Top Tipster Andrew Mount gives a tip for Tuesday’s Lingfield card, plus one ante-post selection for next week’s Cheltenham Festival.
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Posted: 11.58am March 6th (Odds correct at time of writing)
Posted: 5.35pm March 6th (Dashing To You prices added)
2.15 Lingfield – DASHING TO YOU (1pt E/W – 20/1 Bet365, 14/1 generally)
DASHING TO YOU looked ill at ease on Southwell’s Tapeta on his latest outing, trailing home ninth of the 12 runners. The market is likely to overreact to that effort and he’s worth a bet to overcome his wide draw in this 1m2f handicap. The likely strong pace will suit this hold-up performer and he’s caught the eye in both course outings, finishing a 22-1 fifth of 11 (beaten by a length and a half after being hampered at the start) and a half-length 16-1 third when best of those ridden patiently.
ANTE-POST – Cheltenham Festival Tip
4.50 Cheltenham (Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle – Tuesday 14th March) – METAMORPHEUS (1.5pt e/w – 33/1 Bet365, 25/1 generally)
Since 2011, had we simply bet all Fred Winter runners who finished fourth or worse in their prep race we’d have found seven winners from 77 bets and made a huge profit of £183.00 to a £1 level stake at SP. Patient tactics are also an asset in a race usually run at a strong gallop and the Paul Nolan-trained METAMORPHEUS fits the bill.
His trainer rarely wastes ammunition in Cheltenham festival handicaps, sending out two winners (20-1 and 12-1) from 18 runners for a profit of £16.00 to a £1 level stake at SP. The beaten horses included a 33-1 runner-up, 11-2 third, 8-1 fourth, two fifths (11-1 and 8-1) and a pair of sixths (100-1 and 7-1), which equates to a 50% each-way strike-rate if you were able to take advantage of enhanced place terms. He caught the eye when a tenderly-handled five-length fifth to Sir Allen (just 9-1 for this race) on last month’s stable debut and is worth an early punt at 25-1+ non-runner no bet.
Andrew Mount’s Best Bets
2.15 Lingfield – DASHING TO YOU (1pt E/W – 20/1 Bet365, 14/1 generally)
ANTE POST TIP
4.50 Cheltenham (Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle – Tuesday 14th March) – METAMORPHEUS (1.5pt e/w – 33/1 Bet365, 25/1 generally)