The final day of Royal Ascot is the only one run at the weekend, so the desire to return in profit is greater than ever. Dave Young points you in the right direction for every race with all of the important trends below.
Chesham Stakes
- 8 of the last 10 winners had only run once before
- 8 of the last 10 favourites placed (7 top two, 4 won)
- 6 of the last 10 had won a race (all won last time out)
- 4 of the last 10 winners were trained by Aidan O’Brien and ridden by Ryan Moore
“Likely to have had just one run and preferably won, respect an Aidan O’Brien & Ryan Moore runner and the favourite is likely to at least place”
Jersey Stakes
- 8 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stall 10 or lower
- 8 of the last 10 winners had won at least twice
- 7 of the last 10 winners had 2+ runs that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 110+
“Should have at least two career wins, likely to have had 2 or more runs this season, with an OR of 110+ and look to those drawn no higher than stall 10
Hardwicke Stakes
- 9 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 114+
- 8 of the last 10 winners were single-figure priced (3 favourites)
- 8 of the last 10 winners had run at Ascot
- 7 of the last 10 winners were 4yos
“Should have an OR of 114+, should have run at Ascot, likely to be a 4yo and single-figure priced”
Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes
- 8 of the last 10 winners had run at Ascot
- 7 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stall 6 or lower
- 7 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 117+
- 7 of the last 10 winners came from the first three in the market (3 favourites)
“Ideally has run at Ascot and preference to runners drawn in stall 6 or lower with an OR of 117+ who are in the first three in the betting”
Wokingham Stakes
- ALL of the last 10 winners had run at Ascot
- 9 of the last 10 winners had run that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners had NOT won a race that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners were double-figure priced
- 6 of the last 10 winners carried 8-13 to 9-3
“Will have run at Ascot, should have run but probably hasn’t won this season, look to double-figure priced runners and preference to horses carrying 8-13 to 9-3”
Golden Gates Stakes (introduced in 2020)
- 3 of the last 4 winners were drawn in stall 13 or higher
- 3 of the last 4 winners had won that season
- 3 of the last 4 winners had an OR between 90-95
“Race was introduced in 2020 but of the 4 renewals we’ve had; likely to have won this season, has an OR of 90-95 and drawn in stall 13 or higher”
Queen Alexandra Stakes
- ALL of the last 10 winners were 6yos or older
- 9 of the last 10 winners had NOT won a race that season (6 had run)
- 8 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 102+
- 7 of the last 10 winners were priced 11/2 or shorter (2 winning favourites)
- 5 of the last 10 winners had run in a National Hunt race that year
“Will be aged 6+ and probably hasn’t won this season, ideally has an OR of 102+, likely to be priced 11/2 or shorter and look to runners who ran under NH Rules this year”
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