ITV Racing has eight live races on Saturday 7 November, split between Doncaster and Aintree. The November Handicap, the traditional end of the Flat turf season, headlines at Doncaster, where last year’s winner Castle Cove and the 2024 winner Lord Melbourne both run again. Aintree stages two Grade 2s moved from Wincanton, the new Molyneux Hurdle and the Rising Stars Novices’ Chase.

We’ve gone back through the last ten runnings of each ITV race to pull out the trends worth knowing before you bet. Several races have moved course or were run elsewhere in some years, and we say so where it matters. The going is Soft at Doncaster and Good to Soft at Aintree.

Key Race Schedule For Saturday 7th November

Time	Course	Race	Grade	Distance	Runners
1.15pm	Aintree	Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Chase	Class 3	1m7f176y	11
1.45pm	Aintree	Molyneux Hurdle	Grade 2	2m209y	5
2.10pm	Doncaster	Wentworth Stakes	Listed	6f2y	21
2.25pm	Aintree	Rising Stars Novices’ Chase	Grade 2	2m3f200y	5
2.45pm	Doncaster	Gillies Fillies’ Stakes	Listed	1m2f43y	17
3.00pm	Aintree	Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle	Class 2	3m149y	14
3.25pm	Doncaster	November Handicap	Class 2	1m3f197y	23
3.35pm	Aintree	Play Lucky Stable Handicap Chase	Class 2	2m3f200y	12

1.15pm Aintree – Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Chase (Class 3)

The ITV coverage starts with a two-mile Class 3 handicap chase on the Mildmay course. This race has been run under the same conditions at the November meeting every year since 2017, which gives us nine years of verified results.

• Short prices: 4 of the last 9 favourites have won, and 8 of the 9 winners started 6/1 or shorter. Yorkist (14/1 in 2018) is the only big-priced winner.
• Weight and ratings: 8 of 9 winners carried 11st 4lb or more, and 7 of 9 were rated 128–133. Only Sans Bruit and Coup De Coeur (both 130, 12st) fit that ratings band this year.
• Top-rated record: the highest-rated runner has won 4 of the last 9, including the last two runnings.
• Age: 7- and 8-year-olds have won 5 of the last 9. Only one winner was aged 10 or older, which counts against Ballybreeze (10) and Sir Tivo (12).
• Returning runners: Javert Allen was last year’s 10/3 favourite and finished 4th; he runs off a 3lb lower mark this time. Dan Skelton (Kadastral) is the only trainer in the field to have won the race, with Yorkist in 2018.

1.45pm Aintree – Molyneux Hurdle (Grade 2)

The Molyneux Hurdle is the old Elite Hurdle under a new name, moved permanently from Wincanton to Aintree this year. All ten years of trends below come from Wincanton, a right-handed track over about 1m7½f, so treat them with some care. Five go to post.

• Favourites: 8 of the last 10 favourites have won (one was a joint-favourite), and the two beaten favourites both placed.
• Short prices: every winner in the last 10 years started 4/1 or shorter, and 6 of them were odds-on.
• Big yards: Paul Nicholls has won it 4 times, Alan King 3 and Nicky Henderson 2. Only Henderson is represented this year, with Lucky Place.
• Cobden factor: Harry Cobden has ridden 4 of the last 10 winners. He partners top-rated Alexei (158) for Joe Tizzard.
• Age and sex: 6-year-olds have won 4 of the last 10 and Alexei is the only 6yo. Mange Tout is the only 4yo and the only female; 4yos won twice and a mare once (Verdana Blue, 2018).

2.10pm Doncaster – Wentworth Stakes (Listed)

The Wentworth Stakes is a Listed sprint over six furlongs. It has been run nine times in the last ten years: it was abandoned in 2019 and run at Newcastle on the all-weather in 2023. This year’s 21 runners are the biggest field of the period.

• Favourites: only 3 of the last 9 favourites have won, but every winner started 8/1 or shorter.
• Trainers: Andrew Balding and Karl Burke have won it twice each. Burke runs Ellusive Butterfly and Lam Yai, and Balding runs Copacabana Sands. Kevin Ryan, who won in 2024, runs Lady Youmzain.
• Age: 3- and 4-year-olds have won 6 of the last 9, and no winner was older than 7. That counts against 8yo Montassib, last year’s beaten favourite.
• Fillies: only 1 of the last 9 winners was female (Fast Response, 2022), yet 10 of this year’s 21 runners are fillies or mares.
• Draw: 6 of the 8 winners at Doncaster came from stall 7 or lower, although no past field was bigger than 15. Pellitory (1), Myal (2), Sunday Girl (3), Midnight Tango (4), Copacabana Sands (5), Zen Diva (6) and Navassa Island (7) are drawn low.
• Top-rated: Coul Angel is the highest-rated runner on 108, ahead of Shagraan on 106. 6 of the 8 Doncaster runnings were on Soft or Heavy ground.

2.25pm Aintree – Rising Stars Novices’ Chase (Grade 2)

The Rising Stars Novices’ Chase is being staged at Aintree as a one-off after Wincanton’s Badger Chase Ladies’ Day was cancelled because of firm ground. The trends below come from Wincanton over two and a half miles. Chanceawetmorning is a non-runner, leaving five.

• Favourites: 5 of the last 9 favourites have won. The beaten favourites finished 2nd, 3rd, pulled up and fell.
• Prices: 8 of the last 9 winners started 5/1 or shorter. The biggest-priced winner was Boombawn at 8/1 in 2024.
• Nicholls dominance: Paul Nicholls has won 4 of the last 10, including last year. He runs top-rated No Drama This End (144), ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies, who won on Modus in 2017.
• Age: 7-year-olds have won 4 of the last 10. Off The Jury is the only 7yo in the field.
• Jockey links: Harry Skelton won in 2024 on Boombawn and rides Talk To The Man (143) for Dan Skelton. Tom Bellamy, who won on Hang In There in 2022, rides Favour And Fortune.

2.45pm Doncaster – Gillies Fillies’ Stakes (Listed)

The Gillies Fillies’ Stakes is a Listed race over ten furlongs for fillies and mares. It was run at Lingfield in 2019 and at Newcastle in 2023, and it has a habit of throwing up big-priced winners.

• Favourites: only 2 of the last 10 favourites have won, and just 1 of the last 8 at Doncaster (Danielle, last year).
• Look for a price: 5 of the last 10 winners started 9/1 or bigger, including Carnachy (14/1), Company Asset (16/1) and Vesela (22/1).
• Trainers: Ralph Beckett has won it twice (2020 and 2021) and runs Revoir and K Sarra. The Gosden stable has also won it twice and runs I’m The One. Andrew Balding (Zgharta) and Roger Varian (Mobberley Rose) have each won it once.
• Age: 3-year-olds have won 5 of the last 10 and 4-year-olds 4. This year there are 12 3yos and five 4yos.
• Top-rated: Revoir and Felicitas share the top rating on 101, with I’m The One next on 100.

3.00pm Aintree – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Class 2)

This three-mile-one handicap hurdle is a qualifier for the Pertemps Final at the Cheltenham Festival. We have verified results for the last nine runnings (2017–2025), and this year’s 14 runners are the biggest field of that period.

• Favourites: 3 of the last 9 favourites have won, and three more beaten favourites were placed.
• Shocks happen: 3 of the last 9 winners started 9/1 or bigger, including Koshari at 80/1 in 2021.
• Previous winner: Harbour Lake won this in 2024 off 129 for Alan King. He is now 10 and runs off 140, 11lb higher.
• Open race: there have been 9 different winning trainers in the last 9 years. Philip Hobbs won it in 2017, and Hobbs and Johnson White run French Ship and Kikijo.
• Top-rated: the highest-rated runner has won 3 of the last 9, including Impose Toi last year. French Ship tops the ratings on 146 under 12st. Idem was 5th last year off 128 and runs off 132.

3.25pm Doncaster – November Handicap (Class 2)

The November Handicap is the traditional finale of the Flat turf season, and 23 runners go to post over a mile and a half. It was abandoned in 2019 and run at Newcastle in 2023, so we have nine runnings to work from. The last two winners are both back.

• Defending winners: Castle Cove (2025) runs off 100, 8lb higher than last year, and Lord Melbourne (2024) runs off 97, 7lb higher. No horse, trainer or jockey has won it twice in the last 9 runnings.
• Weight and ratings: 7 of the last 8 winners carried 9st 0lb or less and were rated 99 or lower. Castle Cove (9st 8lb) and Lord Melbourne (9st 5lb) both carry more than that.
• Age and sex: 4-year-olds have won 4 of the last 9, and no winner was older than 6. That is a negative for Sunchart (9), Arqoob (8), Tashkhan (8) and Real Dream (7). There has been no female winner, which counts against Ghaiyya and Miss Dolly Rocker.
• Draw: 6 of the 8 Doncaster winners came from stalls 8–17. Castle Cove is in 9, Lord Melbourne in 21.
• Prices: 2 of the last 9 favourites have won (one a joint-favourite), and every winner started 14/1 or shorter. 7 of the 8 Doncaster runnings were on Soft or Heavy ground.

3.35pm Aintree – Play Lucky Stable Handicap Chase (Class 2)

The final ITV race is a Class 2 handicap chase over two and a half miles on the Mildmay course. The comparable race was run at this meeting from 2017 to 2020 only, so these trends come from a small sample of four runnings.

• Favourites: no outright favourite has won in those four runnings. All four winners started between 4/1 and 13/2.
• Weight and ratings: all four winners were rated 135–141 and carried between 10st 11lb and 11st 5lb. Bluey (136, 11st 5lb) and Insurrection (135, 11st 4lb) fit both. No winner carried top weight; Down Memory Lane is top-rated on 145.
• Age: 3 of the 4 winners were aged 9 or 10. Boombawn, Etalon, Hercule Du Seuil and Insurrection are all 9.
• Meeting form: Imperial Saint won the two-mile handicap chase at this meeting in 2024 at 5/6, off 128. He runs off 143 now. Boombawn won the Rising Stars Novices’ Chase at Wincanton in 2024.
• Trainers: Hobbs and White (Imperial Saint) and Nigel and Willy Twiston-Davies (Josh The Boss) are the only stables in the field to have won this race.

Saturday trends summary

• Favourites to respect: the Molyneux Hurdle (8 from 10 at Wincanton) and the Rising Stars Novices’ Chase (5 from 9).
• Look for a price: the Gillies Fillies’ Stakes, where favourites are 2 from 10 and five of the last ten winners went off 9/1 or bigger, and the Pertemps, won by an 80/1 shot in 2021.
• Previous winners: Castle Cove and Lord Melbourne in the November Handicap and Harbour Lake in the Pertemps, all now running off higher marks.
• Trainers to follow: Paul Nicholls in the Rising Stars, Ralph Beckett in the Gillies, Andrew Balding and Karl Burke in the Wentworth, and Hobbs and White across the Aintree handicaps.

18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Odds correct at time of writing and subject to change.

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