Day 3 is Gold Cup Day at Ascot with the Group 2 Ribblesdale and Group 3 Hampton Court Stakes the feature supporting races.
Once again, there are seven races to get stuck into as we reach the midway point of this festival and I’m going to try and help us profile some more winners by looking at every result from the last 10 years for every race on this card.
Chesham Stakes
- 8 of the last 10 winners were sent off priced 13/2 or shorter (all top 3 in market)
- 8 of the last 10 winners had only run once before (one unraced)
- 8 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stall 8 or lower
- 7 of the last 10 had won a race which was last time out (one unraced)
- 5 of the last 10 winners were the favourite (all Aidan O’Brien and Ryan Moore)
“Likely to come from the front three in the market, has raced just once but expected to have won and preference to those drawn no higher than stall 8.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2025 – Humidity
- 2024 – Bedtime Story
- 2023 – Snellen
- 2022 – Holloway Boy
- 2021 – Point Lonsdale
- 2020 – Battleground
- 2019 – Pinatubo
- 2018 – Arthur Kitt
- 2017 – September
- 2016 – Churchill
King George V Stakes
- ALL of the last 10 winners had NOT raced at Ascot before
- 9 of the last 10 winners carried 9-4 or less
- 9 of the last 10 winners were rated between 90-95
- 9 of the last 10 winners placed top 2 last time out (7 won)
- 8 of the last 10 winners were NOT the favourite
- 8 of the last 10 winners had won that season (one hadn’t run)
- 8 of the last 10 winners had won either 2 or 3 flat races
- 7 of the last 10 winners had been beaten that season (one hadn’t run)
- 5 of the last 10 winners came from the highest 3 stalls (considering non-runners)
“Hasn’t been to Ascot before, carrying 9-4 or less, rated 90-95 and placed Top 2 last time out but preferably won. Has won this season and has 2 or 3 career flat wins.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2025 – Merchant
- 2024 – Going The Distance
- 2023 – Desert Hero
- 2022 – Secret State
- 2021 – Surefire
- 2020 – Hukum
- 2019 – South Pacific
- 2018 – Baghdad
- 2017 – Atty Persse
- 2016 – Gold Mount
Ribblesdale Stakes
- 9 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 94 or higher
- 9 of the last 10 winners had lost 2 or more races
- 9 of the last 10 winners were trained by John Gosden or Aidan O’Brien
- 8 of the last 10 winners finished top 3 last time out
- 8 of the last 10 favourites finished top 3 in this race (only 2 won)
- 7 of the last 10 winners had 2 or more runs that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners had no more than 1 career win
- 7 of the last 10 winners had won at 12f before now
- 7 of the last 10 winners were drawn no higher than stall 6
“Will hold an OR of at least 94, has lost 2 or more races in their career, trained by the Gosdens or Aidan O’Brien and finished top 3 last time out.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2025 – Garden Of Eden
- 2024 – Port Fairy
- 2023 – Warm Heart
- 2022 – Magical Lagoon
- 2021 – Loving Dream
- 2020 – Frankly Darling
- 2019 – Star Catcher
- 2018 – Magic Wand
- 2017 – Coronet
- 2016 – Even Song
Gold Cup
- 9 of the last 10 winners had won that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 117+
- 9 of the last 10 winners were first or second favourite (7 favourites)
- 9 of the last 10 winners won last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners were trained by John Gosden or Aidan O’Brien
- 7 of the last 10 winners were unbeaten that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners had run at Ascot before
“Has won this season, holds an OR of 117 or higher, probably the first or second favourite having won last time out and trained by the Gosdens or Aidan O’Brien.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2025 – Trawlerman
- 2024 – Kyprios
- 2023 – Courage Mon Ami
- 2022 – Kyprios
- 2021 – Subjectivist
- 2020 – Stradivarius
- 2019 – Stradivarius
- 2018 – Stradivarius
- 2017 – Big Orange
- 2016 – Order Of St George
Britannia Stakes
- 8 of the last 10 winners had no more than 4 flat career runs
- 8 of the last 10 winners carried 9-3 or less
- 8 of the last 10 winners had been beaten that season (one had not run)
- 8 of the last 10 winners were rated between 90 and 95
- 8 of the last 10 winners had won a race that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners had 3 runs that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 10-19
- 7 of the last 10 winners won last time out
“Has no more than 4 career runs, carries 9-3 or less, rated 90-95 and probably has been beaten this season. Preferably has exactly 3 runs this season, drawn 10-19 and won last time out.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2025 – Arabian Story
- 2024 – Mickley
- 2023 – Docklands
- 2022 – Thesis
- 2021 – Perotto
- 2020 – Khaloosy
- 2019 – Biometric
- 2018 – Ostilio
- 2017 – Bless Him
- 2016 – Defrocked
Hampton Court Stakes
- ALL of the last 10 winners had an OR of 105 or higher
- ALL of the last 10 winners had run within the last 47 days
- 8 of the last 10 winners had run at 10 furlongs
- 8 of the last 10 winners were beaten last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners had either 1 or 2 career wins
- 7 of the last 10 winners had won a race that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners were first or second favourite (2 favourites)
“Holds an OR of 105 or higher, last ran 47 days ago or less, has run at 10f, was beaten last time out and has 1 or 2 career wins. Probably has won this season and respect second favourites.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2025 – Trinity College
- 2024 – Jayarebe
- 2023 – Waipiro
- 2022 – Claymore
- 2021 – Mohaafeth
- 2020 – Russian Emperor
- 2019 – Sangarius
- 2018 – Hunting Horn
- 2017 – Benbatl
- 2016 – Hawkbill
Buckingham Palace Stakes (reinstated in 2020)
- ALL of the last 6 winners were 4yos
- ALL of the last 6 winners last ran in a Handicap
- 5 of the last 6 winners last ran 33 days ago or less
- 5 of the last 6 winners had NOT won at Ascot (4 had run here)
- 5 of the last 6 winners had been beaten that season (the other hadn’t run)
- 5 of the last 6 winners were drawn stall 24+ (the other was drawn in 2)
- 4 of the last 6 winners were priced 12/1+
- 4 of the last 6 winners had won no more once at 7 furlongs
- 4 of the last 6 winners raced at 7 furlongs last time out
“Will be aged 4, last ran in a Handicap and last ran 33 days ago or less. Probably hasn’t won at Ascot before, has been beaten this season and look to those drawn in stall 24 or higher.”
Last 6 Winners
- 2025 – Never So Brave
- 2024 – English Oak
- 2023 – Witch Hunter
- 2022 – Inver Park
- 2021 – Highfield Princess
- 2020 – Motakhayyel