Day four of Royal Ascot is one of only two across the week with multiple Group 1s. Dave Young has given you all of the key statistics to guide you towards the winner of the Friday contests at Royal Ascot 2025 below.
Albany Stakes
- ALL of the last 10 winners won last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners were unbeaten
- 7 of the last 10 winners were NOT the favourite
- The last 4 winners have been drawn in 2, 4, 8 and 6. Prior was 13-16
“Will have won last time out and should be unbeaten, typically drawn in stalls 2-8 or 13-16.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2024 – Fairy Godmother
- 2023 – Porta Fortuna
- 2022 – Meditate
- 2021 – Sandrine
- 2020 – Dandalla
- 2019 – Daahyeh
- 2018 – Main Edition
- 2017 – Different League
- 2016 – Brave Anna
- 2015 – Illuminate
Commonwealth Cup
- 9 of the 10 winners were rated 111+
- 8 of the 10 winners were single-figure priced
- 8 of the 10 winners were drawn stall 8 or lower
- 8 of the 10 winners had a group win
- 8 of the 10 winners had a run that season (6 had won)
- 7 of the 10 winners had run at Ascot
“Likely to be a single-figure price and preferably drawn no higher than stall 8, should be rated 111+, should have won a group race and likely to have run and won this season.”
All 10 Winners
- 2024 – Inisherin
- 2023 – Shaquille
- 2022 – Perfect Power
- 2021 – Campanelle
- 2020 – Golden Horde
- 2019 – Advertise
- 2018 – Eqtidaar
- 2017 – Caravaggio
- 2016 – Quiet Reflection
- 2015 – Muhaarar
Duke of Edinburgh Stakes
- 9 of the last 10 winners were rated 96-104
- 8 of the last 10 winners were 4yo or 5yo
- 8 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stall 12 or higher (last two years – 9 & 4)
- 8 of the last 10 winners had run that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners were single-figure priced (4 favourites)
- 6 of the last 10 winners carried 9-2 to 9-4
- 6 of the last 10 winners won last time out
“Look for 4 and 5yos, drawn in stall 12 or higher, ideally rated 96-104 with preference to those carrying 9-2 to 9-4. Has run this season and respect last time out winners.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2024 – Crystal Black
- 2023 – Okita Soushi
- 2022 – Candleford
- 2021 – Quickthorn
- 2020 – Scarlet Dragon
- 2019 – Baghdad
- 2018 – Dash Of Spice
- 2017 – Rare Rhythm
- 2016 – Kinema
- 2015 – Arab Dawn
Coronation Stakes
- 9 of the last 10 winners were priced 6/1 or shorter
- 9 of the last 10 winners had been beaten that season or did not run (2 did not run)
- 8 of the last 10 winners were in the first three in the betting
- 8 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 110+
- 8 of the last 10 winners last ran in a Guineas (British, Irish or French)
- 8 of the last 10 winners had won a Group 1 or Group 2 (all had won a Group race of some sort)
- 7 of the last 10 winners were Irish bred
- ALL 3 winners who came from the Irish Guineas had won that race
“In the first three in the betting, has an OR of 110+, has won a Group race (ideally at least a Group 2) and respect the Irish 1000 Guineas winner if they line up.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2024 – Porta Fortuna
- 2023 – Tahiyra
- 2022 – Inspiral
- 2021 – Alcohol Free
- 2020 – Alpine Star
- 2019 – Watch Me
- 2018 – Alpha Centauri
- 2017 – Winter
- 2016 – Qemah
- 2015 – Ervedya
Sandringham Stakes Handicap
- 9 of the last 10 winners had raced that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners placed Top 3 last time out
- 7 of the last 10 winners had raced at 1 mile
- 7 of the last 10 winners had raced more than once that season
- 6 of the last 10 winners were first or second favourite
- 6 of the last 10 winners were Irish bred
- 6 of the last 10 winners carried 9-2 or more
“Will have run this season and preferably more than once, placed top 3 last time out and ideally has raced at a mile. Respect Irish bred runners and those carrying 9-2 or more.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2024 – Soprano
- 2023 – Coppice
- 2022 – Heredia
- 2021 – Create Belief
- 2020 – Onassis
- 2019 – Thanks Be
- 2018 – Agrotera
- 2017 – Con Te Partiro
- 2016 – Persuasive
- 2015 – Osaila
King Edward VII Stakes
- ALL of the last 10 winners had an OR of 103+
- ALL of the last 10 winners ran in the last 8 weeks
- 9 of the last 10 winners had been beaten that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners came from the first 3 in the market
- 7 of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out
“Will have and OR of 103+, has run in the last 8 weeks, probably has been beaten this season and most likely last time out. Look towards the first three in the betting.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2024 – Calandagan
- 2023 – King Of Steel
- 2022 – Changingoftheguard
- 2021 – Alenquer
- 2020 – Pyledriver
- 2019 – Japan
- 2018 – Old Persian
- 2017 – Permian
- 2016 – Across The Stars
- 2015 – Balios
Palace Of Holyroodhouse Stakes (introduced in 2020)
- ALL of the 5 winners were drawn in stall 11 or higher
- ALL of the 5 winners had no more than 2 flat wins (4 had 2 exactly)
- 4 of the 5 winners had 3 or 4 runs that season
- 4 of the 5 winners had won this season
- 4 of the 5 winners carried 8-8 to 9-1
- 4 of the 5 winners had at least 4 runs at 5f
- 4 of the 5 winners had NOT run at Ascot
- 3 of the 5 winners won last time out
“Race was introduced in 2020; drawn in 11 or higher, no more than 2 flat wins, 3 or 4 runs this season and has won this season. Carrying 8-8 to 9-1, 4 or more runs at 5f and has NOT been to Ascot.”
All 5 Winners
- 2024 – Pilgrim
- 2023 – Rhythm N Hooves
- 2022 – Latin Lover
- 2021 – Significantly
- 2020 – Art Power