The final day of the St Leger meeting at Doncaster features the big race itself and final Classic of the season. Dave Young covers every single race on the final day with his trends outlooks below.
13:50 BETFRED CHAMPAGNE STAKES – GROUP 2 – 7F
- 9 of the last 10 winners had already run at 7f
- 9 of the last 10 winners ran at 7f last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners last ran 22 to 49 days ago
- 7 of the last 10 winners came from the first 2 in the market
- 7 of the last 10 winners were priced 3/1 or shorter
- 7 of the last 10 winners ran in Listed company or better last time out
- 7 of the last 10 winners won last time out
“Probably ran at 7f last time out and between 22 and 49 days ago. Likely to come from the top 2 in the market, priced 3/1 or shorter and won last time out”
14:25 BETFRED PORTLAND HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 5.5F
- ALL of the last 10 winners ran in a Class 2 or better last time out
- ALL of the last 10 winner did NOT win last time out
- 9 of the last 10 winners had 5 or more runs this season
- 9 of the last 10 winners ran within the last 28 days (4 ran 8 days or less)
- 8 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stall 10 or higher
- 8 of the last 10 winners carried 8-13 or more
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran in a Handicap last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran at 5f or 5.5f last time out
- 6 of the last 10 winners had already run over 5.5 furlongs (not the last 3)
“Ran in a class 2 or better last time out but did NOT win. Has 5 or more runs this season and ran in the last 28 days, or better yet the last 8 days. Respect those drawn in stall 10 or higher and carrying 8-13 or more”
15:00 BETFRED PARK STAKES – GROUP 2 – 7F
- ALL of the last 10 winners had an OR of 111+
- ALL of the last 10 winners were priced 11/2 or shorter (4 favourites)
- ALL of the last 10 winners ran in a Group race last time out
- ALL of the last 10 winners had already won a Group 2 or Group 3
- ALL of the last 10 winners had no more than 1 win that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out
- 9 of the last 10 winners had 3 or more runs that season
- 6 of the last 10 winners were drawn in the bottom half (others were all highest drawn)
- 6 of the last 10 winners ran in the last 22 days (4 came from the City Of York Stakes)
“Has an OR of 111+, priced 11/2 or shorter, ran in a Group race last time out and has no more than 1 win this season. Did NOT win last time out and has 3 or more runs this season”
15:40 BETFRED ST LEGER STAKES – GROUP 1 – 1M 6.5F
In-depth article for the race – St Leger Trends – All The Facts & Stats For Final Classic Of The Season – GG.co.uk
- ALL of the last 10 winners had already won a race that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners last ran 24 days ago or more
- 8 of the last 10 winners had 3 or more career wins (The last 8)
- 8 of the last 10 winners were priced 9/2 or shorter
- 7 of the last 10 winners ran in a Group 2 or better last time out
- 7 of the last 10 winners had NOT already won a Group 1
“Will have won this season and last ran 24 days ago or more. Has 3 or more career wins and will be priced 9/2 or shorter”
16:15 PJ TOWEY CONSTRUCTION HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 1M 2F (Introduced in 2023)
- Both winners were aged 4
- Both winners were the favourite
- Both winners were rated between 95 and 97
- Both winners had NOT won this season
- Both winners last ran at Ascot
- Both winners last run in a Class 2 Handicap
“Just two runnings, but will be aged 4, the favourite and rated between 95 and 97. Without a win this season and ran in a Class 2 Handicap at Ascot last time out”
16:50 EBF MAIDEN STAKES – CLASS 2 – 1M (Introduced in 2020)
*There was no race in 2022
- 3 of the 4 winners had NOT already raced (last 3)
- 3 of the 4 winners were priced 8/1 or shorter
- 2 of the 4 winners were trained by the Gosdens
“Just 4 runnings, but likely to be unraced, priced 8/1 or shorter and respect Gosden runners”
17:23 CEPAC 25TH YEAR ANNIVERSARY HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 1M
- 9 of the last 10 winners were single-figure priced
- 8 of the last 10 winners had run 4 or more times that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners carried between 8-9 and 9-4
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran in a Handicap last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran at 1 mile last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners had won at 1 mile
- 7 of the last 10 winners finished top 5 last time out
- 7 of the last 10 winners had won a race that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out
- 6 of the last 10 winners were 3-year-olds
“Likely to be sent off a single-figure price, has 4 or more runs this season and has won a race this season. Look to those carrying 8-9 and 9-4 and respect 3yos”