Day 4 at Royal Ascot sees four Group races including two Group 1s with both the Commonwealth Cup and the Coronation Stakes holding that title.
As we move into the second half of the week, I’ve reviewed the last ten runnings of each race on the Friday card to see what it typically takes to land these contests.
Albany Stakes
- ALL of the last 10 winners won last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners were unbeaten
- 8 of the last 10 winners were NOT the favourite
- 8 of the last 10 winners last ran between 27 and 34 days ago
- The last 5 winners have been drawn no higher than stall 8 but the 5 prior were in 13-16
“Will have won last time out and should be unbeaten. Is NOT the favourite and last ran between 27 and 34 days ago. Drawn in stalls 2-8 or 13-16.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2025 – Venetian Sun
- 2024 – Fairy Godmother
- 2023 – Porta Fortuna
- 2022 – Meditate
- 2021 – Sandrine
- 2020 – Dandalla
- 2019 – Daahyeh
- 2018 – Main Edition
- 2017 – Different League
- 2016 – Brave Anna
Commonwealth Cup
- 8 of the last 10 winners were rated 111+
- 8 of the last 10 winners were single-figure priced
- 8 of the last 10 winners were drawn stall 8 or lower
- 8 of the last 10 winners had a run that season (5 had won)
- 8 of the last 10 winners had between 4 and 6 career flat runs
- 7 of the last 10 winners had a group win
- 7 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stall 5 or lower
- 7 of the last 10 winners has been beaten that season
- 6 of the last 10 winners had run at Ascot (not the last 3)
“Should hold an OR of at least 111, likely to be a single-figure SP, drawn in stall 8 or lower with between 4 and 6 career flat runs.”
All 10 Winners
- 2025 – Time for Sandals
- 2024 – Inisherin
- 2023 – Shaquille
- 2022 – Perfect Power
- 2021 – Campanelle
- 2020 – Golden Horde
- 2019 – Advertise
- 2018 – Eqtidaar
- 2017 – Caravaggio
- 2016 – Quiet Reflection
Duke of Edinburgh Stakes
- 9 of the last 10 winners were rated 96-104
- 8 of the last 10 winners were 4yo or 5yo
- 8 of the last 10 winners had won at 1m4f before
- 7 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stall 12 or higher (not the last 3)
- 7 of the last 10 winners had a flat run that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners were single-figure priced (4 favourites)
- 6 of the last 10 winners carried 9-2 to 9-4
- 6 of the last 10 winners won last time out
“Will be rated 96-104, aged 4 or 5, has won at 1m4f before and slight preference to those drawn in stall 12 or higher. Likely to be a single-figure price and has a flat run this season.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2025 – Ethical Diamond
- 2024 – Crystal Black
- 2023 – Okita Soushi
- 2022 – Candleford
- 2021 – Quickthorn
- 2020 – Scarlet Dragon
- 2019 – Baghdad
- 2018 – Dash Of Spice
- 2017 – Rare Rhythm
- 2016 – Kinema
Coronation Stakes
- ALL of the last 10 winners had been beaten that season or did not run (2 did not run)
- 8 of the last 10 winners were priced 6/1 or shorter
- 8 of the last 10 winners were Irish bred
- 8 of the last 10 winners last ran in a Guineas (British, Irish or French)
- 7 of the last 10 winners were in the first three in the betting
- 7 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 110+
- 7 of the last 10 winners had won a Group 1 or Group 2 (9 had won a Group race of some sort)
- 3 of the 4 winners who came from the Irish 1,000 Guineas had won that race
“Has been beaten this season or hasn’t run. Sent off 6/1 or shorter, Irish bred, last ran in a 1,000 Guineas and holds an OR of 110 or higher with a Group win to their name, preferably a Group 1.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2025 – Cercene
- 2024 – Porta Fortuna
- 2023 – Tahiyra
- 2022 – Inspiral
- 2021 – Alcohol Free
- 2020 – Alpine Star
- 2019 – Watch Me
- 2018 – Alpha Centauri
- 2017 – Winter
- 2016 – Qemah
Sandringham Stakes Handicap
- ALL of the last 10 winners were NOT sporting any headgear
- 9 of the last 10 winners had raced that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners placed Top 3 last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners were drawn no higher than stall 18
- 8 of the last 10 winners held an OR of less than 100
- 7 of the last 10 winners had raced at 1 mile
- 7 of the last 10 winners had raced more than once that season
- 5 of the last 10 winners were first or second favourite
- 5 of the last 10 winners carried 9-2 or more
“No headgear, has run this season, placed top 3 last time out, not drawn higher than stall 18 and holds an OR of less than 100. Has raced at a mile, raced more than once this season.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2025 – Never Let Go
- 2024 – Soprano
- 2023 – Coppice
- 2022 – Heredia
- 2021 – Create Belief
- 2020 – Onassis
- 2019 – Thanks Be
- 2018 – Agrotera
- 2017 – Con Te Partiro
- 2016 – Persuasive
King Edward VII Stakes
- ALL of the last 10 winners had an OR of 102+
- 9 of the last 10 winners ran in the last 34 days
- 8 of the last 10 winners had been beaten that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners came from the first 3 in the market (5 favourites)
- 7 of the last 10 winners had 2 to 4 career flat wins
“Will have an OR of 102 or higher, likely ran in the last 34 days, probably has been beaten this season and has 2-4 career wins. Favourites have been profitable to back blind.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2025 – Amiloc
- 2024 – Calandagan
- 2023 – King Of Steel
- 2022 – Changingoftheguard
- 2021 – Alenquer
- 2020 – Pyledriver
- 2019 – Japan
- 2018 – Old Persian
- 2017 – Permian
- 2016 – Across The Stars
Palace Of Holyroodhouse Stakes (introduced in 2020)
- ALL of the 6 winners were drawn in stall 11 or higher
- ALL of the 6 winners had no more than 2 flat wins (5 had 2 exactly)
- ALL of the 6 winners did NOT sport headgear
- 5 of the 6 winners carried 8-8 to 9-1
- 5 of the 6 winners had at least 4 runs at 5f
- 5 of the 6 winners placed top 3 last time out
- 4 of the 6 winners had 3 or 4 runs that season (the other had just 1)
- 4 of the 6 winners had won this season
- 4 of the 6 winners had NOT run at Ascot
- 4 of the 6 winners last ran in a Handicap
“Will be drawn no lower than stall 11, has no more than 2 flat win and preferably exactly 2, does not wear headgear. Carries 8-8 to 9-1, has 4 or more runs at 5f and placed top 3 last time out.”
All 6 Winners
- 2025 – Adrestia
- 2024 – Pilgrim
- 2023 – Rhythm N Hooves
- 2022 – Latin Lover
- 2021 – Significantly
- 2020 – Art Power