The final day of Royal Ascot and it’s a Saturday special card with the QEII Jubilee stakes the feature Group 1 coming in the third race and surround by a further three Group races.
I’ve looked at the last decade to establish what it has typically taken to land every race on this card, hopefully to help us get one step closer to our own “magnificent 7” to follow in the footsteps of Frankie Dettori (even if he did do his later in the calendar year).
Norfolk Stakes
- 9 of the last 10 winners were NOT sent off favourite
- 9 of the last 10 winners were Irish or USA Bred
- 8 of the last 10 winners last ran in a race with a single-figure field size
- 8 of the last 10 winners had won a race
- 8 of the last 10 winners came from the lowest 4 stalls or highest 2 stalls (considering non-runners)
- 5 of the last 10 winners were priced 12/1+
“Probably not the favourite, will be Irish or USA bred, last ran in a race with a single-figure field, has won a race and drawn in the lowest 4 or highest 2 stalls.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2025 – Charles Darwin
- 2024 – Shareholder
- 2023 – Valiant Force
- 2022 – The Ridler
- 2021 – Perfect Power
- 2020 – The Lir Jet
- 2019 – Aali
- 2018 – Shang Shang Shang
- 2017 – Sioux Nation
- 2016 – Prince Of Lir
Hardwicke Stakes
- ALL of the last 10 winners had an OR of 112+ (including allowances)
- 9 of the last 10 winners had 4 or more career wins
- 9 of the last 10 winners had won at 12 furlongs
- 8 of the last 10 winners were single-figure priced (3 favourites)
- 7 of the last 10 winners had run at Ascot
- 6 of the last 10 winners were 4yos
- 6 of the last 10 winners won last time out
- ALL 4 of the winners not aged 4 had won a Group 1
“Will hold an OR of at least 112, has at least 4 career wins and has won at 12f. Likely to be sent of a single-figure SP, has run at Ascot and respect 4yo’s or older Group 1 winners.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2025 – Rebel’s Romance
- 2024 – Isle Of Jura
- 2023 – Pyledriver
- 2022 – Broome
- 2021 – Wonderful Tonight
- 2020 – Fanny Logan
- 2019 – Defoe
- 2018 – Crystal Ocean
- 2017 – Idaho
- 2016 – Dartmouth
Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes
- 9 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stalls 3 to 9
- 8 of the last 10 winners had been beaten that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners had run at Ascot
- 8 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 117+
- 8 of the last 10 winners had 4 or more wins at 6 furlongs
- 8 of the last 10 winners had already won a Group 1
- 7 of the last 10 winners came from the first three in the market (2 favourites)
“Drawn in stalls 3 to 9, has been beaten this season and has run at Ascot in their career. Holds and OR of 117 or higher, has 4 or more wins at 6f and has already won a Group 1.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2025 – Lazzat
- 2024 – Khaadem
- 2023 – Khaadem
- 2022 – Naval Crown
- 2021 – Dream Of Dreams
- 2020 – Hello Youmzain
- 2019 – Blue Point
- 2018 – Merchant Navy
- 2017 – The Tin Man
- 2016 – Twilight Son
Jersey Stakes
- 8 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stall 10 or lower
- 8 of the last 10 winners had two or more runs that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners had two or more career wins
- 6 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 110+
- 5 of the last 10 winners last ran in a 2,000 Guineas (British, Irish or French)
“Drawn in stall 10 or lower with 2 or more runs this season and 2 or more career wins. Looks to those rated 110 or higher and those coming from any of the 2,000 Guineas.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2025 – Noble Champion
- 2024 – Haatem
- 2023 – Age Of Kings
- 2022 – Noble Truth
- 2021 – Creative Force
- 2020 – Molatham
- 2019 – Space Traveller
- 2018 – Expert Eye
- 2017 – Le Brivido
- 2016 – Ribchester
Wokingham Stakes
- 9 of the last 10 winners had run at Ascot (8 had run more than once)
- 9 of the last 10 winners had run that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners had 12 or more flat runs
- 8 of the last 10 winners were double-figure priced
- 7 of the last 10 winners had an OR between 99 and 105
- 6 of the last 10 winners were drawn between stall 10 and 19 (3 from stall 10)
“Had run at Ascot and preferably more than once. Has run this season, has 12 or more career flat runs, sent off a double-figure price and rated between 99 and 105.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2025 – Get It
- 2024 – Unequal Love
- 2023 – Saint Lawrence
- 2022 – Rohaan
- 2021 – Rohaan
- 2020 – Hey Jonesy
- 2019 – Cape Byron
- 2018 – Bacchus
- 2017 – Out Do
- 2016 – Outback Traveller
Golden Gates Stakes (introduced in 2020)
- 5 of the 6 winners were drawn in stall 13 or higher (the other was stall 9)
- 5 of the 6 winners had won that season (last 5)
- 5 of the 6 winners had NOT been to Ascot (last 5)
- 5 of the 6 winners had an OR between 90-95 (last 5)
- 5 of the 6 winners had no more than 1 previous handicap run (3 handicap debutants)
“Drawn in stall 13 or higher, has won this season, has not been to Ascot, is rated between 90 and 95 and has no more than 1 previous handicap run.”
All 6 Winners
- 2025 – Quai De Bethune
- 2024 – Hand Of God
- 2023 – Burdett Road
- 2022 – Missed The Cut
- 2021 – Foxes Tales
- 2020 – Highland Chief
Queen Alexandra Stakes
- 9 of the last 10 winners were 6yos or older
- 9 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 102+
- 9 of the last 10 winners had at least 2 flat wins
- 8 of the last 10 winners had NOT won a flat race that season (6 had run)
- 7 of the last 10 winners were priced 11/2 or shorter (4 winning favourites)
- 6 of the last 10 winners had run at Ascot (5 of those more than once)
- 6 of the last 10 winners had run in a National Hunt race that year
“Will be aged 6 or older with an OR of 102 or higher having won at least 2 flat races. Has not won a Flat race this season, is priced 11/2 or shorter and look to those with Ascot experience or have run under NH rules this year.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2025 – Sober
- 2024 – Uxmal
- 2023 – Dawn Rising
- 2022 – Stratum
- 2021 – Stratum
- 2020 – Who Dares Wins
- 2019 – Cleonte
- 2018 – Pallasator
- 2017 – Oriental Fox
- 2016 – Commissioned