Top tipster Andrew Mount starts the new week with four bets at Nottingham, Ayr, Windsor and Ripon
QUOTELINE DIRECT (1.20 Nottingham, 1pt each-way 7/1)
QUOTELINE DIRECT is on a long losing run but can usually be relied upon to give his running at this time of year. HIs full record in the month of July reads 17101127443 (4-11) and he’ll appreciate the cut back to 1m2f after failing to stay 1m4f when a respectable third at Ripon last time.
He fared best of the hold-up horses that day and, with a huge field for this amateur riders’ contest, should have the race run to suit.
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HARD SOLUTION (1.35 Ayr, 1pt win 4/1)
HARD SOLUTION’s eight wins have come in fields of ten or more runners, the last four of them over 6f, and he was unsuited by the small field/steady pace when third of six behind Alsvinder over 5f here yesterday.
The overnight rain isn’t ideal but he’s won on good to soft before and I’d be surprised if he didn’t reverse yesterday’s form with the winner. Hard Solution is seven from 20 in fields of ten plus after a very recent outing (within ten days) for a profit of £44.70 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those figures improve to seven from 14 from May to September.
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FLIP MODE (6.15 Windsor, 1pt win 10/1)
FLIP MODE took advantage of the stands’ rail bias when scoring over 5f on soft ground at Chepstow in late April and was also drawn high (stall 9 of 9) when following up over the same course and distance on good ground.
He was on the receiving end of the bias when bidding for a hat-trick at the same venue but did well to finish fourth after challenging wide on the good to firm going. Tonight’s slower ground will suit and he has a useful draw if they go across to the far side.
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LITTLE MISS DYNAMO (6.30 Ripon, 1.5pts win 12/1)
LITTLE MISS DYNAMO was sent off as the 100-30 favourite for her debut in a 5f maiden here last month but missed the break, ran green and had to settle for and eight-and-a-half length fifth. Ripon is a very tricky track for juveniles, especially newcomers, and that course experience will be invaluable here.
Had we bet any second-time out two-year-olds at Ripon, who debuted at the same venue, we would have won 15 of our 93 bets this century (16.1% strike-rate) and made a profit of £24.55 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those who were beaten under ten lengths on their debuts were 15 from 58 (25.9%) for a profit of £59.55. Jane Elliott is riding well and double-figure quotes look generous.
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Today’s Best Bets
QUOTELINE DIRECT (1.20 Nottingham, 1pt each-way 7/1 in a place, 13-2 generally)
HARD SOLUTION (1.35 Ayr, 1pt win 4/1)
FLIP MODE (6.15 Windsor, 1pt win 10/1)
LITTLE MISS DYNAMO (6.30 Ripon, 1.5pts win 12/1 bet365)
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