Day 3 at Royal Ascot features the festival’s biggest prize, the Gold Cup. The staying contest is one of only seven races analysed in full by Dave Young as he attempts to help you with all of the key trends.
Norfolk Stakes
- NONE of the last 10 winners were sent off favourite (last winning favourite was 2008)
- 8 of the last 10 winners had won a race
- 7 of the last 10 winners were priced 8/1+
“Last winning favourite was in 2008 so preferably look for runners priced 8/1+ and for horses who have already won a race”
King George V Stakes
- 8 of the last 10 winners were rated between 90-94
- 8 of the last 10 winners had 2 or more runs that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners had won that season (one hadn’t run)
- 8 of the last 10 winners had been beaten that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners carried 9-1 or less (9-3 and 9-6 the other two)
“Look for horses rated 90-94 and preferably carrying 9-1 or less, has 2 or more runs this season and should have won but also likely to have been beaten this term”
Ribblesdale Stakes
- 9 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 94+ (5 were 103+)
- 8 of the last 10 winners were trained by John Gosden or Aidan O’Brien
- 7 of the last 10 favourites finished top 2 (2 won)
- 7 of the last 10 winners had 2 or more runs that season
- 6 of the last 10 winners were first or second favourite (2 favourites)
“Will have an OR of 94+ and preferably 103+, look for those trained by John Gosden and Aidan O’Brien, likely to be in the first two in the betting with 2 or more runs this season”
Gold Cup
- 9 of the last 10 winners had won that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 117+
- 8 of the last 10 winners were first or second favourite (6 favourites)
- 7 of the last 10 winners had just one run that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners were unbeaten that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners were trained by John Gosden or Aidan O’Brien
- 7 of the last 10 winners had won over 16f or further
“Should have won this season and likely to be unbeaten, ideally has an OR of 117+ and in the first two in the betting with preference to favourites”
Britannia Stakes
- 9 of the last 10 winners carried 9-3 or less
- 9 of the last 10 winners had 3 or 4 runs that season (the other had none)
- 9 of the last 10 winners came from stall 10 or higher (7 were stalls 10-19)
- 7 of the last 10 winners were rated between 90 and 95
- 7 of the last 10 winners were priced 10/1+
- 7 of the last 10 winners had won a race that season
“Probably carries 9-3 or less and has had 3 or 4 runs this season or none at all, look for those drawn in stall 10 or higher with preference to those with an OR of 90-95”
Hampton Court Stakes
- 8 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 105+
- 7 of the last 10 winners had won a race that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners were first or second favourite (3 favourites)
- 7 of the last 10 winners had run within the last 35 days
“Should have an OR of 105+, likely to have won a race this season and last run within 35 days, look to those inside the first two in the betting”
Buckingham Palace Stakes (cancelled from 2015 to 2019)
- ALL of the last 5 winners were priced 12/1+
- 4 of the last 5 winners were 4yos
- 4 of the last 5 winners had 3+ runs that season
- 4 of the last 5 winners were drawn stall 24+ (the other was drawn in 2)
“The race was cancelled from 2015-2019 but of the 5 renewals in the last decade; likely to be priced 12/1+, aged 4, with 3+ runs this season and drawn in stall 24+”
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