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Wednesday Racing Cheat Sheet: Stats & Trends For Musselburgh, Kempton, Wexford And Nottingham

Wednesday Racing Cheat Sheet: Stats & Trends For Musselburgh, Kempton, Wexford And Nottingham

Six meetings run on Wednesday 4 November. Chepstow races over jumps in Britain and Wexford stages jumps racing in Ireland. Musselburgh and Nottingham host Flat cards on turf, while Kempton and Dundalk race on the all-weather. We’ve picked out the four best races of the day and pulled the stats that matter before you bet.

The biggest prize is Musselburgh’s restricted maiden at 12.35pm (£16,200 to the winner). The going is Good To Soft at Musselburgh, Soft at Nottingham, Yielding at Wexford and Standard To Slow at Kempton.

Key Race Schedule For Wednesday 4th November

TimeCourseRaceGradeDistanceRunners
12.35pmMusselburghBritish Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Maiden StakesClass 27f 15y8
1.50pmNottinghamExperience Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Novice StakesClass 31m6f10
3.10pmWexfordMichael Hickey Memorial ChaseListed2m7f6
5.00pmKemptonBet £20 Get £20 With Unibet HandicapClass 27f9

12.35pm Musselburgh – British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes

Eight two-year-olds line up for this Class 2 restricted maiden over 7f 15y on Good To Soft ground. It carries the biggest prize of the day, £16,200 to the winner, and only three of the field have an official rating.

  • Top-rated: True Heart is rated 75, 11lb clear of So Farhh (64) and 14lb clear of Frontier Legend (61). The other five are unrated.
  • Recent form: True Heart (form 752) was second over 6f on the all-weather 13 days ago. So Farhh (form 653) has been placed in each of his last two runs for Tim Easterby.
  • Hannon raider: Sequoiadendron was third of 11 on her 7f all-weather debut nine days ago. Richard Hannon carries the top course trainer flag, and she has the long traveller flag.
  • Furtado pair: Ivan Furtado runs True Heart and Talora. Talora was well held in two all-weather runs last month.
  • Debutant and headgear: Eversabi (Jack Jones) makes his debut. Unlawfilly wears cheekpieces after two runs in Ireland, with top course jockey Sam James up.

12:35 Musselburgh

British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)

  • Going Good To Soft
  • Distance 0m 7f 15y
  • Class Class 2
  • Race Type Flat Turf
  • Surface Turf
  • Runners 8
Prize Money
  • 1st £16,200
  • 2nd £7,605
  • 3rd £3,804
  • 4th £1,902
RTV
Musselburgh

Runners: 8 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 (8) Frontier Legend uniform Frontier Legend 19 days W: 9st 7lb Age: 2 yo Colt
OR: 61 RPR: 56 Form: 057
GG Racing Score 23% Ability 1.7/10 Draw — Jockey 5.7/10 Trainer 0/10 Course — Distance —
2 (5) 1 tip Eversabi uniform Eversabi W: 9st 4lb Age: 2 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: — Form: —
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 8.6/10 Trainer 10/10 Course — Distance —
3 (4) So Farhh uniform So Farhh 19 days W: 9st 4lb Age: 2 yo Gelding
OR: 64 RPR: 68 Form: 653
GG Racing Score 35% Ability 5.8/10 Draw — Jockey 1.4/10 Trainer 2.9/10 Course 5/10 Distance 0/10
4 (1) 6 tips Sequoiadendron uniform Sequoiadendron 9 days W: 9st 2lb Age: 2 yo Filly
OR: — RPR: 70 Form: 3
GG Racing Score 77% Ability 8.3/10 Draw — Jockey 7.1/10 Trainer 8.6/10 Course — Distance 6.3/10
5 (2) Talora uniform Talora 12 days W: 8st 13lb Age: 2 yo Filly
OR: — RPR: 68 Form: 07
GG Racing Score 54% Ability 5.8/10 Draw — Jockey 4.3/10 Trainer 5/10 Course — Distance 6.3/10
6 (3) 6 tips True Heart uniform True Heart 13 days OUR TIP W: 8st 13lb Age: 2 yo Filly
OR: 75 RPR: 91 Form: 752
GG Racing Score 68% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 2.9/10 Trainer 5/10 Course — Distance 6.3/10
7 (7) Unlawfilly uniform Unlawfilly 7 days W: 8st 13lb Age: 2 yo Filly
OR: — RPR: 54 Form: 00
GG Racing Score 35% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 1.4/10 Course — Distance 6.3/10
8 (6) Wild Mary’s Rose uniform Wild Mary’s Rose 19 days W: 8st 13lb Age: 2 yo Filly
OR: — RPR: 67 Form: 4
GG Racing Score 35% Ability 3.3/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 7.1/10 Course — Distance —

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

66/1 Frontier Legend, 7/1 Eversabi, 15/2 So Farhh, 9/4 Sequoiadendron, 100/1 Talora, 11/10 True Heart, 100/1 Unlawfilly, 8/1 Wild Mary’s Rose

Verdict

A reproduction of the form TRUE HEART showed when second over 6f on AW a couple of weeks ago would likely make her hard to beat. Richard Hannon’s Sequoiadendron showed promise on her recent AW debut and is likely to provide the main threat. [Andrew Sheret]

Selections

D Express:

Sequoiadendron

Daily Mail:

Sequoiadendron

Daily Mirror:

Sequoiadendron

Daily Record:

Sequoiadendron

NEWMARKET:

Eversabi

POSTDATA:

True Heart

RP RATINGS:

True Heart

SPOTLIGHT:

True Heart

Telegraph:

Sequoiadendron

The Guardian:

True Heart

The Star:

Sequoiadendron

The Sun:

True Heart

The Times:

True Heart

1.50pm Nottingham – Experience Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Novice Stakes

Ten runners go to post for this Class 3 novice over 1m6f on Soft ground. It’s an unusual mix: two jumpers making long-awaited returns, and a group of three-year-olds stepping up in trip.

  • Jumpers on the Flat: Salver (Jamie Moore & Josh Moore) was placed in Grade 1 novice chases and makes his first Flat start in Britain after 1,309 days off. Secret Squirrel (Hughie Morrison), a useful hurdler, returns after 974 days.
  • Hot trainers: James Owen is 17 from 63 (27%) in the last 14 days. Temple makes his debut for the yard after 126 days off, with a new trip and cheekpieces. Andrew Balding (11 from 41, 27%) runs Marquetry, placed in her last two runs around 1m3f.
  • Ratings: Temple tops the ratings on 76, ahead of Marquetry (74), Velardo and Corallience (both 70) and Train In Vain (69).
  • Course flags: Indhaar runs for William Haggas with Cieren Fallon up, and both carry the top course flag. He was placed at 1m2f in both starts and was a beaten favourite last time.
  • Quick return: The Resdev Tyke was second in a heavy-ground 1m2f novice nine days ago.

13:50 Nottingham

Experience Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

  • Going Soft
  • Distance 1m 6f 0y
  • Class Class 3
  • Race Type Flat Turf
  • Surface Turf
  • Runners 10
Prize Money
  • 1st £6,480
  • 2nd £3,042
  • 3rd £1,522
  • 4th £761
RTV
Nottingham

Runners: 10 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 (5) 1 tip Salver uniform Salver 1309 days W: 9st 9lb Age: 6 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: — Form: 9/
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 3.3/10 Trainer 6.3/10 Course — Distance —
2 (8) Secret Squirrel uniform Secret Squirrel 974 days W: 9st 9lb Age: 7 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: — Form: 4/
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 1.1/10 Trainer 4.4/10 Course — Distance 5/10
3 (1) The Resdev Tyke uniform The Resdev Tyke 9 days W: 9st 9lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: 75 Form: 2
GG Racing Score 49% Ability 3.3/10 Draw — Jockey 5.6/10 Trainer 7.5/10 Course — Distance —
4 (4) 1 tip Velardo uniform Velardo 27 days W: 9st 9lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: 70 RPR: 66 Form: 58-7
GG Racing Score — Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 7.8/10 Trainer — Course — Distance —
5 (7) Ace Artist uniform Ace Artist W: 9st 4lb Age: 5 yo Filly
OR: — RPR: — Form: —
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 2.2/10 Trainer 4.4/10 Course — Distance —
6 (6) 9 tips Indhaar uniform Indhaar 23 days W: 9st 4lb Age: 3 yo Colt
OR: — RPR: 87 Form: 32
GG Racing Score 79% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 8.9/10 Trainer 2.5/10 Course — Distance —
7 (10) 2 tips Temple uniform Temple 126 days W: 9st 4lb Age: 3 yo Colt
OR: 76 RPR: 85 Form: 63-633
GG Racing Score 72% Ability 8.3/10 Draw — Jockey 4.4/10 Trainer 10/10 Course 5/10 Distance —
8 (9) Train In Vain uniform Train In Vain 16 days W: 9st 4lb Age: 3 yo Gelding
OR: 69 RPR: 73 Form: 565
GG Racing Score 12% Ability 1.7/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 1.3/10 Course — Distance —
9 (2) Corallience uniform Corallience 9 days W: 8st 13lb Age: 3 yo Filly
OR: 70 RPR: 77 Form: 6-070P
GG Racing Score 42% Ability 5/10 Draw — Jockey 6.7/10 Trainer 0/10 Course — Distance —
10 (3) 1 tip Marquetry uniform Marquetry 28 days OUR TIP W: 8st 13lb Age: 3 yo Filly
OR: 74 RPR: 84 Form: 723
GG Racing Score 80% Ability 6.7/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 8.8/10 Course — Distance —

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

11/2 Salver, 10/1 Secret Squirrel, 9/1 The Resdev Tyke, 50/1 Velardo, 50/1 Ace Artist, 7/4 Indhaar, 7/2 Temple, 40/1 Train In Vain, 40/1 Corallience, 4/1 Marquetry

Verdict

An intriguing novice, in no small part due to the return of quality chaser Salver (second choice). Alongside Secret Squirrel he adds a fair bit of spice but it may prove safer to side with Andrew Balding’s MARQUETRY, who is already up to a fair level and could do better granted this stiffer test of stamina. Indhaar certainly has the ability to play a big part, alongside Temple, while Train In Vain is a likely outsider who may reward each-way support.[Richard Russell]

Selections

D Express:

Indhaar

Daily Mail:

Indhaar

Daily Mirror:

Indhaar

Daily Record:

Indhaar

NEWMARKET:

Indhaar

POSTDATA:

Indhaar

RP RATINGS:

Indhaar

SPOTLIGHT:

Marquetry

TOPSPEED:

Velardo

Telegraph:

Indhaar

The Guardian:

Temple

The Star:

Temple

The Sun:

Indhaar

The Times:

Salver

3.10pm Wexford – Michael Hickey Memorial Chase

The only Listed race of the day is a six-runner chase over 2m7f on Yielding ground. Five of the six have been off for at least two months.

  • Top-rated: The Big Westerner is rated 143 and carries 11st 3lb, 4lb clear of Bossofthebrownies and Rockys Diamond (both 139).
  • Return from a break: The Big Westerner has been off 312 days and ran only twice last season. She has won over the trip, and Henry de Bromhead carries the top course trainer flag.
  • Second last year: Rockys Diamond was second in this race last year and ran 68 days ago.
  • Hot jockey: Jack Kennedy rides The Enabler for Gordon Elliott and is 7 from 26 (27%) in the last 14 days. The Enabler has been off 212 days and was behind Bossofthebrownies at Naas.
  • Fresh v rested: Sandor Clegane ran 22 days ago, the most recent of the field. He has won one of his 12 starts over fences.

15:10 Wexford

Michael Hickey Memorial Chase (Listed Race)

  • Going Yielding
  • Distance 2m 7f 0y
  • Class —
  • Race Type Chase Turf
  • Surface Turf
  • Runners 4
Prize Money
  • 1st €14,725
  • 2nd €4,725
  • 3rd €2,225
  • 4th €975
  • 5th €475
  • 6th €225
RTV
Wexford

Runners: 4 runners

Type: Chase Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Mostly cloudy

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 2 tips The Big Westerner uniform The Big Westerner 312 days OUR TIP W: 11st 3lb Age: 7 yo Mare
OR: 143 RPR: 157 Form: 2P/21-
GG Racing Score 88% Ability 7/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 10/10 Course — Distance 10/10
2 3 tips Bossofthebrownies uniform Bossofthebrownies 283 days W: 11st 0lb Age: 7 yo Gelding
OR: 139 RPR: 159 Form: /1332-
GG Racing Score 55% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 2/10 Trainer 3/10 Course — Distance 2.5/10
5 Sandor Clegane uniform Sandor Clegane 22 days W: 10st 9lb Age: 9 yo Gelding
OR: 130 RPR: 153 Form: 001-34
GG Racing Score 36% Ability 2/10 Draw — Jockey 6/10 Trainer 8/10 Course — Distance 0/10
6 Katie Daniels uniform Katie Daniels 189 days W: 10st 2lb Age: 7 yo Mare
OR: — RPR: 145 Form: P571P-
GG Racing Score 18% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 4/10 Trainer 0/10 Course — Distance 5/10
3 Rockys Diamond uniform Rockys Diamond 68 days W: 11st 0lb Age: 6 yo Gelding
OR: 139 RPR: 154 Form: -0P133
GG Racing Score 39% Ability 4/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 3/10 Course 5/10 Distance 7.5/10
4 The Enabler uniform The Enabler 212 days W: 11st 0lb Age: 7 yo Gelding
OR: 136 RPR: 157 Form: 14363-
GG Racing Score 70% Ability 7/10 Draw — Jockey 8/10 Trainer 6/10 Course — Distance —

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

8/11 The Big Westerner, 7/2 Bossofthebrownies, 10/1 Sandor Clegane, 50/1 Katie Daniels

Non-runners

Rocky's Diamond, The Enabler

Verdict

When this fixture was originally scheduled last week, THE BIG WESTERNER was a shorter-priced favourite than might have been predicted, given that she has to concede weight to geldings who are not far behind her on official ratings. She can be assumed to be well primed for her return and may see off a likely challenge from Bossofthebrownies, who had smart handicapper The Enabler behind in a Grade 3 event at Naas in January. [Alan Sweetman]

Selections

RP RATINGS (IRE):

Bossofthebrownies

SPOTLIGHT:

The Big Westerner

The Irish Sun:

Bossofthebrownies

5.00pm Kempton – Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap

Nine run in this Class 2 handicap over 7f on Standard To Slow going after Dandy Style was taken out. Valvano and Heathcliff top the weights off 100.

  • Course specialist: Heathcliff has won three times at Kempton, including this race two years ago. James Fanshawe is 2 from 7 (29%) and Daniel Muscutt 6 from 30 (20%) in the last 14 days.
  • C&D winner: Cosi Bello (Charlie Fellowes) is the only course-and-distance winner in the race. He is 2 from 2 on the all-weather and returns after 88 days.
  • Jockeys in form: Billy Loughnane (13 from 55, 24%) rides Force And Valour, back from 264 days off. James Doyle (3 from 13, 23%) rides Colombier and has the top course jockey flag.
  • Balding runner: Berkshire Whisper runs for Andrew Balding (11 from 41, 27%) with top course jockey Alfie Redman, and tries a new trip.
  • New yard: Philanthropist makes his debut for Jessica Macey and goes up two grades.

17:00 Kempton

Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap

  • Going Standard To Slow
  • Distance 0m 7f 0y
  • Class Class 2
  • Race Type Flat AW
  • Surface Polytrack
  • Runners 9
Prize Money
  • 1st £13,400
  • 2nd £6,284
  • 3rd £3,143
  • 4th £1,570
  • 5th £785
  • 6th £393
RTV
Kempton

Runners: 9 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Polytrack

Weather: Mostly cloudy

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 (7) 1 tip Valvano uniform Valvano 18 days W: 9st 9lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: 100 RPR: 116 Form: 3-6170
GG Racing Score 76% Ability 9.4/10 Draw — Jockey 6.3/10 Trainer 8.8/10 Course 4.2/10 Distance 7.5/10
3 (1) 1 tip Heathcliff uniform Heathcliff 35 days W: 9st 9lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: 100 RPR: 113 Form: 247046
GG Racing Score 85% Ability 9.4/10 Draw — Jockey 5/10 Trainer 7.5/10 Course 10/10 Distance 10/10
4 (3) 1 tip Brian uniform Brian 18 days W: 9st 7lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: 98 RPR: 109 Form: 872100
GG Racing Score 35% Ability 7.5/10 Draw — Jockey 2.5/10 Trainer 0/10 Course 0.8/10 Distance 2.5/10
5 (4) 6 tips Cosi Bello uniform Cosi Bello 88 days OUR TIP W: 9st 4lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: 95 RPR: 116 Form: 4-1065
GG Racing Score 58% Ability 5.6/10 Draw — Jockey 1.3/10 Trainer 5/10 Course 8.3/10 Distance 8.8/10
6 (6) 2 tips Force And Valour uniform Force And Valour 264 days W: 9st 4lb Age: 4 yo Colt
OR: 95 RPR: 108 Form: 5-3172
GG Racing Score 42% Ability 5.6/10 Draw — Jockey 7.5/10 Trainer 2.5/10 Course 4.2/10 Distance 0/10
7 (2) 1 tip Colombier uniform Colombier 31 days W: 9st 3lb Age: 6 yo Gelding
OR: 94 RPR: 114 Form: 010560
GG Racing Score 50% Ability 3.8/10 Draw — Jockey 8.8/10 Trainer 3.8/10 Course — Distance 5/10
8 (8) Berkshire Whisper uniform Berkshire Whisper 21 days W: 9st 0lb Age: 4 yo Colt
OR: 91 RPR: 113 Form: 348007
GG Racing Score 55% Ability 2.5/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 10/10 Course 6.7/10 Distance 1.3/10
9 (5) 1 tip Sea Baaeed uniform Sea Baaeed 397 days W: 8st 11lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: 88 RPR: — Form: 26342-
GG Racing Score 25% Ability 1.3/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 6.3/10 Course — Distance 3.8/10
10 (9) 1 tip Philanthropist uniform Philanthropist 21 days W: 8st 7lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: 84 RPR: 110 Form: 340234
GG Racing Score 20% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 3.8/10 Trainer 1.3/10 Course 0.8/10 Distance 6.3/10
2 (10) Dandy Style uniform Dandy Style 139 days W: 9st 9lb Age: 3 yo Colt
OR: 101 RPR: 108 Form: 264231
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey — Trainer — Course — Distance —

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

9/2 Valvano, 12/1 Heathcliff, 16/1 Brian, 9/2 Cosi Bello, 11/4 Force And Valour, 5/1 Colombier, 7/1 Berkshire Whisper, 12/1 Sea Baaeed, 16/1 Philanthropist

Non-runners

Dandy Style

Verdict

The shortlist is headed by COSI BELLO (narrowly preferred) and Valvano who both look interesting back on AW, with a combined record of 3-4 in this sphere between them. Berkshire Whisper, who is well handicapped assuming he proves suited by the new trip, is third choice. A couple of the others also have possibilities.[Steve Boow]

Selections

D Express:

Colombier

Daily Mail:

Heathcliff

Daily Mirror:

Cosi Bello

Daily Record:

Force And Valour

NEWMARKET:

Cosi Bello

POSTDATA:

Brian

RP RATINGS:

Cosi Bello

SPOTLIGHT:

Cosi Bello

TOPSPEED:

Philanthropist

Telegraph:

Cosi Bello

The Guardian:

Sea Baaeed

The Star:

Valvano

The Times:

Cosi Bello

Trainers and jockeys in form

These strike rates cover the last 14 days, and every name has runners in today’s featured races.

NameRoleLast 14 daysFeatured runners today
James FanshaweTrainer2/7 (29%)Heathcliff (5.00pm Kempton)
James OwenTrainer17/63 (27%)Temple (1.50pm Nottingham)
Andrew BaldingTrainer11/41 (27%)Marquetry (1.50pm Nottingham), Berkshire Whisper (5.00pm Kempton)
Jack KennedyJockey7/26 (27%)The Enabler (3.10pm Wexford)
Billy LoughnaneJockey13/55 (24%)Force And Valour (5.00pm Kempton)
James DoyleJockey3/13 (23%)Colombier (5.00pm Kempton)
Daniel MuscuttJockey6/30 (20%)Heathcliff (5.00pm Kempton)

Key angles

  • Ratings edges: True Heart is 11lb clear on ratings at Musselburgh, and The Big Westerner is 4lb clear at Wexford.
  • Only C&D winner: Cosi Bello at Kempton is the only course-and-distance winner in the four featured races.
  • Long absences: Salver (1,309 days), Secret Squirrel (974), The Big Westerner (312) and Force And Valour (264) all return from long breaks.
  • Yards in form: James Fanshawe, James Owen and Andrew Balding are all striking at 27% or better over the last 14 days, and all four of their runners are in the Nottingham and Kempton races.

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