Day two of Royal Ascot features the Group 1 Prince Of Wales’s Stakes among its seven-race card. Here is Dave Young’s trends analysis of every single contest on the Wednesday of Royal Ascot.
Queen Mary Stakes
- 9 of the last 10 winners had at least 1 win
- 8 of the last 10 winners won last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners came from stall 14+ (the others came from stall 1 and stall 10)
- 6 of the last 10 winners came from the first two in the betting
“Should have won a race and probably won last time out. Probably will come from stall 14+ or higher and respect the front two in the betting.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2024 – Leovanni
- 2023 – Crimson Advocate
- 2022 – Dramatised
- 2021 – Quick Suzy
- 2020 – Campanelle
- 2019 – Raffle Prize
- 2018 – Signora Cabello
- 2017 – Heartache
- 2016 – Lady Aurelia
- 2015 – Acapulco
Queens Vase – (was run over 2m but last 8 running’s at 1m6f)
- ALL of the last 10 winners had NOT run at Ascot
- 9 of the last 10 winners placed Top 3 last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners came from the first two in the betting
- 8 of the last 10 winners had run that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners had two or more runs at 10-12 furlongs (6 had won at those trips)
- 8 of the last 10 winners last ran 18-44 days ago
- 7 of the last 10 winners were trained by Aidan O’Brien or The Gosdens
- 7 of the last 10 winners had run more than once that season
“Will NOT have run at Ascot, should have placed Top 3 last time out and has run at least once this season. Should have 2 or more runs at 10-12f and respect O’Brien and Gosden runners.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2024 – Illinois
- 2023 – Gregory
- 2022 – Eldar Eldarov
- 2021 – Kemari
- 2020 – Santiago
- 2019 – Dashing Willoughby
- 2018 – Kew Gardens
- 2017 – Stradivarius
- 2016 – Sword Fighter
- 2015 – Aloft
Duke Of Cambridge Stakes
- 9 of the last 10 winners were 4yos
- 9 of the last 10 winners had raced that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners had won at mile (6 on multiple occasions)
- 8 of the last 10 winners had NOT won a race that season (other two were unbeaten)
- 7 of the last 10 winners had placed on their last run
- 7 of the last 10 winners had won 4 or more races
- 6 of the last 10 winners had won a Group race
“Likely to be a 4yo who has raced this season but probably has not won this season or is unbeaten this season. Should have won at a mile, placed last time out and has 4 or more career wins.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2024 – Running Lion
- 2023 – Rogue Millennium
- 2022 – Saffron Beach
- 2021 – Indie Angel
- 2020 – Nazeef
- 2019 – Move Swiftly
- 2018 – Aljazzi
- 2017 – Qemah
- 2016 – Usherette
- 2015 – Amazing Maria
Prince of Wales’s Stakes
- 9 of the last 10 winners had won at 10 furlongs
- 9 of the last 10 winners were Irish Bred
- 8 of the last 10 winners came from the first three in the betting
- 8 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 119+
- 8 of the last 10 winners placed Top 3 last time out
- 7 of the last 10 winners were NOT sent off favourite
- 7 of the last 10 winners had won that season (2 hadn’t run, the other had 1 run)
- 7 of the last 10 winners had run at Ascot (only 2 had won)
“Irish bred, will have won at 10 furlongs, in the Top 3 in the betting but probably NOT the favourite. Has an OR of 119 or higher, placed Top 3 last time out and has run at Ascot.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2024 – Auguste Rodin
- 2023 – Mostahdaf
- 2022 – State Of Rest
- 2021 – Love
- 2020 – Lord North
- 2019 – Crystal Ocean
- 2018 – Poets Word
- 2017 – Highland Reel
- 2016 – My Dream Boat
- 2015 – Free Eagle
Royal Hunt Cup
- ALL of the last 10 winners were aged 4 or 5
- 9 of the last 10 winners were NOT the favourite (Last year was joint favourite)
- 9 of the last 10 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-5
- 9 of the last 10 winners had run that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners were 4yo’s
- 8 of the last 10 winners had 3 or more career wins
- 7 of the last 10 winners at least placed last time out (3 won)
- 7 of the last 10 winners were drawn either 4-11 or 20+
- 7 of the last 10 winners had run at Ascot
“Preferably aged 4, carries between 9-0 and 9-5 and has run this season. Has 3 or more career wins, at least placed last time out, has run at Ascot and drawn 4-11 or 20+.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2024 – Wild Tiger
- 2023 – Jimi Hendrix
- 2022 – Dark Shift
- 2021 – Real World
- 2020 – Dark Vision
- 2019 – Afaak
- 2018 – Settle For Bay
- 2017 – Zhui Feng
- 2016 – Portage
- 2015 – Gm Hopkins
Kensington Palace Stakes (introduced in 2021)
- ALL of the 4 winners were priced 10/1+
- ALL of the 4 winners last ran between 18 and 31 days ago
- ALL of the 4 winners had at least 2 runs at 7 furlongs (3 had won at the trip too)
- 3 of the 4 winners had exactly one win that season
“Race was introduced in 2021; Will be priced 10/1 or bigger, last ran 18 to 31 days ago, has run 2 or more times at 7 furlongs and has no more than 1 win this season.”
Winners
- 2024 – Doha
- 2023 – Villanova Queen
- 2022 – Rising Star
- 2021 – Lola Showgirl
Windsor Castle Stakes
- 9 of the last 10 winners last ran in the last 26 days
- 8 of the last 10 winners were NOT sent off favourite
- 8 of the last 10 winners had no more than 2 runs
- 7 of the last 10 winners had won a race
- 7 of the last 10 winners finished in the Top 2 last time out
- 6 of the last 10 winners were either the highest in the highest two or lowest two stalls
“Ran in the last 26 days, probably not the favourite and has no more than 2 runs. Has won a race and placed Top 2 last time out. Respect those in the highest or lowest 2 stalls.”
Last 10 Winners
- 2024 – Aint Nobody
- 2023 – Big Evs
- 2022 – Little Big Bear
- 2021 – Chipotle
- 2020 – Tactical
- 2019 – Southern Hills
- 2018 – Soldiers Call
- 2017 – Sound And Silence
- 2016 – Ardad
- 2015 – Washington Dc