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Andrew Mount's Best Bets - Thursday, 23rd March

Andrew Mount's Best Bets - Thursday, 23rd March

Top tipster Andrew Mount gives a couple of tips for Thursday’s racing, including a confident 1.5pt win selection at Ludlow.

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Posted: 5.35pm March 22nd (Odds correct at time of writing)

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3.10 Chepstow – ACHILLE (1pt win – 10/1 Bet365, 11/2 generally)

The most important ingredient in races over fences at Chepstow is early pace. Since racing resumed after COVID, front-runners have a 37 from 127 record in chases at this venue (29.1% strike-rate) for a profit of £120.70 to a £1 level stake at SP. Prominent racers (e.g. tracked/chased leader(s)) are 57 from 355 (16.1%, -£12.35), while hold-up horses have a shocking record, landing just 24 of their 460 starts (5.2%, -£306.70). Working out which horse is going to make the running is not always a case of just glancing at a pace map, as a change of distance, trainer, jockey, class or headgear, can effect things. There is no out-and-out pacesetter in this 3m6f handicap chase but the Venetia Williams-trained ACHILLE, better equipped than most of his rivals to handle the very deep ground, has made the running in the past and looks worth chancing at a big price in the hope that he’s given a prominent ride.

4.10 Ludlow – TIDE TIMES (1.5pt win – 9/1 generally)

TIDE TIMES pulled up after jumping poorly on his latest outing but that was in a big-field Class 2 handicap chase at Musselburgh, and he’ll be much happier back at his beloved Ludlow on Wednesday when he drops a notch in grade to contest and faces just a handful of rivals. His full course record reads 1121 (3-4), with the runner-up effort at 11-1.


Andrew Mount’s Best Bets

3.10 Chepstow – ACHILLE (1pt win – 10/1 Bet365, 11/2 generally)

4.10 Ludlow – TIDE TIMES (1.5pt win – 9/1 generally)