Royal Ascot 2024 is close to getting underway on Tuesday, 18th June. For those looking to do their studying in advance, Dave Young has analysed all the trends for day one of the royal meeting, so you can get closer to a winner.
Queen Anne Stakes (2.30pm)
- 7 of the last 10 winners were 4yos
- 7 of the last 10 winners had raced at and won at Ascot
- 7 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 116+
- 7 of the last 10 winners ran within the last 31 days
- 7 of the last 10 winners had won a Group 1
- 6 of the last 10 winners were favourite
“Preferably a 4yo who has won at Ascot, has an OR of 116+, has won a Group 1 and has run within the last 31 days”
Coventry Stakes (3.05pm)
- 9 of the last 10 winners had won a race
- 9 of the last 10 winners had no more than 2 runs
- 9 of the last 10 winners had run within the last 32 days
- 7 of the last 10 winners had run already raced at 6f
- 6 of the last 10 winners had only one start
“Will have had no more than 2 runs and has won a race, last ran within the last 32 days and preferably has already raced at 6f”
King Charles III Stakes (3.45pm)
- 9 of the last 10 winners had raced at Ascot (7 had at least 2 runs)
- 8 of the last 10 winners had 2 or 3 runs that season (only 2 unbeaten)
- 8 of the last 10 winners came from the top 3 in the betting (only 1 favourite)
- 7 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 117+
“Has raced at Ascot and ideally more than once, has 2 or 3 runs this season, likely to be in the top 3 in the betting but not necessarily the favourite, ideally has an OR of 117+”
St James’s Palace Stakes (4.25pm)
- ALL of the last 10 winners had won that season (5 unbeaten)
- 9 of the last 10 winners had NOT run at Ascot (the other was beaten)
- 8 of the last 10 winners were priced 4/1 or shorter
- 8 of the last 10 winners had 2 or 3 runs that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners had run within the last 26 days
- 6 of the last 10 winners won last time out
- 6 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 118+
“Will have already won this season, has NOT run or won at Ascot, likely to have 2 or 3 runs this season and ran within the last 26 days, likely to be priced 4/1 or shorter”
Ascot Stakes (5.05pm)
- 8 of the last 10 winners had run over NH Rules that calendar year
- 8 of the last 10 winners were aged 6+
- 8 of the last 10 winners carried between 9-3 and 9-10 (inclusive)
- 8 of the last 10 winners had run 2 or more times that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 1-7 or 17-19
- 7 of the last 10 winners had not won a race that season
“Likely to be aged 6+, carrying between 9-3 and 9-10 with 2 or more run this season and has run under NH Rules this year, preferably drawn stalls 1-7 or 17-19”
Wolferton Stakes (5.40pm)
- 9 of the last 10 winners had at least one run that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners were aged 4 or 5
- 8 of the last 10 winners were NOT first or second favourite
- 8 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 106+ (other two were 102)
- 7 of the last 10 winners had run at Ascot
“Will have raced this season, aged 4 or 5 and preferably with an OR of 106+ but a minimum of 102 and unlikely to be in the first two in the betting”
Copper Horse Stakes (introduced in 2020) (6.15pm)
- 3 of the last 4 winners were rated 99+
- 3 of the last 4 winners had not won on the flat that season (the other had won twice)
“Race was introduced in 2020 but, of the 4 renewals we’ve had, look for horses rated 99+ who are yet to win this season”
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