It’s day one of York’s Ebor Festival on Wednesday with the Group 1 Juddmonte International Stakes the feature race of the day. Our trends guru Dave Young is back with all his vital pointers, trends and statistics for a sparkling curtain-raiser to four fabulous days on the Knavesmire.
13:50 – SYMPHONY GROUP HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 5.5F
- 9 of the last 10 winners were priced 11/1 or bigger
- 9 of the last 10 winners had 5 or more runs that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners had run at York (5 had won)
- 9 of the last 10 winners had run at 5.5 furlongs
- 8 of the last 10 winners had 6 or more career wins
- 8 of the last 10 winners had won that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners were aged 5 or older
- 7 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stall 10 or lower
- 7 of the last 10 winners ran at 5f last time out
- 6 of the last 10 winners finished top 2 last time out
“Should have 5+ runs this season, has run at exactly 5.5f and has run at York. Likely to be priced 11/1 or bigger”
14:25 – ACOMB STAKES – GROUP 3 – 7F
- ALL of the last 10 winners won last time out
- ALL of the last 10 winners had just 1 career win
- 9 of the last 10 winners were NOT sent of favourite (The other was joint)
- 8 of the last 10 winners raced between 20 and 27 days ago
- 7 of the last 10 winners has raced more than once
“Will have won last time out and has just one career win. Will not be the outright favourite and ideally ran between 20 and 27 days ago”
15:00 – GREAT VOLTIGEUR STAKES – GROUP 2 – 1M 4F
- 9 of the last 10 winners ran at 1m4f last time out (just one of those won)
- 9 of the last 10 winners had at least 2 career wins
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran in a Group race last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners had 33+ days off (the others ran in the Gordon Stakes)
- 8 of the last 10 winners came from the bottom half of the draw
- 8 of the last 10 winners had won this season
“Ran at 1m4f last time out but probably won last time out. Has 2 career wins including a win this season and last ran 33+ days ago or ran in the Gordon Stakes”
15:35 – JUDDMONTE INTERNATIONAL STAKES – GROUP 1 – 1M 2.5F
- 9 of the last 10 favourites have finished in the top 2 (5 won)
- 9 of the last 10 winners had won more than once that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners had 4 or more career wins
- 9 of the last 10 winners ran at either 10f or 12f last time out
- 9 of the last 10 winners had already won a Group 1
- 8 of the last 10 winners had and OR of 121+
- 7 of the last 10 winners won last time out
“Favourites go well here, should have won more than once this season and has 4+ career wins. Has already won a Group 1 and ran at 10f or 12f last time out”
16:10 – STAYERS’ HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 2M 0.5F
- 8 of the last 10 winners had 10 or more career flat runs
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran 22 days ago or less
- 7 of the last 10 winners were priced 8/1 or shorter (2 favourites)
- 7 of the last 10 winners had NOT won that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners were aged 4 or 5
- 7 of the last 10 winners finished in the top 3 last time out
- 7 of the last 10 winners ran in a Class 2 or better last time out
- 7 of the last 10 winners had run at York before
“Probably ran 22 days or less and has 10 or more career flat runs. Likely to be priced 8/1 or shorter, aged 4 or 5 and probably hasn’t won this season”
16:45 – FILLIES’ HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 5F (introduced in 2020)
- 3 of the last 4 winners had an OR of 92+
- 3 of the last 4 winners had 2 career wins
- 3 of the last 4 winners did NOT place last time out
- 3 of the last 4 winners ran 32+ days ago
“Only 4 running’s but looking for an OR of 92+ with 2 career wins. Did NOT place last time out and ran 32+ days ago”
17:20 – NURSERY HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 6F
- 8 of the last 10 winners had run 3 or more times
- 8 of the last 10 winners raced at 6f last time out (other 2 had not run at 6f)
- 8 of the last 10 winners won last time out
- 7 of the last 10 winners were drawn in the bottom half (6 were stall 6 or lower)
- 7 of the last 10 winners were priced 8/1 or lower
“Ideally has 3+ runs, raced at 6f last time out or hasn’t tried the trip yet, won last time out and preference to those drawn in the lower half, especially bottom 6”
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