaster, 1pt each-way, 25/1)
SCOPE ran a blinder in the Great Voltigeur on his first start for 102 days, and that was just his second run on good ground in his four-race career. He has very little on that evidence to find with those that are much shorter than him in the market. He was beaten two lengths at York and finished ahead of High Definition while closing up to The Mediterranean, Youth Spirit and Sir Lucan.
He stuck on strongly again at the finish when it looked as though he took a blow which gave the impression this longer trip would suit him. He was on the sharp end of the pace for much of the race and is entitled to improve for the run. He is far less exposed than a lot of these, and he could prove a surprise package in the without the favourite market.
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TRAIS FLUORS – (5.10 Doncaster, 0.5pt each-way, 33/1)
Royal Fleet is very much respected here, and he is entitled to continue to improve, but there was a big distance back to him from Isla Kai at York, and they both came from wide draws, so it’s hard to find excuses for that defeat.
It might pay to take a chance on TRAIS FLUORS, who started the season off in the Listed Doncaster Mile when rated 106 and has fallen 13lbs in the handicap despite getting his head in front easily at Sandown in June when beating Latest Generation. That form ties in with Royal Fleet, who beat the same horse less convincingly at Newmarket on his penultimate start.
Since then, he has run well in the Royal Hunt Cup off a handicap mark of 100 and failed to get a clear run on multiple occasions, was poorly positioned at Sandown in July off a very slow pace and then was on the wrong side of the track but only beaten two lengths at Newmarket by Rifleman (another form line to tie in with Royal Fleet).
He had no chance at Goodwood from stall 15 and caught the eye last time behind Cruyff Turn (beaten 3 lengths) when denied a clear passage but finished strongly from off the pace. Those last four runs came off of handicap marks of 97 and 96, and he is now off 93. He has a class edge, and he may be able to capitalise off this falling mark before the seasons out.
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Daryl Carter’s Best Bets
BOUNDLESS POWER – (1.45 Doncaster, 1pt each-way, 14/1)
JAWWAAL – (1.45 Doncaster, 1pt each-way, 10/1)
ALOUNAK – (2.00 Chester, 1pt win, 5/2)
GOLDEN ROMANCE – (2.05 Bath, 1pt win, 10/1)
HOCHFELD – (2.35 Chester, 2pt win, 5/1)
SCOPE (w/o Hurricane Lane) – (3.35 Doncaster, 1pt each-way, 25/1)
TRAIS FLUORS – (5.10 Doncaster, 0.5pt each-way, 33/1)
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