There are Group and Listed contests aplenty on day two of the St Leger meeting. The Friday before the big race itself has gone under Dave Young’s microscope, as he gives a trends rundown of every race.
13:15 BETFRED MALLARD HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 1M 6.5F
- ALL of the last 10 winners raced in a Handicap last time out
- 9 of the last 10 winners had 4 or more runs that season (the other had just 1)
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran in the last 23 days or less
- 8 of the last 10 winners last ran at 12f or 14f
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran in a Class 2 last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners had already run at about 14f (only 3 had won)
- 8 of the last 10 winners carried 9-4 or less
- 7 of the last 10 winners were priced 7/1 or shorter
- 7 of the last 10 winners had already won a race that season
- 5 of the last 10 winners last ran at York
“Last ran in a Handicap and probably a Class 2 at 12f or 14f. Should have 4 or more runs this season or just 1 run this season. Ideally has run at about 14f and look to those carrying 9-4 or less”
13:50 BETFRED FLYING SCOTSMAN STAKES – LISTED – 7F
- ALL of the last 10 winners were single-figure priced
- ALL of the last 10 winners had already won a race
- 9 of the last 10 winners had won just once
- 9 of the last 10 winners raced inside the last 4 weeks
- 8 of the last 10 winners raced at 7 furlongs last time out
- 7 of the last 10 winners won last time out (2 others were second in listed company and 1 other was unplaced in a Group 3)
“Will be sent off single figures and will have already won a race but probably just one. Last ran inside 4 weeks and ran at 7 furlongs or Ripon’s Listed 6f 2yo race”
14:25 FLYING CHILDERS STAKES – GROUP 2 – 5F
- ALL of the last 10 winners already had at least 2 wins
- ALL of the last 10 winners were NOT unbeaten
- ALL of the last 10 winners had won at 5 furlongs (3 were unbeaten at 5f)
- 9 of the last 10 winners last ran in a Group race (the other ran in listed)
- 9 of the last 10 winners came from the top 3 in the market (just 2 favs)
- 8 of the last 10 winners already had an OR of 101+
- 8 of the last 10 winners had NOT already won a Group 2
- 8 of the last 10 winners race inside the last 4 weeks (7 in the last 3 weeks)
- 7 of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out
“Has two wins but not unbeaten. Has won at 5f and should have run in at least a Listed race last time out. Likely to come from the top 3 in the market and holds an OR of 101+”
15:00 DONCASTER CUP STAKES – GROUP 2 – 2M 2F
- ALL of the last 10 winners had an OR of 107+ (8 were 110+)
- 9 of the last 10 winners came from the top 2 in the market (other was 3rd fav)
- 9 of the last 10 winners last ran in a Group 2 or Group 3
- 8 of the last 10 winners were favourites
- 7 of the last 10 winners last ran between 20 and 27 days ago
“Must be rated 107+ but ideally 100+ and most likely to be the favourite. Should have run in a Group 2 or 3 last time out and preferably between 20 and 27 days ago”
15:40 EBF PREMIER FILLIES’ HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 1M 4F (Introduced in 2016)
*There was no race in 2022
- ALL of the 8 winners placed Top 5 last time out (7 placed Top 4)
- ALL of the 8 winners had raced at 1m 4f
- 7 of the 8 winners had no more than 2 career wins
- 7 of the 8 winners had won 1 race at 1m 4f
- 7 of the 8 winners had an OR between 85 and 89
- 7 of the 8 winners ran in a handicap last time out (5 were fillies handicaps)
- 6 of the 8 winners were priced 4/1 or shorter
- 6 of the 8 winners had won that season
“Will have placed Top 5 last time out and has already raced at 1m4f but should have won at the trip too. Has no more than 2 wins and holds an OR of 85-89”
16:10 MAIDEN FILLIES’ STAKES – CLASS 2 – 7F (Introduced in 2023)
- Both winners were sent off favourite (1 joint)
- Both winners came from a Class 3 or better last time out
- Both winners had recorded an RPR between 74 and 77
- Both winners last ran at 7 furlongs
- Both winners ran between 13 and 21 days ago
“Just two runnings, but respect favourites coming from a Class 3 or better who last raced at 7f between 13 and 21 days ago who recorded an RPR of 74+”
16:45 CONFINED NURSERY HANDICAP – CLASS 4 – 6F (Introduced in 2023)
- Both winners had just one career win
- Both winners were priced 6/1 or shorter
- Both winners were drawn on a wing (highest and lowest drawn runners)
- Both winners ran between 20 and 23 days ago
- Both winners ran in double figure sized fields last time out
“Just two runnings, but should have just one win, priced 6/1 or shorter and respect those drawn on a wing. Last ran 20 to 23 days ago and in a double figure sized field”
17:20 APPRENTICE HANDICAP – CLASS 4 – 6F (Introduced in 2022)
- ALL 3 winners were drawn in stall 9 or higher
- ALL 3 winners had just one win this season
- ALL 3 winners had run at Doncaster before
- ALL 3 winners last ran inside the last 2 weeks
- ALL 3 winners at least placed last time out
- 2 of the 3 winners were in a new yard this season
“Just three runnings, but likely to be drawn in stall 9 or higher, one win this season, had been to Doncaster before, ran in the last 2 weeks and at least placed last time out”