The Ebor is a fantastic race to go through the trends, and so Dave Young has done just that, following all of the important statistics to point you towards some York day four winners on Saturday, 24th August.
13:50 STRENSALL STAKES – GROUP 3 – 1M 1F
- 9 of the last 10 winners were priced 6/1 or shorter (4 favourites)
- 9 of the last 10 winners had won that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners finished top 3 last time out (6 won)
- 9 of the last 10 winners ran inside the last 4 weeks
- 8 of the last 10 winners had NOT already won a Group race
- 8 of the last 10 winners had 4+ runs that season
- 7 of the last 10 winners had between 3 and 5 career wins
“Likely to be 6/1 or shorter and respect favourites. Should have won this season and preferably last time out. Ran in the last 4 weeks and has 4+ runs this season”
14:25 MELROSE HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 1M 6F
- ALL of the last 10 winners had won a race that season
- 9 of the last 10 winners ran at 12f+ last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners last ran 21 or more days ago
- 7 of the last 10 winners had 4 or 5 runs that season
- 6 of the last 10 winners ran at Newmarket or Goodwood last time out
“Has won this season, raced at 12f+ last time out and last ran 21+ days ago. Has 4 or 5 runs this season and likely ran at Newmarket or Goodwood last time out”
15:00 CITY OF YORK STAKES – GROUP 2 – 7F (Listed ’14 & ’15, G3 ’16 & ’17)
- ALL of the last 10 winners were drawn in stall 8 or lower
- 9 of the last 10 winners were priced 6/1 or shorter (6 favourites)
- 9 of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out (Last winner did)
- 8 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stall 6 or lower
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran in a Group 1 or Group 2 last time out
- The last 4 winners all last ran in the Lennox Stakes
“Drawn in stall 8 or lower but bonus for 6 or lower and favourites do well here. Probably did NOT win last time out and the last 4 winners came from the Lennox Stakes”
15:35 EBOR HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 1M 6F
- 9 of the last 10 winners were aged between 4 and 6
- 9 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 101+
- 9 of the last 10 winners raced at 14f+ last time out
- 9 of the last 10 winners did NOT run in the last 3 weeks
- 7 of the last 10 winners were drawn in the top half
“Aged between 4 and 6, has an OR of 101+ and raced at 14f or further last time out. Has NOT run in the last 3 weeks and should be drawn in the top half”
16:10 CONSTANTINE HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 6F (Introduced in 2022 – DH in 2023)
- SUMMERGHAND has won both running’s and came from the Great St Wilfred
“Just two running’s with a dead heat last year but SUMMERGHAND has won both renewals and came from the Great St Wilfred each time”
16:45 JULIA GRAVES ROSES STAKES – LISTED – 5F
- 9 of the last 10 winners were priced 13/2 or shorter (2 favourites)
- 9 of the last 10 winners did NOT win last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners had won a race
- 8 of the last 10 winners ran at 5f last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners had an OR of 96+
- 7 of the last 10 winners ran in the last 4 weeks (3 in the last 8 days)
“Likely to be priced 13/2 or shorter, did NOT win last time out but has won a race. Ran at 5f last time out and ran in the last 4 weeks”
17:20 FINALE HANDICAP – CLASS 2 – 1M 2.5F
- ALL of the last 10 winners raced at about 10f last time out
- ALL of the last 10 winners raced in a Class 2 handicap last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners raced at Newmarket or Goodwood last time out
- 8 of the last 10 winners were drawn in stall 9 or lower (6 in stall 6 or lower)
“Raced at about 10f, in a Class 2 Handicap, at Newmarket or Goodwood last time out. Ideally drawn in stall 9 or lower but a bonus to be in 6 or lower”
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