The GG Hot List checks every runner in Britain and Ireland against five signals: market support, independent naps, course form, trainer form and the jockey’s record at the course. Today’s leader is Newfangled in the 20:00 at Wolverhampton, the only runner with three signals among ten qualifiers. It has two naps, has won three of its five starts at Wolverhampton, and Billy Loughnane has ridden 169 winners from 848 rides at the track. The price has shortened from 11/2 to 7/2.
How the GG Hot List works
A runner needs at least two of the five signals below, and at least one of them must be market support or naps. That way, everything on the list has attracted attention today.
- Market: the median bookmaker price at least 30% shorter, with ten or more bookmakers cutting by 20% or more.
- Naps: two current naps, or one from a tipster with a top-three nap record over the past 28 days.
- Course: at least two wins at today’s course, with a strike rate of 25% or better there.
- Trainer: 25% winners or better from at least ten runners over the previous 14 days.
- Jockey: a strike rate of 18% or better from at least 50 rides at the course.
Runners whose price has drifted since it opened are left out. The list is ranked by number of signals, then market move, then number of naps. It contains no more than ten runners, the thresholds are not lowered on a quiet day, and non-runners are excluded before publication. Ten runners qualify today. Galway’s meeting has been abandoned, so the list is drawn from Bangor, Catterick, Newcastle and Wolverhampton.
Today’s Hot List
| No. | Horse | Race | Signals | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newfangled | 20:00 Wolverhampton | Napped / Course / Jockey | 2 naps · 3 wins from 5 at course · Loughnane 169 from 848 at Wolverhampton |
| 2 | Kel Du Large | 15:16 Bangor | Backed / Trainer | 12/1 to 9/2 · Snowden 6 winners from 16 in 14 days |
| 3 | Ted Le Saux | 20:00 Wolverhampton | Backed / Jockey | 8/1 to 10/3 · Murphy 144 from 639 at Wolverhampton |
| 4 | Douglas Hyde | 15:16 Bangor | Backed / Napped | 9/1 to 4/1 · 2 naps |
| 5 | Barry The Worm | 19:00 Wolverhampton | Backed / Course | 13/2 to 11/4 · 2 wins from 3 at course |
| 6 | Masked Dance | 14:46 Bangor | Backed / Jockey | 25/1 to 16/1 · Wynne 21 from 113 at Bangor |
| 7 | My Bobby’s Lass | 16:16 Bangor | Backed / Jockey | 28/1 to 18/1 · Wynne 21 from 113 at Bangor |
| 8 | Rattlin Home | 14:16 Bangor | Napped / Jockey | 4 naps · Skelton 46 from 212 at Bangor |
| 9 | Ridger | 18:00 Wolverhampton | Napped / Jockey | 2 naps · Murphy 144 from 639 at Wolverhampton |
| 10 | Vince Le Prince | 15:10 Catterick | Napped / Course | 2 naps · 4 wins from 15 at course |
What our expert thinks
GG racing writer Billy Grimshaw on today’s list topper, Newfangled:
“Newfangled tops the list on its record at Wolverhampton rather than the market. Three wins from five starts here is a strong course record, it’s top-rated in the field on 88 and Billy Loughnane rides a track he knows well. The recent form is the worry. The last six runs read 646437, so it hasn’t won for a while. The money has also come for Ted Le Saux in the same race, from 8/1 to 10/3, and Oisin Murphy rides that one. I can see why Newfangled is on the list, but at 7/2 I don’t think there’s much left in the price.”
Billy Grimshaw, GG
1. Newfangled · 20:00 Wolverhampton
Newfangled is napped by The Punt and Postdata in the Racing Post for the Midnite It’s Actually Pretty Good Handicap over a mile, a furlong and 104 yards, and has won three of its five starts at Wolverhampton. The price has shortened from 11/2 to 7/2, with 19 of 24 bookmakers cutting, just short of the 30% move needed for a market signal. Billy Loughnane rides and has 169 winners from 848 rides at the course, a 20% strike rate. Jonathan Portman trains the five-year-old, who carries 9st 5lb and is the top-rated runner in a field of nine on 88, a pound clear of Ciao Capo.
2. Kel Du Large · 15:16 Bangor
Kel Du Large has been backed from 12/1 to 9/2 for the Mount Vines Novices’ Handicap Chase over two and a half miles, with 19 of 23 bookmakers cutting, the biggest market move on the list. Jamie Snowden trains the six-year-old, and his stable has had 6 winners from 16 runners over the past 14 days, a 38% strike rate. Jonathan Burke rides at 11st 10lb.
3. Ted Le Saux · 20:00 Wolverhampton
The second qualifier from the 20:00 at Wolverhampton. Ted Le Saux has been cut from 8/1 to 10/3, with 22 of 24 bookmakers cutting, and Oisin Murphy rides, with 144 winners from 639 rides at the course, a 23% strike rate. Andrew Balding trains the four-year-old, who carries 9st 8lb and is rated 85, three pounds below Newfangled.
4. Douglas Hyde · 15:16 Bangor
Douglas Hyde runs in the same Bangor chase as Kel Du Large and has been backed from 9/1 to 4/1, with 22 of 23 bookmakers cutting. Ben Morgan at Racing Ahead and The Judge at The Favourite both make it their nap. The six-year-old has placed on both previous starts at Bangor. Rebecca Curtis trains and Sean Bowen rides at 11st 2lb.
5. Barry The Worm · 19:00 Wolverhampton
Barry The Worm has been cut from 13/2 to 11/4 for the Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap over six furlongs, with 22 of 24 bookmakers cutting, and has won two of its three starts at Wolverhampton. Edward Smyth-Osbourne trains the three-year-old and Alistair Rawlinson rides at 9st 7lb. It is rated 64 in a field of 13, three pounds below Territorial Star and Masai Angel on 67.
6. Masked Dance · 14:46 Bangor
Masked Dance has shortened from 25/1 to 16/1 for the Kellyhill Financial Planning Mares’ Handicap Hurdle, with 17 of 23 bookmakers cutting. Toby Wynne rides and has 21 winners from 113 rides at Bangor, a 19% strike rate. Mel Rowley trains the eight-year-old, who carries 11st 12lb and is rated 120, two pounds below I Spy A Diva and Iamyouare.
7. My Bobby’s Lass · 16:16 Bangor
The second Mel Rowley and Toby Wynne runner on the list. My Bobby’s Lass has been cut from 28/1 to 18/1 for the Overton Handicap Chase over three miles, with 19 of 22 bookmakers cutting. The seven-year-old has not won in two previous starts at Bangor, carries 10st 4lb and is rated 115, four pounds below The Big Breac on 119.
8. Rattlin Home · 14:16 Bangor
Rattlin Home is the joint most-napped horse of the day, with four for the Jodie Standing’s Point-To-Point Recruits Novices’ Hurdle: Lee Sobot in the Yorkshire Evening Post, Computeform at The Racing App, Dean Kilbryde in the East Anglian Daily Times and BGTips.co.uk. BGTips.co.uk and Computeform have the two best nap strike rates over the past 28 days. The price has shortened from 4/5 to 4/9, with 9 of 23 bookmakers cutting, short of a market signal. Harry Skelton rides for Dan Skelton and has 46 winners from 212 rides at Bangor, a 22% strike rate. The five-year-old carries 11st 0lb.
9. Ridger · 18:00 Wolverhampton
Ridger is napped by Ratings Hub at attheraces.com and Rockavon in the Sunday Mail for the first division of the Saisons d’Or 100th Race Handicap, and has shortened from 11/10 to 5/6, with 3 of 24 bookmakers cutting. Oisin Murphy provides the second signal, with 144 winners from 639 rides at Wolverhampton. Ollie Sangster trains the three-year-old, who has won its last two starts and one of two at the course. Ridger carries 9st 5lb and is rated 70, behind Mini Mac on 73 and Saisons d’Or on 71.
10. Vince Le Prince · 15:10 Catterick
Vince Le Prince is napped by Robin Goodfellow in the Daily Mail and Rob Wright in The Times for the Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap over seven furlongs, and has won four of 15 starts at Catterick, placing in 13 of them. The price has barely moved, from 9/2 to 4/1, with one of 21 bookmakers cutting. Tim Easterby trains the six-year-old and David Allan rides at 9st 6lb. It is rated 80, a pound below Swift Salian and The Gay Blade.
Whose NAP to trust
These are the nap tipsters with the best strike rate over the 28 days to Monday 26 October, and their picks today:
- BGTips.co.uk: 14 winners from 27 naps (52%). Today: Rattlin Home, 14:16 Bangor.
- Computeform (The Racing App): 12 winners from 28 naps (43%). Today: Rattlin Home, 14:16 Bangor.
- Jeffrey Ross (Sporting Times): 11 winners from 28 naps (39%). Today: What A Go I’ve Had, 17:30 Wolverhampton.
Rattlin Home shares the title of most-napped horse with Laughing John in the Mount Vines Novices’ Handicap Chase at 15:16 Bangor, which also has four naps. Naps are Laughing John’s only signal and the price has shortened only from 5/1 to 4/1, with 2 of 23 bookmakers cutting, so it misses the list. You can see every nap in Today’s Naps Table.
Biggest backed moves this morning
The three biggest market moves of the morning all miss the Hot List because none has a second signal:
- Zoulu Warrior (18:30 Wolverhampton): 25/1 to 15/2, a 67% move.
- Loulou Madrik (15:31 Newcastle): 9/1 to 5/2, a 65% move.
- Our Planet (20:30 Wolverhampton): 14/1 to 5/1, a 60% move.
These are price movements, not recommendations.
How yesterday’s Hot List did
Monday’s Hot List had five runners, and two of the four that ran won. Toastmaster (13/8) came from towards the rear at Southwell and led inside the final furlong to win by a length and a half, and Imperial Ballet (6/4) made all in the Kempton novice stakes. List topper Thunder Roar (4/1) rallied to finish fourth at Redcar, beaten about a length, while Lady Roxby (4/1) was sixth at Southwell, beaten around five and a half lengths and never dangerous. Jetzet was a non-runner at Hereford because of the ground. A £1 win bet on each runner at starting price returned £5.13 from £4 staked, a profit of £1.13. Past performance is not a guide to future results.
Prices checked at 08:30 GMT on Tuesday 27 October and subject to change. Market moves use median bookmaker prices; trainer form covers 13 October to 26 October.
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