Day three at Punchestown sees stamina to the fore with the Champion Stayers Hurdle the feature race and an attempt at immortality for Home By The Lee following his Cheltenham and Aintree heroics.
The card is supported with the Grade 1 Novices chase over 2m½f proceeded by two valuable handicaps and the La Touche Cup, a Cross Country chase. The last race has been a bumper to follow with some real talent on the honours roll and even in behind too. All in all, this a great card which marks the half-way stage of the festival.
14:30 – The Specialist Group Handicap Hurdle 2m
- 9 of the last 10 winners were aged 6 or younger
- 9 of the last 10 winners had won that season (6 once and 3 twice)
- 9 of the last 10 winners had NOT won at Punchestown (8 had run here)
- 9 of the last 10 winners had at least 5 runs that season (8 had 7+ including flat races)
- 9 of the last 10 winners were NOT trained by Willie Mullins (0) or Gordon Elliott (1)
- 7 of the last 10 winners held an OR of 116 to 119
15:05 – Mares Novice Hurdle (Listed) 2m½f
- 9 of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners had at least 3 runs already that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners were sent off 4/1 or shorter
- 7 of the last 10 winners were trained by Willie Mullins (5) or Gordon Elliott (2)
- 7 of the last 10 winners last ran at Fairyhouse (4) or Cheltenham (3)
- 6 of the last 10 winners were sent off favourite (66% ROI)
- 6 of the last 10 winners were aged 6
15:40 – La Touche Cup Cross-Country Chase – 4m1f
- ALL of the last 10 winners last ran at Punchestown (6) or Cheltenham (4) (Both profitable to back blind)
- 9 of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out
- 9 of the last 10 winners were NOT the favourite
- 8 of the last 10 winners carried no more than 11-07
- 7 of the last 10 winners were aged 11 or older
16:15 – The Conway Piling Listed Handicap Hurdle – 2m7½f
- 9 of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners were aged 7 or younger
- 8 of the last 10 winners held an OR of 128 or higher
- 8 of the last 10 winners had between 2 and 5 runs that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners carried 11-01 to 11-09
- 7 of the last 10 winners last ran between 31 and 60 days ago
- 7 of the last 10 winners had NOT won at 3 miles or further before now
- 7 of the last 10 winners last ran at Cheltenham (4) or Fairyhouse (3)
- 4 of the last 10 winners were sent of as favourite (+£15 to £1 stakes)
16:50 – Frontline Security Handicap Chase 2m½f
- 9 of the last 10 winners were sent off no bigger than 12/1 (other winner was 16/1)
- 9 of the last 10 winners came from the Top 5 in the betting
- 9 of the last 10 winers carried 10-06 to 11-09
- 9 of the last 10 winners had 4 or more runs that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners were aged between 6 and 8
- 7 of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out
- 6 of the last 10 winners last ran at Aintree (3) or Fairyhouse (3)
17:25 – Novice Chase (Grade 1) 2m½f
- ALL of the last 10 winners were trained by Willie Mullins (not profitable blind)
- 9 of the last 10 winners had not lost more than once that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners held an OR of 159 or higher
- 8 of the last 10 winners had already won a Grade 1 before now
- 8 of the last 10 winners won last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners were the favourite (other two were 2nd and 3rd favourite)
- 7 of the last 10 winners last ran at Cheltenham (5) or Aintree (2)
18:05 – Champion Stayers Hurdle (Grade 1) 3m
- 9 of the last 10 winners were multiple Grade 1 winners before now
- 8 of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners last ran at Cheltenham (6) or Aintree (2)
- 7 of the last 10 winners were aged between 7 and 9
- 7 of the last 10 winners held an OR of 160 or higher
- 7 of the last 10 winners were from the Top 2 in the market (4 favourites)
- 7 of the last 10 winners had won at 3 miles or further before now
18:35 – The JP & M Doyle (C&G) Flat Race 2m½f
- ALL of the last 10 winners were ridden by jockeys claiming weight (6) or Patrick Mullins
- 9 of the last 10 winners were NOT an odds-against favourite (the last 9)
- 8 of the last 10 winners had won a bumper
- 8 of the last 10 winners had no more than 2 runs that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners had recorded an RPR of 120+ before now
- 7 of the last 10 winners were aged 7
- 5 of the 5 winners who had just one run were unbeaten
- 4 of the 5 winners who raced just once were trained by Willie Mullins (all of Willie’s winners)