The GG Hot List checks every runner in Britain and Ireland against five signals: market support, independent naps, course form, trainer form and the jockey’s record at the course. Today’s leader is Two Commanders in the 17:00 at Wolverhampton, the only one of nine qualifiers with three signals. It is napped twice, Edward Bethell’s stable has 5 winners from 17 runners over the past fortnight, and Billy Loughnane has won on 171 of his 856 rides at Wolverhampton since 2010. The market has not moved for Two Commanders, so the biggest backed runner on the list is Walk In The West, cut from 10/1 to 9/2 at Plumpton.
How the GG Hot List works
A runner needs at least two of the five signals below, and at least one of them must be market support or naps. That way, everything on the list has attracted attention today.
- Market: the median bookmaker price at least 30% shorter, with ten or more bookmakers cutting by 20% or more.
- Naps: two current naps, or one from a tipster with a top-three nap record over the past 28 days.
- Course: at least two wins at today’s course, with a strike rate of 25% or better there.
- Trainer: 25% winners or better from at least ten runners over the previous 14 days.
- Jockey: a strike rate of 18% or better from at least 50 rides at the course.
Runners whose price has drifted since it opened are left out. The list is ranked by number of signals, then market move, then number of naps. It contains no more than ten runners, the thresholds are not lowered on a quiet day, and non-runners are excluded before publication. Nine runners qualify today from four meetings, after Fakenham was abandoned. Computeform and Ratings Hub finished level on strike rate for the third top-three nap place over the past 28 days, so both count as top-three tipsters, and Chinese Whispers qualifies on that basis. Course and jockey records come from our database, which covers races from 1 January 2010, so they show records since then rather than full careers.
Today’s Hot List
| No. | Horse | Race | Signals | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Two Commanders | 17:00 Wolverhampton | Napped / Trainer / Jockey | 2 naps · Bethell 5 winners from 17 in 14 days · Loughnane 171 from 856 at Wolverhampton |
| 2 | Walk In The West | 14:00 Plumpton | Backed / Jockey | 10/1 to 9/2 · Twiston-Davies 33 from 146 at Plumpton |
| 3 | Synchronist | 13:45 Southwell | Backed / Jockey | 9/2 to 9/4 · Bowen 77 from 340 at Southwell |
| 4 | Serious Look | 16:30 Wolverhampton | Backed / Course | 14/1 to 17/2 · 4 wins from 13 at course |
| 5 | Uncle Remus | 15:30 Plumpton | Backed / Trainer | 9/2 to 5/2 · Knight 3 winners from 10 in 14 days |
| 6 | Tommie Beau | 15:00 Plumpton | Backed / Course | 6/1 to 7/2 · 3 wins from 7 at course |
| 7 | Quai Louis | 17:45 Chelmsford | Napped / Trainer | 2 naps · Walker 8 winners from 27 in 14 days |
| 8 | Wosta | 18:30 Wolverhampton | Napped / Jockey | 3 naps · Murphy 146 from 645 at Wolverhampton |
| 9 | Chinese Whispers | 14:15 Southwell | Napped / Jockey | Ratings Hub nap · Cobden 20 from 74 at Southwell |
What our expert thinks
GG racing writer Billy Grimshaw on today’s list topper, Two Commanders:
“Two Commanders tops the list without any help from the market. The two naps, Edward Bethell’s five winners from 17 in the past fortnight and Billy Loughnane’s record at Wolverhampton all point the same way, and it’s won twice and been placed three more times in its last six runs. The price has barely moved from 2/1, though, and Chantelle, rated a pound higher, has won two of four starts here. I think it’s got a good chance, but 2/1 doesn’t leave much in hand and I wouldn’t be rushing in at that price.”
Billy Grimshaw, GG
1. Two Commanders · 17:00 Wolverhampton
Two Commanders is napped by Jim Delahunt in the Scottish Sun and Templegate in The Sun for the first division of the All Weather Championship Is Back Handicap over seven furlongs. The market has barely moved, with the median price around 2/1 at the first show and now and 7 of 23 bookmakers cutting, so the other two signals carry it to the top. Edward Bethell trains the three-year-old, and his stable has had 5 winners from 17 runners over the past 14 days, a 29% strike rate. Billy Loughnane rides at 9st 11lb and has won on 171 of his 856 rides at Wolverhampton since 2010, a 20% strike rate. Two Commanders is rated 90, a pound behind Chantelle, who has won two of four starts at the course.
2. Walk In The West · 14:00 Plumpton
Walk In The West has been backed from 10/1 to 9/2 for the Southern Contract Novices’ Handicap Chase over two miles, three furlongs and 166 yards, with 22 of 23 bookmakers cutting, the biggest market move on the list. Sam Twiston-Davies rides and has won on 33 of his 146 rides at Plumpton since 2010, a 23% strike rate. Anthony Honeyball trains the five-year-old, who carries 11st 0lb and whose form figures read 0P26-4.
3. Synchronist · 13:45 Southwell
Synchronist has been cut from 9/2 to 9/4 for the Dance Through The Decades Christmas Parties Novices’ Handicap Chase over just short of two miles, with 21 of 24 bookmakers cutting. Sean Bowen rides and has 77 winners from 340 rides at Southwell since 2010, a 23% strike rate. The seven-year-old won its only previous start at the course, is the top-rated runner on 107, a pound ahead of Walk The Plank, and carries 11st 8lb for Sarah Humphrey.
4. Serious Look · 16:30 Wolverhampton
Serious Look has been backed from 14/1 to 17/2 for the Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap over a mile, a furlong and 104 yards, with 21 of 24 bookmakers cutting, and has won four of 13 starts at Wolverhampton. The six-year-old is rated 76, two pounds below Study Up and The Anthony Gover on 78, and the recent form figures read 15587. Thomas Faulkner trains and Zoe Lewis rides at 9st 13lb.
5. Uncle Remus · 15:30 Plumpton
Uncle Remus has been cut from 9/2 to 5/2 for the Southern Access Platforms Handicap Hurdle over two miles, with 18 of 24 bookmakers cutting. Henrietta Knight has had 3 winners from 10 runners over the past 14 days, a 30% strike rate, including Herbygoesbananas at Worcester yesterday. The five-year-old has won two of its last three starts, is rated 109, four pounds below Goodwin Face on 113, and Brendan Powell rides at 11st 1lb.
6. Tommie Beau · 15:00 Plumpton
Tommie Beau has been backed from 6/1 to 7/2 for the Kalm Club Handicap Chase over three miles, a furlong and 157 yards, with 18 of 23 bookmakers cutting, and has won three of seven starts at Plumpton. The 11-year-old is rated 138 and meets Jubilant, rated 142, who has won two of three starts here and is napped twice but has drifted from 13/8 to 9/4. Seamus Mullins trains and Benjamin Macey rides at 11st 9lb.
7. Quai Louis · 17:45 Chelmsford
Quai Louis is the nap of Jeffrey Ross in the Sporting Times, second on the 28-day nap strike rates with 13 winners from 28, and of The Duke in the Yorkshire Post, for the All-Weather Championship Is Back EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes over six furlongs. The median price has shortened from 15/8 to 13/8, well short of the market signal. Ed Walker’s stable provides the second signal with 8 winners from 27 runners over the past 14 days, a 30% strike rate. The two-year-old was second last time, is rated 76 to Rocsane’s 79, and Kieran Shoemark rides at 9st 7lb. Denver Sluice, the biggest market mover of the day, runs in the same race.
8. Wosta · 18:30 Wolverhampton
Wosta has three naps, from Fortunatus in the Sheffield Star, Whistler in the Sunday Telegraph and Lee Sobot in the Yorkshire Evening Post, for the Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Novice Stakes over a mile, a furlong and 104 yards. Oisin Murphy rides and has won on 146 of his 645 rides at Wolverhampton since 2010, a 23% strike rate. The three-year-old was second on its only start, is the top-rated runner on 87, three pounds clear of Watch The King, and has shortened from 2/5 to 3/10. John and Thady Gosden train, and Wosta carries 8st 13lb.
9. Chinese Whispers · 14:15 Southwell
Chinese Whispers is the nap of Ratings Hub at attheraces.com, which shares third place on the 28-day nap strike rates with 12 winners from 28, for the Southwell Racecourse Conference And Events Open National Hunt Flat Race over just short of two miles. Harry Cobden rides and has won on 20 of his 74 rides at Southwell since 2010, a 27% strike rate. The five-year-old was third on its only start, is rated 122, seven pounds clear of Lord Forlife, and has shortened from 13/8 to 6/4. Emma Lavelle trains. Backwaters has been backed from 15/2 to 4/1 in the same race.
Whose NAP to trust
These are the nap tipsters with the best strike rate over the 28 days to Sunday 1 November, and their picks today. Computeform and Ratings Hub tie for third:
- BGTips.co.uk: 15 winners from 27 naps (56%). Today: Shes Got The Blues, 19:30 Wolverhampton.
- Jeffrey Ross (Sporting Times): 13 winners from 28 naps (46%). Today: Quai Louis, 17:45 Chelmsford.
- Computeform (The Racing App): 12 winners from 28 naps (43%). Today: Bold Step, 13:30 Plumpton.
- Ratings Hub (attheraces.com): 12 winners from 28 naps (43%). Today: Chinese Whispers, 14:15 Southwell.
The most-napped horse of the day is Kocktail Bleu in the Southern Cranes Handicap Hurdle at 14:30 Plumpton, with seven naps. Naps are its only signal, so it misses the list: the price has shortened only slightly, from 9/4 to 2/1, and Tom Cannon’s 103 winners from 601 rides at Plumpton since 2010 is a 17% strike rate, just under the jockey mark. Bold Step, the second most-napped horse with five, has drifted from 13/8 to 2/1 and is left out. You can see every nap in Today’s Naps Table.
Biggest backed moves this morning
The three biggest market moves of the morning all miss the Hot List because none has a second signal:
- Denver Sluice (17:45 Chelmsford): 33/1 to 12/1, a 62% move.
- Lancier Des Obeaux (13:00 Plumpton): 13/2 to 9/4, a 57% move.
- Silverhill Freya (13:30 Plumpton): 22/1 to 11/1, a 48% move.
These are price movements, not recommendations.
How yesterday’s Hot List did
Sunday’s Hot List had eight runners and three of them won. Obsessedwithyou (6/1) led again after two out and held on gamely in the Listed mares’ chase at Carlisle, Briery Rose (9/1) led approaching the last at Huntingdon and won readily, and Keops Des Bordes (11/10) made all in a Carlisle novices’ hurdle. List topper We’re Red And Blue (7/4) was second at Carlisle, beaten a length and three-quarters, and Theatre Tom (6/5) led two out but was headed at the last and finished second at Worcester, beaten six and a half lengths. To Chase A Dream (3/1) was eased and finished last of nine finishers at Carlisle, beaten around 23 lengths, Orderly (14/1) was seventh of seven in the Carlisle bumper, beaten around 28 lengths, and Perry Mason (13/2) was 20th of 21 at the Curragh, also beaten around 28 lengths. A £1 win bet on each at starting price returned £19.10 from £8 staked, a profit of £11.10. Past performance is not a guide to future results.
Prices checked at 08:36 GMT on Monday 2 November and subject to change. Market moves use median bookmaker prices; trainer form covers 19 October to 1 November; course and jockey records cover races since 1 January 2010.
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