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NEWMARKET FUTURE CHAMPIONS FESTIVAL DAY 2 TRENDS

NEWMARKET FUTURE CHAMPIONS FESTIVAL DAY 2 TRENDS

The second day of the Future Champions festival at Newmarket features two of the most hotly-anticipated races in the flat calendar: the Dewhurst Stakes and the Cesarewitch Handicap. Dave Young is on hand with all of the trends you need to take note of.

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13:15 DARLEY STAKES – GROUP 3 – 1M 1F

  • ALL of the last 10 winners had between 2 and 4 career wins
  • ALL of the last 10 winners either won last time out or did NOT place
  • 8 of the last 10 winners had run 4 or 5 times that season (Other two hadn’t won)
  • 8 of the last 10 winners did NOT run in Group company last time out
  • 7 of the last 10 winners had run on this course (5 had won)
  • 7 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 105+

“Will have won last time out or not placed, will have between 2 and 4 career wins, has run 4 or 5 times this season or is winless and look for an OR of 105+”

13:50 ZETLAND STAKES – GROUP 3 – 1M 2F

  • ALL of the last 10 winners had been beaten or raced and won just once
  • 9 of the last 10 winners ran at 1 mile last time out (all the last 9)
  • 8 of the last 10 winners were priced 7/2 or shorter (other two were single figures)
  • 8 of the last 10 winners were sent off 4/1 or shorter last time out
  • 6 of the last 10 winners ran inside the last 3 weeks

“Won’t be unbeaten unless only once raced, should have run at 1 mile last time out and sent off 4/1 or shorter in that race. Look to the first two in the betting”

14:25 AUTUMN STAKES – GROUP 3 – 1M

  • 9 of the last 10 winners were NOT unbeaten (the other raced just once)
  • 8 of the last 10 winners were from the first 3 in the betting
  • 7 of the last 8 winners were all Godolphin owned
  • William Buick has ridden the winner in 6 of the last 9 running’s
  • Charlie Appleby has trained the last 4 winners

“Will have been beaten or only raced once, likely to be in the first 3 in the betting and respect Godolphin, William Buick and Charlie Appleby runners”

15:00 DEWHURST STAKES – GROUP 1 – 7F

  • 9 of the last 10 winners raced at 7 furlongs last time out
  • 9 of the last 10 winners had 2 or more wins
  • 8 of the last 10 winners won last time out
  • 8 of the last 10 winners had already won a Group race
  • 8 of the last 10 winners ran in the last 28 days or less
  • 7 of the last 10 winners were favourite or joint favourite
  • 5 of the last 10 winners were trained by Aidan O’Brien

“Should have run at 7 furlongs last time and should have won last time out, Has 2 or more wins, already won a Group race, respect favourites and Aidan O’Brien runners”

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15:40 CESAREWITCH HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 2M 2F

  • ALL of the last 10 winners were drawn no higher than stall 24
  • ALL of the last 10 winners did NOT run in the last 20 days
  • 9 of the last 10 winners had no more than 3 previous flat wins
  • 8 of the last 10 winners had previously run over hurdles
  • 8 of the last 10 winners had an OR of between 86 and 97
  • 8 of the last 10 winners did NOT run in the last 4 weeks
  • 8 of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out
  • 7 of the last 10 winners carried less than 9 stone
  • The 8 winners who had hurdled, had a flat rating 44 or more points lower than their jumps rating

“Will be drawn in stall 24 or lower, has not run in the last 20 days and shouldn’t have more than 3 flat wins. Likely to have hurdled with an OR of between 86-97”

16:15 NURSERY HANDICAP – CLASS 3 – 7F (introduced in 2017)

  • 6 of the last 7 winners had won a race
  • 6 of the last 7 winners last ran 29 days ago or less
  • 6 of the last 7 winners were NOT the favourite
  • 6 of the last 7 winners had already run at 7 furlongs

“Should have won a race, last run inside the last 30 days, is unlikely to be sent off favourite and has already run at 7 furlongs”

16:50 BOADICEA STAKES – LISTED – 6F

  • ALL of the last 10 winners last ran 31 days ago or less
  • 9 of the last 10 winners had already won at 6 furlongs
  • 8 of the last 10 winners were drawn in the top half
  • 8 of the last 10 winners had an OR of less than 100
  • 8 of the last 10 winners had won a race that season
  • 8 of the last 10 winners had 5 or more runs that season
  • 8 of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out
  • 6 of the last 10 winners last ran in the Sceptre stakes or Newmarket Fillies Handicap

“Will have last run inside the last 32 days, has won at 6 furlongs, ideally drawn in the top half with an OR of less than 100 and has won this season but not last time out”

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