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Home / News / Thursday Racing Cheat Sheet: Stats & Trends For Thurles, Market Rasen And Hereford

Thursday Racing Cheat Sheet: Stats & Trends For Thurles, Market Rasen And Hereford

Thursday Racing Cheat Sheet: Stats & Trends For Thurles, Market Rasen And Hereford

Thursday is a jumps-only day. In Britain there are cards at Market Rasen and Hereford, while Thurles stages a jumps card in Ireland. We’ve picked out the four best races of the day and pulled the stats that matter before you bet.

The biggest prize of the day is at Thurles, where the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle (1.28pm) is worth €9,424 to the winner. The going is Good at Thurles and Hereford, and Good To Soft at Market Rasen.

Key Race Schedule For Thursday 12th November

TimeCourseRaceGradeDistanceRunners
12.41pmMarket RasenPricedUp Now With Best Odds “National Hunt” Maiden HurdleClass 42m4f 139y9
1.05pmHerefordPaul Fergusons Jumpers To Follow EBF “National Hunt” Novices’ HurdleClass 42m 53y12
1.28pmThurlesIrish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden HurdleMaiden2m6f 176y7
2.38pmThurlesBook Your Christmas Party Here On December 19th Mares Handicap HurdleHandicap2m4f11

12.41pm Market Rasen – PricedUp Now With Best Odds “National Hunt” Maiden Hurdle

Nine go to post for this Class 4 maiden hurdle over 2m4f 139y on Good To Soft ground, with £5,991 to the winner. Four of the field return from breaks of 222 days or more, and Supreme Force makes his debut under rules.

  • Hot yard: Charlie Longsdon is 6/14 (43%) in the last 14 days and runs Supreme Force, who was 3-6 in Irish points and was bought for £40,000 in May. Brian Hughes (12/47, 26%) rides.
  • Consistent sort: Ivor Bear (form 422-2) was beaten favourite on his hurdles debut 26 days ago. Sam Twiston-Davies is 10/46 (22%) in the last 14 days.
  • Point winner: Eastern Rock won a point and was second in a bumper. He returns 22 days after his hurdles debut, with Ben Jones flagged as a Top Course Jockey.
  • Long absences: Definite Call (328 days), Zains Hope (240), Prince Of Clova (230, wind op) and Jack The Master (222) have all been off for a long time.
  • In-form rider: Danny McMenamin (8/33, 24%) rides Striking Midnight, placed in two bumpers last season.

12:41 Market Rasen

PricedUp Now With Best Odds “National Hunt” Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

  • Going Good To Soft
  • Distance 2m 4f 139y
  • Class Class 4
  • Race Type Hurdle Turf
  • Surface Turf
  • Runners 9
Prize Money
  • 1st £5,991
  • 2nd £2,760
  • 3rd £1,379
  • 4th £691
RTV
Market Rasen

Runners: 9 runners

Type: Hurdle Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Mostly cloudy

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 Definite Call uniform Definite Call 328 days W: 11st 4lb Age: 8 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: — Form: 3/P-
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 5/10 Trainer 5/10 Course — Distance 0/10
2 3 tips Eastern Rock uniform Eastern Rock 22 days W: 11st 4lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: 116 Form: 2-4
GG Racing Score 78% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 3.8/10 Trainer 7.5/10 Course — Distance —
3 Prince Of Clova uniform Prince Of Clova 230 days W: 11st 4lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: — Form: 5P0-
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 2.5/10 Trainer 3.8/10 Course — Distance —
4 3 tips Supreme Force uniform Supreme Force W: 11st 4lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: — Form: —
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 8.1/10 Trainer 1.3/10 Course — Distance —
5 Zains Hope uniform Zains Hope 240 days W: 11st 4lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: — Form: 5-
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 0/10 Course — Distance —
6 6 tips Ivor Bear uniform Ivor Bear 26 days OUR TIP W: 11st 3lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: 114 Form: 422-2
GG Racing Score 73% Ability 6.7/10 Draw — Jockey 8.1/10 Trainer 10/10 Course 5/10 Distance —
7 Jack The Master uniform Jack The Master 222 days W: 11st 3lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: — Form: 4-
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 6.3/10 Trainer 2.5/10 Course — Distance —
8 Striking Midnight uniform Striking Midnight 21 days W: 11st 3lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: 98 Form: 32-9
GG Racing Score 64% Ability 3.3/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 8.8/10 Course — Distance —
9 Jax Belle uniform Jax Belle 14 days W: 10st 11lb Age: 6 yo Mare
OR: — RPR: 94 Form: 036-6
GG Racing Score 35% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 1.3/10 Trainer 6.3/10 Course — Distance 10/10

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

16/1 Definite Call, 9/4 Eastern Rock, 100/1 Prince Of Clova, 4/1 Supreme Force, 20/1 Zains Hope, 5/4 Ivor Bear, 14/1 Jack The Master, 20/1 Striking Midnight, 40/1 Jax Belle

Verdict

Eastern Rock can progress from his satisfactory hurdle debut three weeks ago and is respected but another chance is given to IVOR BEAR, who didn’t entirely convince with his jumping when second over a shorter trip here last month but showed a good level of form in bumpers last season and ought to improve as he gains experience over hurdles. Good market support will bring three-time Irish point winner Supreme Force into the equation.[Chris Wilson]

Selections

D Express:

Eastern Rock

Daily Mail:

Supreme Force

Daily Mirror:

Supreme Force

Daily Record:

Ivor Bear

POSTDATA:

Ivor Bear

SPOTLIGHT:

Ivor Bear

Telegraph:

Eastern Rock

The Guardian:

Eastern Rock

The Star:

Supreme Force

The Sun:

Ivor Bear

The Times:

Ivor Bear

WEST COUNTRY:

Ivor Bear

1.05pm Hereford – Paul Fergusons Jumpers To Follow EBF “National Hunt” Novices’ Hurdle

Twelve line up for this Class 4 EBF novices’ hurdle qualifier over 2m 53y on Good ground, worth £5,991 to the winner. Governors Rock carries top weight of 11st 6lb, and four runners turn out again just 14 days after their last run.

  • Top weight: Governors Rock (form 100-19) carries 11st 6lb and wears a hood for the first time. Warren Greatrex and Caoilin Quinn are both flagged as Top Course trainer and jockey, and he has a distance win.
  • Hot jockey: Gavin Sheehan is 13/35 (37%) in the last 14 days and rides Moscow Star, second at 25-1 over 2m1f on good ground 25 days ago.
  • New yard: Thetype Istitle, a bumper winner for David Pipe and third on his hurdles debut, makes his first start for Tom Lacey (4/15, 27% in the last 14 days).
  • Quick returns: Dressed Overall, Jersey Tex, Unbelievable Jeff and Marias Joy all ran 14 days ago.
  • Long absence: Robin Blue Breast returns from a 547-day break.

13:05 Hereford

Paul Fergusons Jumpers To Follow EBF “National Hunt” Novices’ Hurdle (Qualifier) (GBB Race)

  • Going Good
  • Distance 2m 0f 53y
  • Class Class 4
  • Race Type Hurdle Turf
  • Surface Turf
  • Runners 12
Prize Money
  • 1st £5,991
  • 2nd £2,760
  • 3rd £1,379
  • 4th £691
SKY
Hereford

Runners: 12 runners

Type: Hurdle Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Mostly cloudy

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 13 tips Governors Rock uniform Governors Rock 20 days OUR TIP W: 11st 6lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: 131 Form: 100-19
GG Racing Score 89% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 4.5/10 Trainer 10/10 Course — Distance 10/10
2 Dressed Overall uniform Dressed Overall 14 days W: 11st 0lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: 73 Form: 7
GG Racing Score 50% Ability 3.3/10 Draw — Jockey 5.5/10 Trainer 5.5/10 Course — Distance 7.5/10
3 Jaunty Trooper uniform Jaunty Trooper 63 days W: 11st 0lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: — Form: U62
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 1.4/10 Trainer 9.1/10 Course — Distance 3/10
4 Jersey Tex uniform Jersey Tex 14 days W: 11st 0lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: 52 Form: 8P-7
GG Racing Score 47% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 7.7/10 Trainer 7.3/10 Course 7.5/10 Distance 5.5/10
5 Moscow Star uniform Moscow Star 25 days W: 11st 0lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: 117 Form: 554-02
GG Racing Score 65% Ability 8.3/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 5.5/10 Course — Distance 0.5/10
6 Sir Vinnie Kent uniform Sir Vinnie Kent 48 days W: 11st 0lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: — Form: PP
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 2.7/10 Trainer 2.7/10 Course — Distance —
7 Unbelievable Jeff uniform Unbelievable Jeff 14 days W: 11st 0lb Age: 4 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: — Form: 8
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 1.4/10 Trainer 5.5/10 Course — Distance 7.5/10
8 Valenciaga uniform Valenciaga 17 days W: 11st 0lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: 91 Form: 4279-5
GG Racing Score 29% Ability 5/10 Draw — Jockey 6.4/10 Trainer 0.5/10 Course 0/10 Distance 0.5/10
9 Bonnie Lazarevic uniform Bonnie Lazarevic 17 days W: 10st 7lb Age: 4 yo Filly
OR: — RPR: — Form: 7P
GG Racing Score 43% Ability — Draw — Jockey 3.6/10 Trainer 0.5/10 Course 7.5/10 Distance 5.5/10
10 1 tip Marias Joy uniform Marias Joy 14 days W: 10st 7lb Age: 5 yo Filly
OR: — RPR: 70 Form: 0/7-9
GG Racing Score 32% Ability 1.7/10 Draw — Jockey 7.7/10 Trainer 1.8/10 Course — Distance 3/10
11 Robin Blue Breast uniform Robin Blue Breast 547 days W: 10st 7lb Age: 6 yo Mare
OR: — RPR: — Form: 52/4-
GG Racing Score — Ability — Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 8.2/10 Course — Distance 3/10
12 Thetype Istitle uniform Thetype Istitle 53 days W: 10st 7lb Age: 4 yo Filly
OR: — RPR: 105 Form: 1793
GG Racing Score 70% Ability 6.7/10 Draw — Jockey 9.1/10 Trainer 3.6/10 Course — Distance 9/10

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

4/6 Governors Rock, 66/1 Dressed Overall, 6/1 Jaunty Trooper, 100/1 Jersey Tex, 5/2 Moscow Star, 200/1 Sir Vinnie Kent, 66/1 Unbelievable Jeff, 40/1 Valenciaga, 100/1 Bonnie Lazarevic, 100/1 Marias Joy, 16/1 Robin Blue Breast, 7/1 Thetype Istitle

Verdict

Plenty of these will need to take a firm step forward to get involved and it looks a good opportunity for GOVERNORS ROCK to defy his penalty. Moscow Star is open to further improvement and can chase the selection home, while Jaunty Trooper and Thetype Istitle aren’t ruled out.[Richard Russell]

Selections

D Express:

Governors Rock

Daily Mail:

Governors Rock

Daily Mirror:

Governors Rock

Daily Record:

Governors Rock

POSTDATA:

Governors Rock

RP RATINGS:

Governors Rock

SPOTLIGHT:

Governors Rock

TOPSPEED:

Governors Rock

Telegraph:

Governors Rock

The Guardian:

Governors Rock

The Star:

Governors Rock

The Sun:

Governors Rock

The Times:

Governors Rock

WEST COUNTRY:

Maria’s Joy

1.28pm Thurles – Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle

The richest race of the day. Seven go to post for this maiden hurdle over 2m6f 176y on Good ground, with €9,424 to the winner.

  • Ratings: Doctor Elvis is the highest rated at 117, 6lb clear of Zambezi Moon (111). Doctor Elvis has been runner-up four times (form 20-2P2).
  • Course record: Gordon Elliott and Jack Kennedy, who team up with Doctor Elvis, are both flagged as Top Course trainer and jockey.
  • Top weight: Zambezi Moon, a bumper winner, carries 11st 12lb and returns after 48 days.
  • First-time blinkers: Through The Storm wears blinkers for the first time.
  • Long absence: The Gooses Acre has not run for 206 days.

13:28 Thurles

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle

  • Going Good
  • Distance 2m 6f 176y
  • Class —
  • Race Type Hurdle Turf
  • Surface Turf
  • Runners 7
Prize Money
  • 1st €9,424
  • 2nd €3,024
  • 3rd €1,424
  • 4th €624
  • 5th €304
  • 6th €144
RTV
Thurles

Runners: 7 runners

Type: Hurdle Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Sunny

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 Zambezi Moon uniform Zambezi Moon 48 days W: 11st 12lb Age: 6 yo Gelding
OR: 111 RPR: 114 Form: 1-562
GG Racing Score 52% Ability 6.7/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer — Course — Distance 7.5/10
2 4 tips Doctor Elvis uniform Doctor Elvis 18 days OUR TIP W: 11st 4lb Age: 7 yo Gelding
OR: 117 RPR: 134 Form: 20-2P2
GG Racing Score 94% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 7.5/10 Course — Distance —
3 Go Mike Go uniform Go Mike Go 26 days W: 11st 4lb Age: 7 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: 94 Form: U/0P
GG Racing Score — Ability 1.7/10 Draw — Jockey — Trainer 5/10 Course — Distance —
4 Minella Maverick uniform Minella Maverick 21 days W: 11st 4lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: 84 Form: 07
GG Racing Score 30% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 7.5/10 Trainer 0/10 Course — Distance 7.5/10
5 The Gooses Acre uniform The Gooses Acre 206 days W: 11st 4lb Age: 6 yo Gelding
OR: 92 RPR: 116 Form: 4009P-
GG Racing Score 47% Ability 8.3/10 Draw — Jockey 3.8/10 Trainer 2.5/10 Course 5/10 Distance 0/10
6 Through The Storm uniform Through The Storm 50 days W: 11st 4lb Age: 5 yo Gelding
OR: — RPR: 101 Form: 46/805
GG Racing Score 59% Ability 5/10 Draw — Jockey 3.8/10 Trainer 10/10 Course — Distance —
7 Pacy Macie uniform Pacy Macie 54 days W: 10st 11lb Age: 5 yo Mare
OR: 83 RPR: 100 Form: 3657
GG Racing Score — Ability 3.3/10 Draw — Jockey — Trainer — Course — Distance —

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

5/2 Zambezi Moon, 30/100 Doctor Elvis, 50/1 Go Mike Go, 33/1 Minella Maverick, 25/1 The Gooses Acre, 16/1 Through The Storm, 25/1 Pacy Macie

Verdict

This should prove straightforward for DOCTOR ELVIS who has finished second in four of his eight starts over hurdles. He gets 8lb here from Zambezi Moon who is rated 6lb inferior and is the only conceivable danger on known form. [Alan Sweetman]

Selections

POSTDATA:

Doctor Elvis

RP RATINGS (IRE):

Doctor Elvis

SPOTLIGHT:

Doctor Elvis

The Irish Sun:

Doctor Elvis

2.38pm Thurles – Book Your Christmas Party Here On December 19th Mares Handicap Hurdle

Eleven mares contest this handicap hurdle over 2m4f on Good ground, worth €8,835 to the winner. The ratings run from 115 down to 98, and four of the field have won over the trip.

  • Ratings: Fratas tops the weights on 115 but returns from 106 days off and was beaten favourite last time.
  • Quick turnaround: Tir Og runs again 11 days after winning at Cork (form 704041) and is 6lb higher.
  • Distance winners: Theflyingbee, Tir Og, Jennyfromtheblock and Pure Logic have all won over this trip.
  • Beaten favourites: Fratas, Theflyingbee and Tutu Twist were all beaten favourites last time out.
  • Double handed: Joseph Patrick O’Brien, a Top Course Trainer here, runs Fratas and Shoda (111).

14:38 Thurles

Book Your Christmas Party Here On December 19th Mares Handicap Hurdle

  • Going Good
  • Distance 2m 4f 0y
  • Class —
  • Race Type Hurdle Turf
  • Surface Turf
  • Runners 11
Prize Money
  • 1st €8,835
  • 2nd €2,835
  • 3rd €1,335
  • 4th €585
  • 5th €285
  • 6th €135
RTV
Thurles

Runners: 11 runners

Type: Hurdle Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Sunny

Win% is implied from the betting forecast
1 Fratas uniform Fratas 106 days W: 11st 12lb Age: 6 yo Filly
OR: 115 RPR: 117 Form: 2/20-2
GG Racing Score 25% Ability 2.5/10 Draw — Jockey 1.3/10 Trainer 3.9/10 Course — Distance —
2 Theflyingbee uniform Theflyingbee 62 days W: 11st 11lb Age: 9 yo Mare
OR: 114 RPR: 120 Form: 3-2256
GG Racing Score — Ability 6/10 Draw — Jockey — Trainer — Course — Distance 6.7/10
3 1 tip Tir Og uniform Tir Og 11 days W: 11st 10lb Age: 5 yo Filly
OR: 113 RPR: 122 Form: 704041
GG Racing Score 66% Ability 7.5/10 Draw — Jockey — Trainer 7.8/10 Course 5/10 Distance 5/10
4 2 tips Shoda uniform Shoda 95 days OUR TIP W: 11st 8lb Age: 5 yo Filly
OR: 111 RPR: 125 Form: 397-81
GG Racing Score 79% Ability 10/10 Draw — Jockey 7.5/10 Trainer 3.9/10 Course — Distance —
5 Preparations uniform Preparations 125 days W: 11st 7lb Age: 5 yo Filly
OR: 110 RPR: 116 Form: 17/P
GG Racing Score 40% Ability 1/10 Draw — Jockey 5.6/10 Trainer 10/10 Course — Distance 2.5/10
6 Stepdance uniform Stepdance 42 days W: 11st 4lb Age: 6 yo Mare
OR: 107 RPR: 117 Form: 558-P7
GG Racing Score 45% Ability 2.5/10 Draw — Jockey 5.6/10 Trainer 6.7/10 Course 5/10 Distance —
7 Jennyfromtheblock uniform Jennyfromtheblock 26 days W: 11st 0lb Age: 6 yo Mare
OR: 103 RPR: 111 Form: F-51
GG Racing Score 42% Ability 0/10 Draw — Jockey 8.8/10 Trainer 2.2/10 Course — Distance 10/10
8 1 tip Tutu Twist uniform Tutu Twist 35 days W: 11st 0lb Age: 5 yo Mare
OR: 103 RPR: 122 Form: 33-22
GG Racing Score 41% Ability 7.5/10 Draw — Jockey 0/10 Trainer 5.6/10 Course — Distance 0/10
9 Crystabel uniform Crystabel 20 days W: 10st 13lb Age: 5 yo Filly
OR: 102 RPR: 119 Form: 135455
GG Racing Score 45% Ability 5/10 Draw — Jockey 10/10 Trainer 0/10 Course — Distance 2.5/10
10 Pure Logic uniform Pure Logic 42 days W: 10st 13lb Age: 6 yo Filly
OR: 102 RPR: 118 Form: P31236
GG Racing Score 42% Ability 4/10 Draw — Jockey 3.8/10 Trainer 1.1/10 Course — Distance 8.3/10
11 1 tip Mastertown Miss uniform Mastertown Miss 39 days W: 10st 8lb Age: 4 yo Filly
OR: 98 RPR: 123 Form: 28-443
GG Racing Score 74% Ability 9/10 Draw — Jockey 2.5/10 Trainer 8.9/10 Course — Distance —

Terms and conditions

*Odds displayed on this page are sourced directly from online bookmakers. Please check all details before placing your bet(s). 18+ only.

Betting Forecast

5/1 Fratas, 6/1 Theflyingbee, 9/2 Tir Og, 7/2 Shoda, 20/1 Preparations, 12/1 Stepdance, 8/1 Jennyfromtheblock, 5/1 Tutu Twist, 20/1 Crystabel, 8/1 Pure Logic, 10/1 Mastertown Miss

Verdict

Relative to Flat handicap ratings, SHODA is potentially better treated than stablemate Fratas and may take advantage. Tir Og returned to form with a Cork win and can make her presence felt again. Theflyingbee is a reliable mare and looked in fine shape on the Flat last time. [Alan Sweetman]

Selections

POSTDATA:

Tir Og

RP RATINGS (IRE):

Shoda

SPOTLIGHT:

Shoda

TOPSPEED:

Mastertown Miss

The Irish Sun:

Tutu Twist

Trainers and jockeys in form

These strike rates cover the last 14 days, and every name has runners in today’s featured races.

NameRoleLast 14 daysFeatured runners today
Charlie LongsdonTrainer6/14 (43%)Supreme Force (12.41pm Market Rasen)
Tom LaceyTrainer4/15 (27%)Thetype Istitle (1.05pm Hereford)
Gavin SheehanJockey13/35 (37%)Moscow Star (1.05pm Hereford)
Brian HughesJockey12/47 (26%)Supreme Force (12.41pm Market Rasen)
Danny McMenaminJockey8/33 (24%)Striking Midnight (12.41pm Market Rasen)
Sam Twiston-DaviesJockey10/46 (22%)Ivor Bear (12.41pm Market Rasen)

Key angles

  • Longsdon newcomer: Supreme Force combines the best trainer strike rate in the featured races (43%) with Brian Hughes on his rules debut.
  • Sheehan in form: Gavin Sheehan has the best jockey strike rate among the featured riders at 37%, and rides Moscow Star at Hereford.
  • Elliott at Thurles: Doctor Elvis is the top-rated runner in the day’s richest race, for a trainer and jockey both flagged as top performers at the course.
  • No C&D winners: None of today’s course-and-distance winners run in the four featured races.

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