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Monday Racing Cheat Sheet: Stats & Trends For Carlisle, Punchestown And Stratford

Monday Racing Cheat Sheet: Stats & Trends For Carlisle, Punchestown And Stratford

It’s a jumps-only Monday. In Britain there are meetings at Carlisle, Kempton and Stratford, while Punchestown stages the Irish card. We’ve picked out the four best races of the day and pulled the stats that matter before you bet.

The biggest prize of the day is the £26,015 on offer to the winner of the Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Graduation Chase at Carlisle at 1.52pm. The going is Good at Carlisle, Good To Soft at Stratford and Good To Yielding at Punchestown.

Key Race Schedule For Monday 9th November

TimeCourseRaceGradeDistanceRunners
12.30pmPunchestownMatchbook Betting Exchange Rated Novice ChaseRated2m 136y8
12.40pmStratfordracingtv.com/freetrial “Chasing Excellence” Beginners’ ChaseClass 32m4f 205y2
12.50pmCarlisleUnibet Middle Distance Chase Series Veterans’ Handicap ChaseClass 32m3f 210y3
1.52pmCarlisleWeatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Graduation ChaseClass 21m7f 207y3

12.30pm Punchestown – Matchbook Betting Exchange Rated Novice Chase

Eight are on the card for this €8,835 novice chase over 2m 136y on Good To Yielding ground. Only three of them have an official chase rating, and several are returning from long breaks.

  • Top rated: Rattledelatch is rated 118 after his win at Tramore, ahead of Trasna Na Pairce (115) and Butter Fingers (111).
  • Weights: Rattledelatch and Butter Fingers carry 11st 9lb. The other six all have 11st 5lb.
  • Long breaks: Good Option (237 days), Dollar Nolimit (235), Torpille Dagrostis (208) and Ifallgoeswell (194) have all been off since the spring. Dollar Nolimit, Good Option and Ifallgoeswell make their chasing debuts.
  • Jockey in form: Jack Kennedy, who rides Torpille Dagrostis for Gordon Elliott, is 5/22 (23%) in the last 14 days.
  • Fences record: Trasna Na Pairce is 0-9 over fences. Tatateo was soundly beaten on his chase debut last time.

12:30 Punchestown

Matchbook Betting Exchange Rated Novice Chase

  • Going Good To Yielding
  • Distance 2m 0f 136y
  • Class —
  • Race Type Chase Turf
  • Surface Turf
  • Runners 7
Prize Money
  • 1st €8,835
  • 2nd €2,835
  • 3rd €1,335
  • 4th €585
  • 5th €285
  • 6th €135
RTV
Punchestown

Runners: 7 runners

Type: Chase Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Mostly cloudy

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 1 tip Butter Fingers uniform Butter Fingers 37 days W: 11st 9lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: 111 RPR: 118 Form: 6-1727
GG Racing Score 53% Ability 3.3/10 Draw — Jockey 2.9/10 Trainer 8.6/10 Course — Distance 8.6/10
2 3 tips Rattledelatch uniform Rattledelatch 32 days OUR TIP W: 11st 9lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: 118 RPR: 132 Form: 960241
GG Racing Score 60% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 4.3/10 Trainer 1.4/10 Course 4/10 Distance 6.4/10
3 Dollar Nolimit uniform Dollar Nolimit 235 days W: 11st 5lb Age: 7 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: — Form: 4F160-
GG Racing Score 16% Ability — Draw — Jockey 5.7/10 Trainer 0/10 Course 0/10 Distance 0.7/10
4 Good Option uniform Good Option 237 days W: 11st 5lb Age: 6 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: — Form: 99724-
GG Racing Score 67% Ability — Draw — Jockey 8.6/10 Trainer 2.9/10 Course 9/10 Distance 6.4/10
5 Ifallgoeswell uniform Ifallgoeswell 194 days W: 11st 5lb Age: 6 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: — Form: 23517-
GG Racing Score 48% Ability — Draw — Jockey 1.4/10 Trainer 5.7/10 Course 9/10 Distance 2.9/10
6 Tatateo uniform Tatateo 30 days W: 11st 5lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: 115 Form: 910P-6
GG Racing Score 31% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 4.3/10 Course 4/10 Distance 10/10
7 1 tip Torpille Dagrostis uniform Torpille Dagrostis 208 days W: 11st 5lb Age: 6 yo Mare
OR: — RPR: — Form: 82216-
GG Racing Score 64% Ability — Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 7.1/10 Course 4/10 Distance 4.3/10
8 Trasna Na Pairce uniform Trasna Na Pairce 92 days W: 11st 5lb Age: 7 yo Gelding
OR: 115 RPR: 130 Form: -52744
GG Racing Score 62% Ability 6.7/10 Draw — Jockey 7.1/10 Trainer 10/10 Course — Distance 0.7/10

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

8/1 Butter Fingers, 11/4 Rattledelatch, 12/1 Dollar Nolimit, 7/1 Good Option, 9/2 Ifallgoeswell, 16/1 Tatateo, 100/30 Torpille Dagrostis

Non-runners

Trasna Na Pairce

Verdict

Quite a few of these lack a recent run so the market should prove informative. Whether this shorter trip will suit the 20.5f Tramore winner RATTLEDELATCH is debateable but he has less questions to answer than most. Of the remainder, the racefit Butter Fingers and Ifallgoeswell make most appeal. [Dave Stephens]

Selections

POSTDATA:

Rattledelatch

RP RATINGS (IRE):

Rattledelatch

SPOTLIGHT:

Rattledelatch

TOPSPEED:

Butter Fingers

The Irish Sun:

Torpille Dagrostis

12.40pm Stratford – racingtv.com/freetrial “Chasing Excellence” Beginners’ Chase

Just two go to post for this Class 3 beginners’ chase over 2m4f 205y on Good To Soft ground, worth £7,922 to the winner. Both are chase debutants and both have been off for 213 days.

  • Ratings: Act Of Authority is rated 135 over hurdles, 2lb higher than Emidio Pepe on 133.
  • Wind op: Act Of Authority, a five-time hurdle winner, makes his chase debut after a wind operation.
  • Jockeys in form: Harry Skelton (Emidio Pepe) is 20/56 (36%) in the last 14 days. Sean Bowen (Act Of Authority) is 13/55 (24%).
  • Course records: Dan Skelton is 32/134 (24%) at Stratford and Olly Murphy is 13/62 (21%). Sean Bowen is 34/130 (26%) here and Harry Skelton 26/92 (28%).
  • Age: Emidio Pepe is a five-year-old. Act Of Authority is eight.

12:40 Stratford

racingtv.com/freetrial “Chasing Excellence” Beginners’ Chase (GBB Race)

  • Going Good To Soft
  • Distance 2m 4f 205y
  • Class Class 3
  • Race Type Chase Turf
  • Surface Turf
  • Runners 2
Prize Money
  • 1st £7,922
  • 2nd £3,645
  • 3rd £1,823
  • 4th £912
  • 5th £455
RTV
Stratford

Runners: 2 runners

Type: Chase Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Mostly cloudy

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 3 tips Act Of Authority uniform Act Of Authority 213 days W: 11st 5lb Age: 8 yo Gelding
OR: 135 RPR: — Form: 34859-
GG Racing Score 40% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 0/10 Course — Distance 0/10
2 8 tips Emidio Pepe uniform Emidio Pepe 213 days OUR TIP W: 11st 5lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: 133 RPR: — Form: 4/714-
GG Racing Score 60% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 10/10 Course — Distance 10/10

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

11/10 Act Of Authority, 8/11 Emidio Pepe

Verdict

Act Of Authority and the ex-French EMID’IO PEPE are both useful hurdlers who should have a good future at this new discipline. It’s a tight call between the pair but the vote goes to the latter, who is still only a 5yo and was as good as ever with an eye-catching effort on his stable debut at Aintree in April.[David Moon]

Selections

D Express:

Emid’io Pepe

Daily Mail:

Emid’io Pepe

Daily Mirror:

Act Of Authority

Daily Record:

Emid’io Pepe

POSTDATA:

Emid’io Pepe

SPOTLIGHT:

Emid’io Pepe

Telegraph:

Act Of Authority

The Guardian:

Emid’io Pepe

The Star:

Act Of Authority

The Sun:

Emid’io Pepe

The Times:

Emid’io Pepe

12.50pm Carlisle – Unibet Middle Distance Chase Series Veterans’ Handicap Chase

Ned Tanner has been taken out, leaving three runners aged ten or older in this Class 3 veterans’ handicap chase over 2m3f 210y on Good ground. The winner collects £9,506.

  • Last-time-out winner: Parisencore won at Wetherby in first-time cheekpieces 26 days ago and tops the weights on 12st 0lb off a mark of 129.
  • C&D winner: Dubai Days is the only course-and-distance winner in the field. The 12-year-old finished fourth of five in this race last year and races without his usual hood.
  • Course specialist: Hello Judge has won six of his 13 starts at Carlisle and was second of four over C&D on his seasonal return 18 days ago.
  • Trainers: Nicky Richards (Parisencore) is 4/12 (33%) in the last 14 days and 19/88 (22%) at Carlisle. Ann Hamilton (Hello Judge) is 12/31 (39%) at the course.
  • Jockeys: Brian Hughes (Hello Judge) is 8/39 (21%) in the last 14 days. Danny McMenamin (Parisencore) is 33/146 (23%) at Carlisle.

12:50 Carlisle

Unibet Middle Distance Chase Series Veterans’ Handicap Chase (Qualifier)

  • Going Good
  • Distance 2m 3f 210y
  • Class Class 3
  • Race Type Chase Turf
  • Surface Turf
  • Runners 3
Prize Money
  • 1st £9,506
  • 2nd £4,374
  • 3rd £2,187
  • 4th £1,094
  • 5th £545
RTV
Carlisle

Runners: 3 runners

Type: Chase Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 6 tips Parisencore uniform Parisencore 26 days W: 12st 0lb Age: 10 yo Gelding
OR: 129 RPR: 135 Form: -52531
GG Racing Score 58% Ability 7.5/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 10/10 Course 0/10 Distance 0/10
2 Dubai Days uniform Dubai Days 25 days W: 11st 7lb Age: 12 yo Gelding
OR: 122 RPR: 135 Form: 8165-5
GG Racing Score 42% Ability 7.5/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 0/10 Course 5/10 Distance 5/10
3 7 tips Hello Judge uniform Hello Judge 18 days OUR TIP W: 11st 5lb Age: 10 yo Gelding
OR: 120 RPR: 134 Form: 51P4-2
GG Racing Score 50% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 5/10 Trainer 5/10 Course 10/10 Distance 10/10
4 Ned Tanner uniform Ned Tanner 2 days W: 10st 9lb Age: 10 yo Gelding
OR: 110 RPR: 138 Form: P5-334
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey — Trainer — Course — Distance —

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

5/6 Parisencore, 9/1 Dubai Days, 11/8 Hello Judge

Non-runners

Ned Tanner

Verdict

Solid HELLO JUDGE (nap) is taken to register a seventh course win. Parisencore, who looks as good as ever, is feared most.[Steve Boow]

Selections

D Express:

Parisencore

Daily Mail:

Parisencore

Daily Mirror:

Parisencore

Daily Record:

Hello Judge

POSTDATA:

Hello Judge

RP RATINGS:

Parisencore

SPOTLIGHT:

Hello Judge

TOPSPEED:

Hello Judge

Telegraph:

Hello Judge

The Guardian:

Hello Judge

The Star:

Parisencore

The Sun:

Parisencore

The Times:

Hello Judge

1.52pm Carlisle – Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Graduation Chase

The day’s richest race is a three-runner Class 2 graduation chase over 1m7f 207y on Good ground, worth £26,015 to the winner.

  • Ratings gap: Be Aware is rated 147, 10lb clear of Cristal d’Estruval (137) and 28lb clear of All The Glory (119).
  • Weights: Be Aware carries 11st 4lb, Cristal d’Estruval 11st 0lb and All The Glory 10st 7lb.
  • Long absences: Cristal d’Estruval has been off for 330 days and Be Aware for 212. All The Glory ran 25 days ago.
  • Course form: Cristal d’Estruval won a Carlisle novice hurdle under a penalty 11 months ago. Harry Derham is 4/6 (67%) at Carlisle and Paul O’Brien is 3/7 (43%).
  • O’Neill angle: Jonjo O’Neill Jr (All The Glory) is 4/20 (20%) in the last 14 days and 18/66 (27%) at Carlisle.

13:52 Carlisle

Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Graduation Chase (GBB Race)

  • Going Good
  • Distance 1m 7f 207y
  • Class Class 2
  • Race Type Chase Turf
  • Surface Turf
  • Runners 3
Prize Money
  • 1st £26,015
  • 2nd £11,960
  • 3rd £5,980
  • 4th £2,990
  • 5th £1,495
RTV
Carlisle

Runners: 3 runners

Type: Chase Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 10 tips Be Aware uniform Be Aware 212 days W: 11st 4lb Age: 7 yo Gelding
OR: 147 RPR: 162 Form: 22203-
GG Racing Score 50% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 5/10 Course — Distance 0/10
2 3 tips Cristal dEstruval uniform Cristal dEstruval 330 days OUR TIP W: 11st 0lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: 137 RPR: — Form: 11-
GG Racing Score 83% Ability 5/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 10/10 Course 10/10 Distance 10/10
3 1 tip All The Glory uniform All The Glory 25 days W: 10st 7lb Age: 9 yo Mare
OR: 119 RPR: 152 Form: 347P-3
GG Racing Score 17% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 5/10 Trainer 0/10 Course 0/10 Distance 5/10

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

1/1 Be Aware, 10/11 Cristal dEstruval, 16/1 All The Glory

Verdict

With further improvement on the cards, unbeaten CRISTAL D’ESTRUVAL may take advantage of the 4lb he receives from standard-setter Be Aware who nevertheless commands respect in an interesting clash.[Steve Boow]

Selections

Daily Mail:

Be Aware

Daily Mirror:

Be Aware

Daily Record:

Be Aware

POSTDATA:

Be Aware

RP RATINGS:

Be Aware

TOPSPEED:

Be Aware

The Guardian:

Be Aware

The Star:

Be Aware

The Sun:

Be Aware

The Times:

Be Aware

WEST COUNTRY:

All The Glory

Trainers and jockeys in form

These strike rates cover the last 14 days, and every name has runners in today’s featured races.

NameRoleLast 14 daysFeatured runners today
Nicky RichardsTrainer4/12 (33%)Parisencore (12.50pm Carlisle)
Harry SkeltonJockey20/56 (36%)Emidio Pepe (12.40pm Stratford)
Sean BowenJockey13/55 (24%)Act Of Authority (12.40pm Stratford)
Jack KennedyJockey5/22 (23%)Torpille Dagrostis (12.30pm Punchestown)
Brian HughesJockey8/39 (21%)Hello Judge (12.50pm Carlisle)
Jonjo O’Neill JrJockey4/20 (20%)All The Glory (1.52pm Carlisle)

Key angles

  • Small fields: Three of the four featured races have three runners or fewer, so the ratings gaps and fitness questions carry extra weight.
  • Returning runners: Eight of the 16 featured runners have been off for more than 190 days.
  • Skelton in form: Harry Skelton has the best 14-day strike rate of the featured jockeys at 20/56 (36%).
  • C&D winner: Dubai Days (12.50pm Carlisle) is the only C&D winner running in the featured races.

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