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Wednesday Racing Cheat Sheet: Stats & Trends For Kempton, Punchestown, Ffos Las And Nottingham

Wednesday Racing Cheat Sheet: Stats & Trends For Kempton, Punchestown, Ffos Las And Nottingham

Five meetings run across Britain and Ireland on Wednesday 14 October: Wetherby, Ffos Las and Punchestown over jumps, Nottingham on the Flat, and Kempton on the all-weather in the evening. We’ve picked out the four best races of the day and pulled the stats that matter before you bet.

The biggest prize is Kempton’s London Sprint Series Final at 7.30pm (£36,078 to the winner). The going is Good To Soft at Nottingham and Ffos Las, Good at Punchestown and Standard To Slow at Kempton.

Key Race Schedule For Wednesday 14th October

TimeCourseRaceGradeDistanceRunners
2.29pmNottinghamBritish Stallion Studs EBF Novice StakesClass 21m 75y11
3.30pmFfos LasAdept GRP Cabinets Novices’ ChaseListed2m3f 83y4
4.30pmPunchestownMatchbook Betting Exchange ChaseGrade 32m7f 39y4
7.30pmKemptonUnibet London Sprint Series Final HandicapClass 26f10

2.29pm Nottingham – British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (Class 2)

Eleven two-year-olds line up for this £20,936 novice over 1m 75y on Good To Soft ground. Seven of them have never run.

  • Appleby double-handed: Charlie Appleby, 6 from 20 (30%) in the last 14 days, runs newcomers Leading Role (William Buick) and Mythical Tale (Connor Planas). Buick is 9 from 36 (25%).
  • Form in the book: Shared Odyssey (Hugo Palmer) was second at Salisbury 13 days ago on his second start (form 62). Playing Card was second on his debut at Kempton 21 days ago.
  • Gosden newcomer: John & Thady Gosden are 11 from 40 (28%) in the last 14 days and run debutant Fulcrum with James Doyle. He’s a half-brother to a 6f winner out of a Listed-winning mare.
  • Hot jockeys: Oisin Murphy (10 from 42, 24%) rides Hamrin, seventh on his debut 20 days ago. Callum Rodriguez (4 from 14, 29%) rides French Artist and Hector Crouch (8 from 36, 22%) rides Playing Card.
  • Eustace pair: Harry Eustace runs two, Playing Card and newcomer Emaraat (Daniel Muscutt).

14:29 Nottingham

Good To Soft

British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

  • Flat Turf
  • Turf
  • 1m 0f 75y
  • Class 2
  • 11 runners
  • First Prize: £20,936
  • 2nd: £9,824
  • 3rd: £4,908
  • 4th: £2,456
  • 5th: £1,224
RTV
Nottingham

Runners: 11 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Cloudy

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 (6) Avowed uniform Avowed W: 9st 7lb Age: 2 yo Colt
OR: — RPR: — Form: —
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 4/10 Course — Distance —
2 (3) Emaraat uniform Emaraat W: 9st 7lb Age: 2 yo Colt
OR: — RPR: — Form: —
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 7/10 Trainer 7.5/10 Course — Distance —
3 (10) French Artist uniform French Artist W: 9st 7lb Age: 2 yo Colt
OR: — RPR: — Form: —
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 3/10 Trainer 1/10 Course — Distance —
4 (2) 1 tip Fulcrum uniform Fulcrum W: 9st 7lb Age: 2 yo Colt
OR: — RPR: — Form: —
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 8.5/10 Trainer 10/10 Course — Distance —
5 (4) Hamrin uniform Hamrin 20 days W: 9st 7lb Age: 2 yo Colt
OR: — RPR: 66 Form: 7
GG Racing Score 50% Ability 3.3/10 Draw — Jockey 8.5/10 Trainer 3/10 Course — Distance 6.7/10
6 (11) 5 tips Leading Role uniform Leading Role OUR TIP W: 9st 7lb Age: 2 yo Colt
OR: — RPR: — Form: —
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 5.5/10 Trainer 5.5/10 Course — Distance —
7 (9) Mythical Tale uniform Mythical Tale W: 9st 7lb Age: 2 yo Colt
OR: — RPR: — Form: —
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 5.5/10 Trainer 5.5/10 Course — Distance —
8 (5) 3 tips Playing Card uniform Playing Card 21 days W: 9st 7lb Age: 2 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: 71 Form: 2
GG Racing Score 59% Ability 6.7/10 Draw — Jockey 2/10 Trainer 7.5/10 Course — Distance 6.7/10
9 (8) Seagoing uniform Seagoing 13 days W: 9st 7lb Age: 2 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: 55 Form: 8
GG Racing Score 23% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 2/10 Course 5/10 Distance 6.7/10
10 (1) 3 tips Shared Odyssey uniform Shared Odyssey 13 days W: 9st 7lb Age: 2 yo Colt
OR: — RPR: 76 Form: 62
GG Racing Score 42% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 1/10 Trainer 0/10 Course — Distance 0/10
11 (7) Space Bob uniform Space Bob W: 9st 7lb Age: 2 yo Colt
OR: — RPR: — Form: —
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 4/10 Trainer 9/10 Course — Distance —

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

7/1 Avowed, 12/1 Emaraat, 33/1 French Artist, 5/1 Fulcrum, 8/1 Hamrin, 3/1 Leading Role, 5/1 Mythical Tale, 8/1 Playing Card, 100/1 Seagoing, 7/1 Shared Odyssey, 12/1 Space Bob

Verdict

Shared Odyssey sets the standard and may progress further, while Hamrin is surely better than he was able to show on his debut, but there are some newcomers of serious interest on show. Avowed, Space Bob, Fulcrum and Emaraat all need a market check but the Charlie Appleby-trained Mythical Tale and LEADING ROLE appeal most. Riding arrangements point to Leading Role being the main hope.[Paul Smith]

Selections

D Express:

Leading Role

Daily Mail:

Playing Card

Daily Mirror:

Leading Role

Daily Record:

Leading Role

NEWMARKET:

Fulcrum

POSTDATA:

Shared Odyssey

SPOTLIGHT:

Leading Role

Telegraph:

Leading Role

The Guardian:

Playing Card

The Star:

Shared Odyssey

The Sun:

Shared Odyssey

The Times:

Playing Card

3.30pm Ffos Las – Adept GRP Cabinets Novices’ Chase (Listed)

Just four go to post for this Listed novice chase over 2m3f 83y on Good To Soft ground, all carrying 11st 5lb. All four have won over the distance before.

  • Class edge: Tutti Quanti is rated 151, 12lb clear of Georges Lad (139). Tamarind Bay is on 136 and Captain Teague 133. Tutti Quanti fell on his last start (form 6118F-).
  • Stable in form: Sam Twiston-Davies rides Tutti Quanti for Paul Nicholls and is 8 from 26 (31%) in the last 14 days.
  • Fitness question: Captain Teague has been off 187 days, Georges Lad 182 and Tutti Quanti 179. Tamarind Bay ran 20 days ago (form -11U12).
  • Skelton combination: Harry Skelton, 10 from 36 (28%), rides Captain Teague for Dan Skelton on his first run for the yard.
  • Last-time-out winner: Georges Lad (Emma Lavelle) won his last start (form 34251-). Harry Cobden rides and is 3 from 12 (25%).

15:30 Ffos Las

Good To Soft

Adept GRP Cabinets Novices’ Chase (Listed Race) (GBB Race)

  • Chase Turf
  • Turf
  • 2m 3f 83y
  • Class 1
  • 4 runners
  • First Prize: £22,780
  • 2nd: £8,548
  • 3rd: £4,280
  • 4th: £2,132
  • 5th: £1,072
  • 6th: £536
SKY
Ffos Las

Runners: 4 runners

Type: Chase Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Cloudy

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 Captain Teague uniform Captain Teague 187 days W: 11st 5lb Age: 8 yo Gelding
OR: 133 RPR: — Form: 4/P6P-
GG Racing Score 60% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 10/10 Course — Distance 10/10
2 1 tip Georges Lad uniform Georges Lad 182 days W: 11st 5lb Age: 6 yo Gelding
OR: 139 RPR: — Form: 34251-
GG Racing Score 53% Ability 6.7/10 Draw — Jockey 3.3/10 Trainer 5/10 Course — Distance 5/10
3 2 tips Tamarind Bay uniform Tamarind Bay 20 days W: 11st 5lb Age: 6 yo Gelding
OR: 136 RPR: 150 Form: -11U12
GG Racing Score 22% Ability 3.3/10 Draw — Jockey 6.7/10 Trainer 0/10 Course 0/10 Distance 0/10
4 10 tips Tutti Quanti uniform Tutti Quanti 179 days OUR TIP W: 11st 5lb Age: 6 yo Gelding
OR: 151 RPR: — Form: 6118F-
GG Racing Score 70% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 5/10 Course 10/10 Distance —

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

10/1 Captain Teague, 4/1 Georges Lad, 7/2 Tamarind Bay, 8/11 Tutti Quanti

Verdict

Paul Nicholls’ 6yo TUTTI QUANTI made up into a very smart hurdler last term and appeals as the sort to do even better over fences this season so is taken to make a winning start. Captain Teague failed to fire over hurdles last season but was a Grade 1 novice hurdle winner at his best and could emerge as the chief threat now back over fences starting out for Dan Skelton. Both George’s Lad and Tamarind Bay can’t be discounted either in this fascinating Listed novice chase.[Peter Entwistle]

Selections

D Express:

George’s Lad

Daily Mail:

Tutti Quanti

Daily Mirror:

Tutti Quanti

Daily Record:

Tutti Quanti

POSTDATA:

Tamarind Bay

SPOTLIGHT:

Tutti Quanti

TOPSPEED:

Tamarind Bay

Telegraph:

Tutti Quanti

The Guardian:

Tutti Quanti

The Star:

Tutti Quanti

The Sun:

Tutti Quanti

The Times:

Tutti Quanti

WEST COUNTRY:

Tutti Quanti

4.30pm Punchestown – Matchbook Betting Exchange Chase (Grade 3)

A four-runner Grade 3 chase over 2m7f 39y on Good ground, worth €32,395 to the winner. All four carry 11st.

  • Ratings spread: Gorgeous Tom tops the ratings on 152, ahead of Croke Park (148), Apples Of Bresil (128) and Smallcraftwarning (100).
  • Galway Plate form: Gorgeous Tom (Henry De Bromhead, Darragh O’Keeffe) was third in the Galway Plate on his last start, 77 days ago (form 2450-3).
  • Hot jockey, long absence: Jack Kennedy is 9 from 32 (28%) in the last 14 days and rides Croke Park for Gordon Elliott. The gelding has been off 187 days.
  • Quick turnaround: Smallcraftwarning runs again four days after his last start (form 134112). Daniel King rides and is 8 from 36 (22%).
  • New trip: Apples Of Bresil (Barry Connell) tries this distance for the first time (form 2/0-12).

16:30 Punchestown

Good

Matchbook Betting Exchange Chase (Grade 3)

  • Chase Turf
  • Turf
  • 2m 7f 39y
  • 4 runners
  • First Prize: €32,395
  • 2nd: €10,395
  • 3rd: €4,895
  • 4th: €2,145
  • 5th: €1,045
  • 6th: €495
RTV
Punchestown

Runners: 4 runners

Type: Chase Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Cloudy

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 1 tip Apples Of Bresil uniform Apples Of Bresil 24 days W: 11st 0lb Age: 8 yo Gelding
OR: 128 RPR: 146 Form: 2/0-12
GG Racing Score 50% Ability 3.3/10 Draw — Jockey 3.3/10 Trainer 10/10 Course 5/10 Distance 5/10
2 1 tip Croke Park uniform Croke Park 187 days W: 11st 0lb Age: 8 yo Gelding
OR: 148 RPR: 162 Form: 33300-
GG Racing Score 47% Ability 6.7/10 Draw — Jockey 6.7/10 Trainer 3.3/10 Course 5/10 Distance 0/10
3 3 tips Gorgeous Tom uniform Gorgeous Tom 77 days OUR TIP W: 11st 0lb Age: 8 yo Gelding
OR: 152 RPR: 168 Form: 2450-3
GG Racing Score 86% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 6.7/10 Course 10/10 Distance 5/10
4 Smallcraftwarning uniform Smallcraftwarning 4 days W: 11st 0lb Age: 9 yo Gelding
OR: 100 RPR: 123 Form: 134112
GG Racing Score 17% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 0/10 Course 0/10 Distance 10/10

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

7/1 Apples Of Bresil, 13/8 Croke Park, 4/5 Gorgeous Tom, 40/1 Smallcraftwarning

Verdict

This looks like a penalty kick for GORGEOUS TOM, who arrives here on the back of an excellent third in the Galway Plate. Croke Park won two Grade 1s as a novice but has plenty to prove now. Nonetheless, he looks the biggest danger to the selection. Apple’s Of Bresil is entitled to respect given he does arrive in good heart, for all he has plenty to find on ratings. [Adrian Wall]

Selections

POSTDATA:

Croke Park

RP RATINGS (IRE):

Gorgeous Tom

SPOTLIGHT:

Gorgeous Tom

TOPSPEED:

Gorgeous Tom

The Irish Sun:

Apple’s Of Bresil

7.30pm Kempton – Unibet London Sprint Series Final Handicap (Class 2)

The day’s most valuable race: a 6f sprint series final on Standard To Slow ground, worth £36,078 to the winner. Ten go to post after Veil Of Clouds was taken out.

  • C&D winners: Five in the line-up have won over course and distance: Aigeas, Augustus Gloop, Berkshire Whisper, Bintaryana and Mesaafi.
  • Kempton specialist: Aigeas (Oliver Cole) made all at Kempton in two of his last three races, taking his all-weather record to 3 from 4 (form -05191).
  • Penalty to carry: Mesaafi won over C&D nine days ago and runs under a 5lb penalty. Jack Mitchell rides and is 7 from 34 (21%).
  • First-time headgear: Bolo Neighs wears blinkers for the first time, and Art Lover has first-time blinkers and a tongue strap.
  • Hot trainer: Michael Appleby is 8 from 32 (25%) in the last 14 days and runs Space Bear (form 302114).

19:30 Kempton

Standard To Slow

Unibet London Sprint Series Final Handicap (Series Final – Qualified Horses Only)

  • Flat AW
  • Polytrack
  • 0m 6f 0y
  • Class 2
  • 11 runners
  • First Prize: £36,078
  • 2nd: £16,919
  • 3rd: £8,463
  • 4th: £4,228
  • 5th: £2,114
  • 6th: £1,057
RTV
Kempton

Runners: 11 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Polytrack

Weather: Cloudy

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 (4) Berkshire Whisper uniform Berkshire Whisper 31 days W: 9st 12lb Age: 4 yo Colt
OR: 92 RPR: 99 Form: 034800
GG Racing Score 71% Ability 9.5/10 Draw — Jockey 3/10 Trainer 8/10 Course 7/10 Distance 5.5/10
2 (1) 4 tips Fast Track Harry uniform Fast Track Harry 39 days OUR TIP W: 9st 12lb Age: 4 yo Colt
OR: 92 RPR: 100 Form: 700205
GG Racing Score 87% Ability 9.5/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 10/10 Course 4/10 Distance 9/10
3 (6) 2 tips Knebworth uniform Knebworth 31 days W: 9st 10lb Age: 6 yo Gelding
OR: 90 RPR: 101 Form: -11200
GG Racing Score 48% Ability 7.5/10 Draw — Jockey 2/10 Trainer 4/10 Course 0/10 Distance 8/10
4 (10) Bolo Neighs uniform Bolo Neighs 12 days W: 9st 10lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: 90 RPR: 100 Form: 893650
GG Racing Score 48% Ability 7.5/10 Draw — Jockey 5/10 Trainer 6/10 Course 2/10 Distance 1/10
5 (5) Dapper Valley uniform Dapper Valley 27 days W: 9st 7lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: 87 RPR: 98 Form: 031107
GG Racing Score 46% Ability 5.5/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 0/10 Course 9.5/10 Distance 7/10
6 (12) Aigeas uniform Aigeas 42 days W: 9st 6lb Age: 3 yo Colt
OR: 87 RPR: 100 Form: -05191
GG Racing Score 53% Ability 5.5/10 Draw — Jockey 7/10 Trainer 2/10 Course 9.5/10 Distance 2/10
7 (8) 4 tips Space Bear uniform Space Bear 10 days W: 9st 4lb Age: 3 yo Filly
OR: 85 RPR: 102 Form: 302114
GG Racing Score 51% Ability 4/10 Draw — Jockey 6/10 Trainer 9/10 Course 2/10 Distance 5.5/10
9 (7) Art Lover uniform Art Lover 18 days W: 9st 3lb Age: 3 yo Colt
OR: 84 RPR: 99 Form: -24238
GG Racing Score 38% Ability 3/10 Draw — Jockey 8/10 Trainer 7/10 Course 2/10 Distance 0/10
10 (2) 1 tip Mesaafi uniform Mesaafi 9 days W: 9st 3lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: 83 RPR: 98 Form: 400371
GG Racing Score 25% Ability 1.5/10 Draw — Jockey 1/10 Trainer 3/10 Course 5/10 Distance 3/10
11 (3) 1 tip Bintaryana uniform Bintaryana 35 days W: 9st 2lb Age: 3 yo Filly
OR: 83 RPR: 98 Form: 221013
GG Racing Score 52% Ability 1.5/10 Draw — Jockey 9/10 Trainer 1/10 Course 8/10 Distance 10/10
12 (11) Augustus Gloop uniform Augustus Gloop 35 days W: 9st 1lb Age: 3 yo Colt
OR: 82 RPR: 99 Form: 674841
GG Racing Score 32% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 4/10 Trainer 5/10 Course 6/10 Distance 4/10
8 (9) Veil Of Clouds uniform Veil Of Clouds 39 days W: 9st 3lb Age: 3 yo Filly
OR: 84 RPR: — Form: 525311
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey — Trainer — Course — Distance —

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

10/1 Berkshire Whisper, 4/1 Fast Track Harry, 20/1 Knebworth, 12/1 Bolo Neighs, 33/1 Dapper Valley, 10/1 Aigeas, 9/2 Space Bear, 5/1 Art Lover, 10/1 Mesaafi, 6/1 Bintaryana, 6/1 Augustus Gloop

Non-runners

Veil Of Clouds

Verdict

The return to AW can see FAST TRACK HARRY exploit his reduced mark. Berkshire Whisper (second choice) is attractively treated back on AW, while the rematch between Augustus Gloop, Art Lover and Bintaryana adds interest.[Steve Boow]

Selections

D Express:

Fast Track Harry

Daily Mail:

Knebworth

Daily Mirror:

Fast Track Harry

Daily Record:

Veil Of Clouds

NEWMARKET:

Mesaafi

POSTDATA:

Space Bear

RP RATINGS:

Space Bear

SPOTLIGHT:

Fast Track Harry

TOPSPEED:

Knebworth

Telegraph:

Veil Of Clouds

The Guardian:

Space Bear

The Star:

Bintaryana

The Sun:

Space Bear

The Times:

Fast Track Harry

Trainers and jockeys in form

These strike rates cover the last 14 days, and every name has runners in today’s featured races.

NameRoleLast 14 daysFeatured runners today
Charlie ApplebyTrainer6/20 (30%)Leading Role, Mythical Tale (2.29pm Nottingham)
John & Thady GosdenTrainer11/40 (28%)Fulcrum (2.29pm Nottingham)
Michael ApplebyTrainer8/32 (25%)Space Bear (7.30pm Kempton)
Sam Twiston-DaviesJockey8/26 (31%)Tutti Quanti (3.30pm Ffos Las)
Callum RodriguezJockey4/14 (29%)French Artist (2.29pm Nottingham)
Harry SkeltonJockey10/36 (28%)Captain Teague (3.30pm Ffos Las)
Jack KennedyJockey9/32 (28%)Croke Park (4.30pm Punchestown)
William BuickJockey9/36 (25%)Leading Role (2.29pm Nottingham)
Harry CobdenJockey3/12 (25%)Georges Lad (3.30pm Ffos Las)
Oisin MurphyJockey10/42 (24%)Hamrin (2.29pm Nottingham)
Hector CrouchJockey8/36 (22%)Playing Card (2.29pm Nottingham)
Daniel KingJockey8/36 (22%)Smallcraftwarning (4.30pm Punchestown)
Jack MitchellJockey7/34 (21%)Mesaafi (7.30pm Kempton)

Key angles

  • Class standout: Tutti Quanti is rated 12lb clear in the Listed novice chase at Ffos Las.
  • Course-and-distance winners: Five C&D winners run in the 7.30pm at Kempton, including Mesaafi under a 5lb penalty.
  • First-time headgear: Bolo Neighs (blinkers) and Art Lover (blinkers and tongue strap) in the 7.30pm at Kempton.
  • Top-rated: Gorgeous Tom heads the Punchestown Grade 3 on 152, 4lb clear of Croke Park.

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