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Warwick Racing Tips & Predictions - Thursday 26th March 2026

Warwick Racing Tips & Predictions - Thursday 26th March 2026

Warwick racing tips for Thursday 26th March 2026 focus on a tight six-race jumps card on turf, run on GOOD ground (good to soft in places; GoingStick 6.9) on the inner hurdle course. The action starts at 14:28 and builds towards the 16:30 Class 2 staying handicap chase final, where the market has multiple viable angles: ratings strength, live odds, and proven Warwick effectiveness.

This preview gives you race-by-race Warwick predictions using measurable inputs only: official ratings, Topspeed, live Warwick odds, and venue performance for today’s horses, jockeys and trainers. From the course data, only three horses in the entire meeting meet the minimum “experienced at Warwick” threshold (3+ prior runs): El Rojo Grande and Pilsdon Pen (both 100% place rates here), plus Hitthekettle (0% place rate here). On the human side, the course numbers are much deeper: Harry Skelton (22.98% win) and Dan Skelton (20.60% win) are heavyweight Warwick performers on today’s card.

For more venue detail, see the Warwick racecourse guide.

Going & Conditions

The official going is GOOD, good to soft in places (GoingStick 6.9) on turf. With consistent going used across the card, the cleanest “conditions” edge today comes from proven course performance rather than guessing ground preferences. Notably, El Rojo Grande and Pilsdon Pen have both placed on all 3 of their Warwick starts (100% place rates), a significant signal on a card where most runners have limited or no meaningful track sample.

Tipster Performance at Warwick (last 2 years)

Only tipsters with course-history data are shown below (last 2 years). This table is course-specific and performance-based.

TipsterNapsWinsWin %Strike Rate %
Newsboy2150.0050.00
Templegate7114.2916.67
Robin Goodfellow500.000.00

14:28 – Feldon Dunsmore Proudly Employee-Owned Novices’ Hurdle (GBB Race)

Race Details: 4625y | Class 4 | GOOD (good to soft in places) | Jumps

Race Overview: A three-runner novice hurdle is a data exercise rather than a guessing game: ratings and the live market do most of the heavy lifting. Big Ticket is clear on figures with a 125 rating and 116 Topspeed, and he’s priced like it (best 1/6). The other two are much lower on both measures: Bobbarelli (111, TS 89) and La Vish (106, TS 87). With only three runners, each-way betting is functionally irrelevant (many firms show 1 place at 1/1 in small fields).

Top Selections

1. Big Ticket – 1/6 ⭐

Jockey: Sam Twiston-Davies | Trainer: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
Form: 22P13 | Rating: 125 | Topspeed: 116 | Weight: 161

Big Ticket owns the race on the hard numbers: top official rating (125) and top Topspeed (116) in the field. The market agrees aggressively: best price 1/6 (William Hill) with most layers 1/7–2/13. In a three-runner contest, the clean angle is simply that he has the largest performance buffer on the only two quantitative measures available across the field (OR/TS).

Best Odds: 1/6 (1.17) with William Hill
Recommended Bet: Win (or use as an accumulator leg)

2. Bobbarelli – 13/2

Jockey: Miss Amber Jackson-Fennell | Trainer: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
Form: P6 | Rating: 111 | Topspeed: 89 | Weight: 154

Bobbarelli is second-best on both available performance indicators (OR 111, TS 89) and is also the one offered at a workable price if you’re playing forecasts. He’s a long way behind Big Ticket on class measures, but he has a clear numerical edge over La Vish (106/87). With stable-mate dominance likely, he profiles as the most logical runner-up.

Best Odds: 13/2 (7.50) with Paddy Power
Recommended Bet: Forecast/Exacta with Big Ticket

Live Odds Comparison

HorseBet365Paddy PowerWilliam HillBetfairBest Odds
Big Ticket1/72/151/61/71/6 (William Hill)
Bobbarelli6/113/211/211/213/2 (Paddy Power)
La Vish14/19/111/110/114/1 (Bet365)

Betting Strategy

With only three runners, keep it simple. Big Ticket is the straightforward win/acca leg given he leads on OR (125) and Topspeed (116). For a bigger return, a forecast Big Ticket / Bobbarelli follows the same logic (Bobbarelli is second on OR/TS).

14:58 – JCB Mini-Excavator Novices’ Limited Handicap Hurdle

Race Details: 5720y | Class 5 | GOOD (good to soft in places) | Jumps

Race Overview: An eight-runner handicap hurdle where the market is heavily influenced by a key update: Junior Des Mottes is priced as a Non Runner across books in the live odds feed, so the shape of the race is effectively recalibrated around Getaway Sam. Getaway Sam is best-priced 10/11 and is also the top-rated in the field on official figures (OR 87). The remaining contenders cluster behind on ratings: Hitthekettle (87), El Arco (84), Silver Gale (78), Kampari (79) and others lower.

Top Selections

1. Getaway Sam – 10/11 ⭐

Jockey: Stan Sheppard | Trainer: Matt Sheppard
Form: 0P8PP6 | Rating: 87 | Topspeed: 62 | Weight: 153

Getaway Sam is the most logical win bet on the numbers that exist: he’s joint-top on official rating (87) and has the best listed Topspeed (62) among today’s declarations in this race. The market also positions him as the focal point: best 10/11 (Betfair/Sky Bet). With the odds feed showing Junior Des Mottes as NR, the favourite’s position is reinforced rather than diluted.

Best Odds: 10/11 (1.91) with Betfair
Recommended Bet: Win

2. Kampari – 4/1

Jockey: Kevin Brogan | Trainer: Laura Horsfall
Form: 006937 | Rating: 79 | Topspeed: 43 | Weight: 156

Kampari is the obvious “price” alternative based on the market spread: best 4/1 (Bet365/LeoVegas/Matchbook). He’s not close to the favourite on raw performance measures (OR 79, TS 43), but he’s more plausibly competitive than the longer-priced group and is one of the few sitting mid-market rather than double figures. If you want an each-way angle, note the race EW terms show 2 places at 1/4 odds with major firms.

Best Odds: 4/1 (5.00) with Bet365
Recommended Bet: Each-way (2 places, 1/4 odds)

3. El Arco – 8/1

Jockey: Tabitha Worsley | Trainer: Harriet Dickin
Form: -70879 | Rating: 84 | Topspeed: 49 | Weight: 157

El Arco is second-tier on the figures (OR 84, TS 49) and is available at 8/1 (Bet365). That combination—competitive rating versus a price in the high single-digits—makes him the clearest “value on paper” if you’re opposing the favourite. He’s also from a yard with a solid Warwick record overall today: trainer Harriet Dickin has 14.29% wins at Warwick (3 from 21).

Best Odds: 8/1 (9.00) with Bet365
Recommended Bet: Each-way (2 places, 1/4 odds)

Live Odds Comparison

HorseBet365Paddy PowerWilliam HillBetfairBest Odds
Getaway Sam5/41/16/510/1110/11 (Betfair)
Kampari4/115/27/27/14/1 (Bet365)
El Arco8/19/19/117/29/1 (Paddy Power)
Silver Gale7/210/37/216/57/2 (Bet365)
Hitthekettle12/110/111/117/217/2 (Betfair)

Betting Strategy

Win bet: Getaway Sam (best OR/TS in the declared field and best-price 10/11). Each-way options: Kampari at 4/1 or El Arco at 8/1 in a race offering 2 places at 1/4. Dangers: Silver Gale is shorter than El Arco in places and sits mid-market with OR 78.

15:28 – Best Odds Guaranteed At Betano Novices’ Handicap Chase

Race Details: 4400y | Class 5 | GOOD (good to soft in places) | Jumps

Race Overview: A nine-runner chase with a concentrated top end: Kap De Triomphe is clear favourite at best 2/1, with Kingoftheswingerz and El Rojo Grande next in the market. This is also the first race where course-specialism matters: El Rojo Grande has 3 runs at Warwick, 3 places (100% place rate) with an average finishing position of 1.33 at the track (course stats, min 3 runs). That’s a rare edge on this card.

Top Selections

1. El Rojo Grande – 9/2 ⭐

Jockey: Shane Quinlan | Trainer: Katy Price
Form: 211122 | Rating: 102 | Topspeed: 96 | Weight: 159

The strongest measurable angle in this race is course performance: El Rojo Grande is a Warwick specialist by data with 3/3 placed here (100% place rate) and an exceptional 1.33 average finishing position at the track. In the context of today’s card, that’s one of the few genuine “track edge” stats available. He’s also near the top on ability measures (OR 102, TS 96) and comes in with the most consistent recent form line in the race (211122). At best 9/2 (Bet365), he’s priced as a danger rather than the main one—making him the standout each-way or win/value play on the numbers.

Best Odds: 9/2 (5.50) with Bet365
Recommended Bet: Each-way (3 places, 1/5 odds) or Win

2. Kap De Triomphe – 2/1

Jockey: Jack Tudor | Trainer: Christian Williams
Form: 75-851 | Rating: n/a | Topspeed: n/a | Weight: 155

Kap De Triomphe is the market leader (best 2/1 at Matchbook) despite no rating/Topspeed listed in the racecard feed here, so the case is purely market-led. He is also the most backed nap in this race among the day’s available tipster picks at Warwick (multiple naps from different sources select him). If you trust market aggregation and tipster volume, he’s the “consensus” horse in this contest.

Best Odds: 2/1 (3.10) with Matchbook
Recommended Bet: Win

3. Kingoftheswingerz – 4/1

Jockey: James Bowen | Trainer: Harriet Dickin
Form: 15-P16 | Rating: 102 | Topspeed: 86 | Weight: 168

Kingoftheswingerz is joint-top on official rating (102) and is priced like a major player (best 4/1 widely). The main negative you can quantify from the racecard is the top weight (168), giving away lumps to several rivals. Trainer Harriet Dickin has a positive Warwick strike rate (3 wins from 21; 14.29%), which supports the stable angle.

Best Odds: 4/1 (5.00) with Betfred/Paddy Power/Unibet/CopyBet (varies)
Recommended Bet: Win/Place (3 places, 1/5 odds)

Live Odds Comparison

HorseBet365Paddy PowerWilliam HillBetfairBest Odds
Kap De Triomphe15/87/47/47/42/1 (Matchbook)
El Rojo Grande9/25/19/29/25/1 (Paddy Power)
Kingoftheswingerz11/24/17/218/511/2 (Bet365)
Claim Du Brizais7/17/17/113/27/1 (Bet365)

Betting Strategy

Main bet: El Rojo Grande each-way (3 places, 1/5 odds) because he brings the rarest edge on the card: 100% Warwick place rate (3/3). Win saver: Kap De Triomphe given he’s favourite and the nap volume at this meeting. Forecast idea: Kap De Triomphe / El Rojo Grande.

Tipster Selections

No selections were recorded today for GG Spotlight, Templegate, Newsboy or Robin Goodfellow in this race.

15:58 – Betano Boosted Odds Every UK Race Mares’ Handicap Hurdle

Race Details: 3520y | Class 4 | GOOD (good to soft in places) | Jumps

Race Overview: A seven-runner mares’ handicap with a clear top two in the market: Aj’s Diamond heads the betting at best 9/5, with Ip Up next at best 3/1. Ratings favour Ip Up (OR 114) over Aj’s Diamond (OR 108), while Topspeed points the other way in places (Aj’s Diamond TS 87 vs Ip Up TS 94, with Lady Magic highest TS at 98). This is a race where the market, OR, and TS are pulling in slightly different directions—use price sensitivity.

Top Selections

1. Ip Up – 5/2 ⭐

Jockey: Philip Armson | Trainer: Jedd O’Keeffe
Form: -43322 | Rating: 114 | Topspeed: 94 | Weight: 170

Ip Up has the strongest official rating in the field (114) and a strong Topspeed figure (94), yet is still available at a fair price: best 5/2 widely. She’s also the heaviest weight (170), so the bet is a pure “class/ability over weight” stance backed by her being top-rated in the racecard feed. If you’re looking for Warwick best bets with a price attached rather than odds-on, Ip Up is the most defensible on OR.

Best Odds: 5/2 (3.50) with Bet365/Betfair/William Hill (varies)
Recommended Bet: Win

2. Aj’s Diamond – 9/5

Jockey: Freddie Gordon | Trainer: Chris Gordon
Form: -30463 | Rating: 108 | Topspeed: 87 | Weight: 160

Aj’s Diamond is the favourite on price (best 9/5 at Matchbook) and is partnered by a jockey with an excellent Warwick strike rate: Freddie Gordon is 4 wins from 18 at the course (22.22% win; 55.56% place). That’s a material course edge among today’s riders. If you want the market leader, the jockey’s track record is the clean supporting stat.

Best Odds: 9/5 (2.82) with Matchbook
Recommended Bet: Win

3. Lady Magic – 10/3

Jockey: Ned Fox | Trainer: Tom Symonds
Form: -11515 | Rating: 104 | Topspeed: 98 | Weight: 169

Lady Magic brings the best Topspeed in the field at 98 and is priced at best 10/3 (Midnite). If you prioritise speed output versus OR (she’s 104 on ratings), she’s the alternative to the top two. Jockey Ned Fox also has a very high Warwick place rate in the course data: 11 places from 18 rides (61.11% place), which is relevant in a small-ish field.

Best Odds: 10/3 (4.33) with Midnite
Recommended Bet: Each-way (2 places, 1/4 odds)

Live Odds Comparison

HorseBet365Paddy PowerWilliam HillBetfairBest Odds
Aj’s Diamond13/813/88/56/49/5 (Matchbook)
Ip Up5/25/25/25/25/2 (Best price)
Lady Magic7/211/43/111/410/3 (Midnite)

Betting Strategy

Win bet: Ip Up (top-rated on OR 114 at a backable 5/2). Cover: Aj’s Diamond if you want the favourite, with Freddie Gordon’s 22.22% Warwick win rate as the tangible supporting stat. Each-way: Lady Magic at 10/3 if you want to play the best Topspeed (98) with 2-place terms.

Tipster Selections

No selections were recorded today for GG Spotlight, Templegate, Newsboy or Robin Goodfellow in this race.

16:30 – JCB Handicap Chase (Challenger Staying Chase Series Final) (GBB Race)

Race Details: 5280y | Class 2 | GOOD (good to soft in places) | Jumps

Race Overview: The feature staying handicap chase is the most data-rich betting heat on the card: strong ratings cluster and a competitive market. Get Up Mush (OR 135) and New Order (OR 133) sit near the top of the market, while Fever Dream combines a high Topspeed (119) with a workable price (best 9/2). Course stats flag one runner as a place machine here: Pilsdon Pen is 3/3 placed at Warwick (100% place rate) and is priced at double figures (best 13/1).

Top Selections

1. Fever Dream – 9/2 ⭐

Jockey: Jack Tudor | Trainer: Christian Williams
Form: 135542 | Rating: 131 | Topspeed: 119 | Weight: 147

Fever Dream brings the best combination of measurable “ceiling” and price: Topspeed 119 is second only to the top pair on paper and higher than several shorter-priced rivals, while he carries just 147. At best 9/2 (William Hill), he sits in the sweet spot for a win bet in a competitive handicap. He also has tipster support in the Warwick naps feed today (selected by multiple sources), which matters as an observable market-of-opinion signal.

Best Odds: 9/2 (5.50) with William Hill
Recommended Bet: Win

2. Get Up Mush – 11/4

Jockey: Harry Skelton | Trainer: Dan Skelton
Form: 1-7P56 | Rating: 135 | Topspeed: 101 | Weight: 152

Get Up Mush is the highest-rated in the field (OR 135) and gets the strongest course connections in the whole meeting: Harry Skelton has a Warwick record of 122 wins from 531 rides (22.98% win; 51.60% place) and Dan Skelton has 138 wins from 670 runners at Warwick (20.60% win). Those are heavy, venue-proven numbers. Best price is 11/4 (Betfair).

Best Odds: 11/4 (3.50) with Betfair
Recommended Bet: Win/Place (3 places, 1/5 odds)

3. Pilsdon Pen – 13/1

Jockey: Rex Dingle | Trainer: Jeremy Scott
Form: -15P52 | Rating: 133 | Topspeed: 102 | Weight: 154

Pilsdon Pen is one of the few true Warwick course specialists running today: 3 runs here, 3 places (100%) with an average finishing position of 2.67. He’s also fully competitive on ability measures (OR 133, TS 102) yet is available at a standout price: best 13/1 (Matchbook). In a big handicap with 3-place each-way terms, that course record is a concrete reason to treat him as a value each-way play.

Best Odds: 13/1 (14.50) with Matchbook
Recommended Bet: Each-way (3 places, 1/5 odds)

Live Odds Comparison

HorseBet365Paddy PowerWilliam HillBetfairBest Odds
Get Up Mush3/111/43/15/25/2 (Betfair)
New Order7/210/33/116/57/2 (Bet365)
Fever Dream4/14/19/24/19/2 (William Hill)
Pilsdon Pen10/112/19/111/113/1 (Matchbook)

Betting Strategy

Win bet: Fever Dream at 9/2 (high Topspeed 119 and a light weight 147). Each-way special: Pilsdon Pen at 13/1 with a 100% Warwick place rate (3/3). Forecast: Get Up Mush / Fever Dream is the ratings + TS blend. Dangers: New Order sits close on OR (133) and is priced in the first three in the market.

Tipster Selections

No selections were recorded today for GG Spotlight, Templegate, Newsboy or Robin Goodfellow in this race.

17:00 – JCB Tele-Handler “Junior” National Hunt Flat Race (GBB Race)

Race Details: 3520y | Class 5 | GOOD (good to soft in places) | Jumps

Race Overview: An 11-runner bumper where the market is strongly concentrated around Ivor Bear (best 11/10). In these contests, the most reliable hard inputs in our feed are ratings/Topspeed. Ivor Bear is top on both in the field: rating 117 and Topspeed 111. Next best on the numbers is Nightflyer (rating 102, TS 79) at double figures, while Aribidia (rating 92, TS 72) and Saint Argente (no rating/TS listed) sit as the main dangers by price.

Top Selections

1. Ivor Bear – 11/10 ⭐

Jockey: Sam Twiston-Davies | Trainer: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
Form: 42 | Rating: 117 | Topspeed: 111 | Weight: 156

Ivor Bear is the standout on quantifiable performance measures: best rating (117) and best Topspeed (111) in the entire field. The market aligns: best 11/10 across multiple bookmakers. On a data-only read, he’s the strongest “banker” proposition in the finale because he leads the pack on both ability signals available in this bumper.

Best Odds: 11/10 (2.10) with Bet365/Betfair/Betfred (varies)
Recommended Bet: Win

2. Saint Argente – 10/3

Jockey: James Bowen | Trainer: Warren Greatrex
Form: (no form listed) | Rating: n/a | Topspeed: n/a | Weight: 156

Saint Argente is the clear second choice in the live market (best 10/3 at Betfred/Unibet), and that market position is the only firm input available in the feed (no rating/Topspeed listed). If you’re playing forecasts or looking for a danger to the favourite, he’s the obvious one by price.

Best Odds: 10/3 (4.33) with Betfred/Unibet
Recommended Bet: Forecast with Ivor Bear

3. Nightflyer – 11/1

Jockey: Jonjo O’Neill Jr | Trainer: Jonjo & A J O’Neill
Form: 15 | Rating: 102 | Topspeed: 79 | Weight: 163

Nightflyer is the best-priced runner with a strong numeric base (rating 102, TS 79) and is available at 11/1. If you want a wider each-way angle in an 11-runner bumper (3 places at 1/5), he’s one of the few with meaningful figures attached and a double-figure price.

Best Odds: 11/1 (12.00) with Bet365/Betfair/Betfred (varies)
Recommended Bet: Each-way (3 places, 1/5 odds)

Live Odds Comparison

HorseBet365Paddy PowerWilliam HillBetfairBest Odds
Ivor Bear11/1011/106/511/1011/10 (Best price)
Saint Argente9/24/14/118/510/3 (Betfred/Unibet)
Nightflyer11/112/111/111/112/1 (Paddy Power)

Betting Strategy

Win bet: Ivor Bear (top-rated 117 and top Topspeed 111). Each-way: Nightflyer at 11/1–12/1 (3 places, 1/5 odds) if you want a price with measurable ability indicators. Forecast: Ivor Bear / Saint Argente (market-ranked second).

Course Specialists Running Today

Horses To Note

Only three runners today have 3+ prior runs at Warwick. Two are 100% place rate horses at the track, which is unusually strong for a single meeting.

HorseRunsWinsWin %Place %Racing In
Pilsdon Pen300.00100.0016:30
El Rojo Grande300.00100.0015:28
Hitthekettle300.000.0014:58

Jockeys To Note

Warwick is a track where top riders repeatedly convert: the standout is Harry Skelton with 122 wins from 531 rides (22.98%).

JockeyRidesWinsWin %Place %Mounts Today
Harry Skelton53112222.9851.602
Freddie Gordon18422.2255.561
Jonjo O’Neill Jr1042120.1957.693
Jonathan Burke1242217.7446.771
Sam Twiston-Davies4435712.8747.632

Trainers To Note

Trainer performance at Warwick is led today by Tom Lacey (23.26%) and the high-volume powerhouse Dan Skelton (20.60%).

TrainerRunnersWinsWin %Place %Entries Today
Tom Lacey862023.2665.121
Dan Skelton67013820.6048.212
Alan King4087919.3649.262
Tom George43716.2844.191
Charlie Longsdon861315.1248.841

Summary & Best Bets

Today’s Warwick racing tips are built around the few runners with genuine track evidence and the strongest course connections.

  • NAP of the Day: El Rojo Grande (15:28) – the only runner on the card with a standout, reliable course profile: 3/3 placed at Warwick (100%) and a 1.33 average finishing position here.
  • Best Value Bet: Pilsdon Pen (16:30) at 13/1 – competitive on OR/TS (133/102) and 3/3 placed at Warwick.
  • Banker for Accumulators: Ivor Bear (17:00) – top of the field on rating (117) and Topspeed (111).
  • Each-Way Special: Pilsdon Pen (16:30) at 13/1 (3 places, 1/5 odds) – proven Warwick placer plus double-figure odds.
  • Course Specialist to Follow: Harry Skelton22.98% Warwick win rate (122/531) with two key rides on the card.

FAQs

What time does racing start at Warwick today?

Racing begins at 14:28 and there are 6 races scheduled at Warwick today.

What is the going at Warwick today?

The going is GOOD, good to soft in places (GoingStick 6.9) on turf on the inner hurdle course.

Who are the top trainers at Warwick on today’s card?

By Warwick strike rate in the course data, Tom Lacey leads today’s declared trainers at 23.26% (20 wins from 86), followed by Dan Skelton at 20.60% (138 wins from 670).

What are your best bets at Warwick today?

Our top Warwick best bets are El Rojo Grande in the 15:28 (3/3 placed at Warwick) and Ivor Bear in the 17:00 (top-rated 117 and top Topspeed 111).

Where can I find the best odds for Warwick races?

We publish a live odds comparison in each race section above (including Bet365, Paddy Power, William Hill and Betfair) so you can consistently take the best available price.

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