Day three of York’s Ebor meeting will be staged on Friday, 23rd August. Featuring the Group 1 Nunthorpe Stakes, the all-age highlight over the minimum trip of 5f, it is bound to showcase some top class racing. Dave Young had pawed through the stats to point you in the right direction.
13:50 SKYBET HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 1M 4F (Dead Heat in 2015)
- 10 of the last 11 winners had an OR between 89 and 98
- 10 of the last 11 winners were aged 4
- 9 of the last 11 winners did NOT run in the last 3 weeks
- 9 of the last 11 winners had 3 or more runs that season
- 8 of the last 11 winners came from the bottom half of the draw
- 8 of the last 11 winners carried 9 stone or more
- 8 of the last 11 winners did NOT place last time out
“Look for 4yo’s with an OR of 89-98, ideally did NOT run in the last 3 weeks but has 3+ runs this season, did NOT place last time out and drawn in the bottom half”
14:25 LONSDALE CUP – GROUP 2 – 2M 0.5F
- 9 of the last 10 winners raced at 14f or 16f last time out
- 9 of the last 10 winners had already raced at York
- 8 of the last 10 winners were aged 5 or 6
- 8 of the last 10 winners were priced 9/2 or shorter (5 favourites)
- 8 of the last 10 winners had won a race that season
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran in a Group 1 or 2 last time out
- 7 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 111+
“Should have already run at York and raced at 14f or 16f last time out. Likely to be 5 or 6, priced 9/2 or shorter, has won this season and ran in a Group 1 or 2 last time out”
15:00 GIMCRACK STAKES – GROUP 2 – 6F
- 9 of the last 10 winners finished top 3 last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners raced at 6f last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran inside the last 28 days or less
- 8 of the last 10 winners were priced 7/1 or shorter
“Should have finished top 3 and ran at 6f last time out. Look to those who ran in the last 4 weeks and who are priced 7/1 or shorter”
15:35 NUNTHORPE STAKES – GROUP 1 – 5F
- ALL of the last 10 winners had run at York
- 9 of the last 10 winners had 11+ runs at 5f
- 9 of the last 10 winners had 5+ wins at 5f
- 9 of the last 10 winners had won a race that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners raced at 5f last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 112+
- 8 of the last 10 winners raced 21 days ago or more (not the last 2)
- 7 of the last 10 winners were drawn in the bottom half
“Will have run at York, has 11+ runs and 5+ wins at 5f, has won a race this season. Look for an OR of 112+ and a bonus to be drawn in the bottom half”
16:10 FILLIES’ HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 1M 2.5F (Introduced in 2020)
- ALL of the last 4 winners were drawn in stall 4 or lower
- ALL of the last 4 winners ran 26 days ago or less
- ALL of the last 4 winners had won a race this season
- 3 of the last 4 winners were priced 7/1 or shorter (no favourites)
- 3 of the last 4 winners ran in a Handicap last time out
“Drawn in stall 4 or lower, ran 26 days ago or less and has won a race this season. Look at those priced 7/1 or shorter but not the favourite”
16:45 EBF MAIDEN STAKES – CLASS 2 – 7F
- 8 of the last 10 winners had already raced
- 7 of the last 10 winners finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
- 6 of the last 10 winners were priced 9/2 or shorter (The last 5)
“Likely to have already run and finished either 2nd or 3rd last time out. Market helps here with the last 5 winners priced 9/2 or shorter”
17:20 MILE HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 1M
- ALL of the last 10 winners had 3 or more runs that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stall 8 or lower (7 in stall 5 or less)
- 9 of the last 10 winners last ran between 20 and 41 days ago
- 8 of the last 10 winners had an OR in the 90’s
- 8 of the last 10 winners had won that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners had run at York and run well
- 6 of the last 10 winners finished top 2 last time out (4 won)
“Will have 3+ runs this season, drawn in stall 8 or lower but ideally 5 or lower and last ran 20-41 days ago. Should have won this season and have an OR in the 90s”
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