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King Charles III Stakes tips, odds, racecard & trends 2026: 40/1 shot of interest in 26-runner Group 1

King Charles III Stakes tips, odds, racecard & trends 2026: 40/1 shot of interest in 26-runner Group 1

Few Group 1s go to post with more than ten runners, let alone the 26 declared for the King Charles III Stakes at Royal Ascot on Tuesday. The sprint will be a “blink and you miss it” affair, with representation from Britain, Ireland, France and Australia.

GG tipster Joe Napier previews this fascinating contest on day one of the royal meeting. He suggests a 40/1 shot against the field.

2026 King Charles III Stakes Runners 

Take your pick from 26 runners in this extraordinary Group 1. Overpass rates as the headline act. He travels over from Australia where he generally runs consistent races in the best sprinting country on the planet. Most of his race stake place over 6f, but it would be a surprise if the seven-year-old did not have the pace to manage the drop back in trip.

He is a strong favourite given he faces 25 rivals though. Rayevka could be another global raider on the up. The French filly, trained by Francis-Henri Graffard, was third in the Commonwealth Cup a year ago, though may want it softer. Compatriot Monteille may be up against it, while Aussie mare Asfoora, a familiar name in British racing, has flopped twice this term.

2025 Royal Ascot winners American Affair and Time For Sandals are back. The former claimed this race in game fashion and stepped back towards his best at Haydock last time out. The latter has not won since this meeting a year ago and has to prove she can mix it at 5f.

Night Raider has improved substantially this term, but Ascot does not hold good memories. He may be a different enough horse now and represents powerful connections, as does the three-year-old Mission Central for Ballydoyle. This may come slightly too soon for Aidan O’Brien’s charge.

Unsurprisingly, outsiders with chances abound. Starlust showed enough pace to win at the Breeders’ Cup and may be the most gifted 5f sprinter in Britain. He should come on significantly after returning from nearly a year off at Carlisle and will get a strong pace to aim at from in behind. Ralph Beckett’s runner could be very dangerous once more.

Others worth noting are the completely unexposed Behike for Amo Racing. Meanwhile, Cover Up, a Group 2 winner in Meydan over the winter, and Shagraan, a course and distance Listed scorer worth forgiving a lifeless effort latest, could also offer value at lengthy prices.

2026 King Charles III Stakes Racecard

15:40 Ascot

Good To Firm

King Charles III Stakes (Group 1)

  • First Prize: £396970
  • 0m 5f 0y
  • Class 1
  • 26 runners
ITV
Ascot

Runners: 26 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Cloudy

1 (12)
Aint Nobody uniform
Form: 007-09 CD
OR: 106
W: 9st 7lb
Age: 4 yo Colt
Won the Listed Windsor Castle at this meeting as a 2yo; some ups and downs since, with his second to Asfoora in the Group 1 Nunthorpe at York (good to firm; first-time cheekpieces) last August showing what can be done on a good day; however, he needs to rise far above two heavy defeats this year.
Form: 151-02 CD
OR: 111
W: 9st 7lb
Age: 6 yo Gelding
A massive improver in 2025 as he was still cleaning up in handicaps in the spring before nipping home to win this race (good to firm) from Frost At Dawn; down the field on first run since, at York in May, but he came on a ton to chase home Night Raider at Haydock (5f, good to soft) latest; likely to pull out the stops for another excellent effort.
Form: 2510-7 CD
OR: 117
W: 9st 7lb
Age: 4 yo Colt
6f winner here last April; best form at that trip in Group 1s since, going down narrowly in the July Cup at Newmarket (good to firm) and later winning the Sprint Cup at Haydock (good) last September; beaten favourite at Goodwood (good to soft) in between when having a rare 5f run but this stiffer test at the trip and quicker ground will suit; needs extra all the same.
Form: 41-138 CD
OR: 109
W: 9st 7lb
Age: 6 yo Gelding
One of his best domestic efforts when winning a C&D handicap last July; seemingly improved when successful in 5f Listed and Group 2 events at Meydan (yielding and good) in midwinter but has much more to do in this company.
Form: 213-37 D
OR: 101
W: 9st 7lb
Age: 4 yo Gelding
Unraced as 2yo; made good progress in 2025, ending with a Listed third of ten over C&D (soft) but, after a satisfactory return in a similar race at Naas (good) in April, he was never involved in the Group 2 at Haydock won by Night Raider; aiming high today.
6 (23)
Jakajaro uniform
Form: 57-114 D
OR: 108
W: 9st 7lb
Age: 5 yo Gelding
3-30 turf strike-rate doesn’t do justice to his ability and he confirmed his recent improvement when a highly creditable fourth, again from the front, in a Group 2 at Haydock (good to soft; acts well on good) in May; this stiffer track and tougher opposition are likely to count against him.
Form: 160-49 D
OR: 108
W: 9st 7lb
Age: 6 yo Colt
Best form on sharp tracks; never better than for a Group 2 win at Goodwood (5f, good to soft) last August but well held in the Nunthorpe at York next time on his sole attempt at a Group 1 in Britain; has work to do.
Form: 450-11 D
OR: 112
W: 9st 7lb
Age: 5 yo Colt
Turned his back on a brilliant AW career and, after some fruitless efforts on turf in 2025, as when fading into mid-division in this race, the switch has paid off handsomely since he was gelded, the usual front-running tactics working well at Newmarket (good to firm) before he showed he doesn’t have to lead when arriving late for a cosy Group 2 win at Haydock (also 5f, good to soft) in May; this stiff 5f asks a question but he could achieve yet more.
OUR TIP
Form: 9423-4 D
OR: 116
W: 9st 7lb
Age: 7 yo Gelding
The latest in a long line of terrific Australian sprinters to grace this meeting; winless since impressing from the widest draw in a Group 1 at his native Ascot in late 2024 but he’s run many fine races since, including in the Group 1 Everest (6f, good) last October when having second place taken from him only near the line; that would have been strong form even without the winner Ka Ying Rising, the world’s top sprinter, and he should have the speed to hold his usual prominent position back over 5f; solid chance.
10 (4)
Rumstar uniform
Form: 5560-2 CD
OR: 110
W: 9st 7lb
Age: 6 yo Gelding
Acts well on good or quicker; Listed winner over C&D; has had excuses for two Group 1 defeats at 5f in Britain, not ideally drawn in this race last June and checked in his run in the Nunthorpe at York in August, albeit still doing well in the latter in fifth of 17 to Asfoora; useful comeback at Newmarket in April when a close second to Night Raider; can be thereabouts.
11 (10)
Shagraan uniform
Form: 121-30 CD
OR: 107
W: 9st 7lb
Age: 5 yo Gelding
Ended 2025 with 5f Listed wins at Beverley (good to firm) and over C&D (soft) either side of a Group 2 second to First Instinct at Newbury; has a lot to find on those efforts and also on this year’s runs for a new yard.
12 (5)
Starlust uniform
Form: 0/74-6 DBF
OR: 109
W: 9st 7lb
Age: 5 yo Colt
Smart 5f form as 3yo included close third in the Group 1 Nunthorpe at York and a win in the Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint (firm); just four runs since, best of those when fourth of 20 in this race last year when ending up away from the main action; went to stud after (that career is on hold for now) and needs his recent Carlisle reappearance to have brought him on plenty.
13 (26)
Asfoora uniform
Form: 171-00 CD
OR: 113
W: 9st 4lb
Age: 7 yo Mare
Superb Australian mare who was produced to perfection to win this in 2024 (good to firm); her preparation didn’t go well last year when only fifth but she later added two more Group 1 wins in the Nunthorpe at York and the Abbaye at Longchamp; well below best in two runs this year (without regular blinkers which now return with tongue-tie added) but the wet winter in Britain would have been a shock to her system and she’s not at all ruled out.
Form: 81-615 D
OR: 98
W: 9st 4lb
Age: 6 yo Mare
Improved form when winning a 5f Listed race at Bath (good) in April; finished a creditable fifth of eight in a similar Carlisle race (good to firm) since but she’s up a gum tree at this level.
Form: 5410-9 D
OR: 106
W: 9st 4lb
Age: 4 yo Filly
Useful 5f form as a 3yo, inching forward again when gaining a narrow win over Shagraan in a Group 3 at Newbury (5f, good to soft; acts on good) last September; she was entitled to need the run behind Night Raider at Newmarket in April but a big advance on her form is needed.
Form: 430-08 D
OR: 106
W: 9st 4lb
Age: 5 yo Filly
Has only ever won three races but there’s no doubting how smart she is when getting good to firm ground, as when beaten by only American Affair in the 2025 running and a later third to Asfoora in the Group 1 Nunthorpe at York; it’s easy to excuse two defeats in 2026 and look forward to another solid show.
Form: 152542 D
OR: 92
W: 9st 4lb
Age: 5 yo Filly
Useful handicapper whose three wins have all come on the AW, most recently over 5f in January; faces a daunting task this time.
18 (2)
Mgheera uniform
Form: 865-65 D
OR: 104
W: 9st 4lb
Age: 6 yo Mare
Had a brainstorm before this race last year when refusing to go in the stalls but she’d impressed the time before when winning a Group 2 at Haydock (5f, good); some respectable efforts in Group races over the last 12 months haven’t suggested she’ll be a serious threat this time.
Form: 10-745 D
OR: 101
W: 9st 4lb
Age: 6 yo Filly
Useful in 5f Listed races last year, finishing second at York (good to firm) in July and winning at Deauville (good) the following month, but hard to fancy on her Group-race form or 2026 efforts.
Form: 816-75 D
OR: 109
W: 9st 4lb
Age: 5 yo Filly
Admirable close eighth of 20 in this last June (good to firm) considering she’s well suited by good to soft or slower ground; showed her best colours when beating Rayevka to win Group 3 at Longchamp (5f, very soft) last September but will do well to improve on last year’s run under these conditions.
21 (15)
Rayevka uniform
Form: 26-561 D
OR: 108
W: 9st 4lb
Age: 4 yo Filly
Ran a scorcher when coming from well back to finish third of 21 to Time For Sandals in the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup here (6f, good to firm) last June; two defeats at Meydan this spring but she was impressive back over 5f in a Group 3 at Longchamp (soft) in May and this up-and-comer is expected by connections to improve for the return to quick ground; much respected.
Form: 411-21 D
OR: 108
W: 9st 4lb
Age: 5 yo Filly
Successful over 5f in the very early days but three wins in her last four starts have all been over 6f, in Listed races at home and a Group 3 at Deauville; returns to this trip for the first time since beaten in a Listed event last July and others have much stronger claims.
Form: 137-58 CBF
OR: 109
W: 9st 4lb
Age: 4 yo Filly
Her win in the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup (good to firm) at the Royal meeting last year was a big advance on previous form and, although she ran perfectly well back over 5f next time, when a close third to Jm Jungle in a Group 2 at Goodwood (good to soft), her overall form suggests she’ll be found wanting on her first 5f run since.
Form: 133-73 BF
OR: 106
W: 9st 1lb
Age: 3 yo Colt
Best 2yo form when dropped to 5f on final two starts, signing off with a close third of 12 in the Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint (firm); he needed to progress as 3yo to have a chance today but that hasn’t happened, so the first-time visor has a big job to do.
25 (8)
Behike uniform
Form: 3-11
OR: 100
W: 9st 1lb
Age: 3 yo Colt
Wide-margin winner of both 6f starts, on Lingfield AW and in a turf novice on that course; has potential but also a mighty task trying to cross the chasm into a Group 1 against the pros on first 5f run.
Form: 610-11 CD
OR: 110
W: 9st 1lb
Age: 3 yo Gelding
Best 2yo form over 6f, including when winning a valuable conditions race on this track; vulnerable over 5f then but speed tests at this trip have proved his forte in 2026, disposing of his rivals in two Listed races at Naas (good) quite impressively; intriguing contender back up in class.

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

80/1 Aint Nobody, 8/1 American Affair, 16/1 Big Mojo, 66/1 Cover Up, 50/1 Getreadytorumble, 33/1 Jakajaro, 40/1 Jm Jungle, 7/1 Night Raider, 11/4 Overpass, 16/1 Rumstar, 66/1 Shagraan, 33/1 Starlust, 8/1 Asfoora, 150/1 Azure Angel, 66/1 First Instinct, 40/1 Frost At Dawn, 100/1 Heavenly Heather, 33/1 Mgheera, 66/1 Miss Attitude, 50/1 Monteille, 11/2 Rayevka, 33/1 Rosy Affair, 16/1 Time For Sandals, 100/1 Aspect Island, 33/1 Behike, 8/1 Mission Central

Verdict

It would be just great to see the 2024 winner Asfoora do herself justice once more and the hope is that the return of blinkers, which were a help last year, will see her put this year’s efforts behind her. However, this looks a stronger version than that in 2024, and also than last year’s when American Affair won from Frost At Dawn, and OVERPASS is taken to carry on the proud tradition of Australian sprinters at the Royal meeting. This stiff 5f shouldn’t be a problem, and he may in fact relish it, having run so well for a long way in the world’s most valuable turf race, the Everest, last October. Rayevka still has some hidden firepower to reveal over 5f and she can be the main danger ahead of Mission Central who has impressed in Listed races this year. Night Raider showed he can hoard his abundant speed when coming from off the pace to win at Haydock but this more demanding track will ask a different question. Rumstar was close behind him at Newmarket in the spring and is also worth a look, while Frost At Dawn also has a good run in her among those at big prices.[Emily Weber]

Selections

POSTDATA:

First Instinct

TOPSPEED:

Big Mojo

RP RATINGS:

Night Raider

SPOTLIGHT:

Overpass

Here are four trends to follow if you want to take a stats based approach to the King Charles III Stakes.

  • Only one horse aged older than 6 has won this in the last decade
  • Four of the last seven winners have been five-year-olds
  • Australian runners have won two of the last four renewals
  • Only one favourite has been victorious in the last ten runnings

2026 King Charles III Stakes Tips 

Australian raider Overpass may once again prove that international raiders have the edge over British sprinters. He has not raced over a bare 5f since April 2021 as a two-year-old though. Similarly, his odds cannot make appeal given he faces 25 rivals. Sprints at Ascot have produced some very unusual results even at the top level in recent seasons, yet Starlust would be no great shock despite his significant price. The five-year-old has not had the clearest run since winning at the Breeders’ Cup in 2024. His best effort in four runs since came when fourth in this a year ago when challenging away from first three home. A strong gallop at the trip should suit though and he should come on plenty from his return after nearly a year off at Carlisle. 2025 hero American Affair looks to have had an ideal build-up, but other outsiders make each-way appeal, notably Cover Up and Shagraan.

FAQ

When and where is the King Charles III Stakes?

The King Charles III Stakes will take place at Ascot racecourse on Tuesday 16 June, 2026 at 3.40pm.

How can I watch the King Charles III Stakes on Tuesday?

The King Charles III Stakes is live on ITV Racing at 3.40pm on Tuesday.

When were the King Charles III Stakes tips published?

The tips for the King Charles III Stakes were published at 2.27pm on Monday 15 June.

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