Wednesday at Royal Ascot features one of the most prestigious Group 1s of the whole flat season, the Prince Of Wales’s Stakes. In that race, and the other six on day 2 of Royal Ascot, Dave Young has analysed all of the trends to guide you towards the winners.
Queen Mary Stakes
- ALL of the last 10 winners had at least 1 win
- ALL of the last 10 winners had at least placed last time out
- 9 of the last 10 winners came from stall 12+ (the other came from stall 1)
- 7 of the last 10 winners came from within the 5 highest numbered stalls
- 7 of the last 10 winners came from the first two in the betting
“Will have at least 1 win and will have at least placed last time out, will come from stall 12+ or stall 1 and look towards the front two in the betting”
Kensington Palace Stakes (introduced in 2021)
- ALL of the last 3 winners had exactly one win that season
- ALL of the last 3 winners were priced 12/1+
“Race was introduced in 2021 but of the 3 renewals we’ve had; look for a horse with exactly one win that season and priced 12/1+”
Duke Of Cambridge Stakes
- 9 of the last 10 winners were 4yos
- 9 of the last 10 winners had raced that season
- 9 of the last 10 had placed on their last run
- 8 of the last 10 winners had NOT won a race that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners had won a Group race
“Most likely to be a 4yo who has raced this season but probably not won this season although should have placed last time out and likely to have already won a Group race”
Prince of Wales’s Stakes
- 8 of the last 10 winners were NOT sent off favourite
- 8 of the last 10 winners came from the first three in the betting
- 8 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 119+
- 7 of the last 10 winners had won that season (2 hadn’t run, the other had 1 run)
- 7 of the last 10 winners had run at Ascot (only 2 had won)
“Should have won this season or not run, from the top three in the betting but not likely to be the favourite, has an OR of 119+ and preferably has run at Ascot”
Royal Hunt Cup
- ONLY 1 of the last 10 favourites placed (none won)
- 9 of the last 10 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-5
- 8 of the last 10 winners were 4yo’s
- 8 of the last 10 winners had run that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners had NOT won that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners were drawn either 4-7 or 21+
- 7 of the last 10 winners had run at Ascot
“Just 1 favourite has placed in the last decade, carries between 9-0 and 9-5, aged 4 and has run this season but probably won’t have won and preferably drawn in 4-7 or 21+”
Queens Vase
- ALL of the last 10 winners had NOT run at Ascot
- 8 of the last 10 winners came from the first two in the betting
- 8 of the last 10 winners had run that season
“Will not have run at Ascot before, ideally has run this season and most likely to be in the first two in the betting”
Windsor Castle Stakes
- 7 of the last 10 winners were NOT sent off favourite
- 7 of the last 10 winners had won that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners had 2 or more runs
- 5 of the last 10 winners were either the highest or the lowest drawn (another from stall 2)
“Likely to have had 2 or more runs this season and won a race this season, unlikely to be the favourite and 5 of the last 10 winners were either the highest or lowest drawn”
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