There are seven sparkling races at York on Thursday, as day two of the Ebor Festival takes centre stage. Our trends man Dave Young has taken a look at the history of each race and picked out all the key pointers.
13:50 – LOWTHER STAKES – GROUP 2 – 6F
- 8 of the last 10 winners won last time out
- 7 of the last 10 favourites finished 1st or 2nd (3 won)
- 7 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 100+
- 7 of the last 10 winners had 2 or more wins
- 7 of the last 10 winners had already run at 6f (5 had won)
“Ideally won last time out, favourites go well and the winner should be 100+ rated with 2 or more wins and has run at 6f already”
14:25 – GOFFS YEARLING SALES – CLASS 2 – 6F
- 9 of the last 10 winners has 2 or more runs
- 8 of the last 10 winners were priced 15/2 or shorter
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran in a Class 2 or better last time out (last 2 did not)
- 7 of the last 10 winners race in the last 33 day or less
- 5 of the last 10 winners were trained by Richard Hannon
“Has 2 or more runs and is priced 15/2 or shorter. Probably ran in a Class 2 or better last time out, last ran in the last 33 days and respect Richard Hannon”
15:00 – CLIPPER HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 6F
- 9 of the last 10 winners had 3 or more career wins
- 9 of the last 10 winners ran in a Class 2 Handicap last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran in the last 26 days or less
- 8 of the last 10 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-6
- 7 of the last 10 winners came from stall 9 or lower
- 7 of the last 10 winners had won that season (7 of last 8)
- 7 of the last 10 winners did NOT place last time out (2 won)
“Has 3 or more career wins, ran in a Class 2 handicap last time out, ran in the last 26 days and preferably carries between 9-0 and 9-6”
15:35 – YORKSHIRE OAKS – GROUP 1 – 1M 4F
- ALL of the last 10 favourites have at least placed (6 won)
- ALL of the last 10 winners ran in a Group 1 last time out
- 9 of the last 10 winners had won that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners raced at 1m4f last time out
- 9 of the last 10 winners had 3 or more career wins
- 8 of the last 10 winners had already won a Group 1
- 7 of the last 10 winners won last time out
- 5 of the last 10 winners were trained by Aidan O’Brien
“The favourite will at least place, will have run in a Group 1 last time out and ideally has won a Group 1. Has won this season, raced at 1m4f last time out and respect Aidan O’Brien”
16:10 – GALTRES STAKES – LISTED – 1M 4F
- ALL of the last 10 winners had either 1 or 2 career wins
- 9 of the last 10 winners raced at 10f-12f last time out
- 7 of the last 10 winners were drawn in the top half of the field
- 7 of the last 10 winners had 3 or more runs that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners ran in Listed company or better last time out
“Has either 1 or 2 career wins, raced at 10f-12f last time out, has 3 or more runs this season and ran in listed company last time out. Bonus if drawn in the top half”
16:45 – EBF HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 7F (Introduced in 2020)
- ALL of the last 4 winners had no more than 1 win
- ALL of the last 4 winners ran in the last 16 days or less
- ALL of the last 4 winners finished top 3 last time out
“Has no more than 1 win, ran in the last 16 days and finished top 3 last time out”
17:20 – FILLIES’ HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 7F
- 9 of the last 10 winners had won that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners had 2 or more career wins
- 8 of the last 10 winners were 3yo’s
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran at 7f or 8f last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners finished top 2 last time out (6 won)
“Has won this season and has 2 or more career wins. Probably a 3yo, raced at either 7f or 8f and finished in the top 2 last time out but ideally won”
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