In his latest column, Andrew takes a look ahead to Ayr’s Western meeting…
Friday
1.20 – Ladbrokes “Bet £5 Get £30 New Customer Offer” Fillies’ Nursery Handicap
Prep race
This 7f fillies’ nursery has only been part of the Ayr card for the last four years, but all winners prepped in non-handicap company…

…whereas those who ran in another nursery last time out were 0-16…

1.55 – Get Home Safe With Thistle Cabs EBF Nursery Handicap
Weight rank
The top two weights have fared poorly, failing to register a win in the 15 runnings since 2010…

2.30 – British EBF Stallions Harry Roseberry Stakes (Listed race)
Horse sex
Fillies have fared well in the last ten renewals of this two-year-old Listed contest…

Days since last run
Five of the last ten winners had raced within the past fortnight and backing all 28 qualifiers returned a profit of £17.00 to a £1 level stake at SP (+£25.12 at Betfair SP after 2% commission)…

3.05 – Arran Scottish Sprint EBF Fillies’ Stakes (Listed race)
Those who prepped in Class 3 or lower company had a poor record across the eight previous runnings…

3.40 – Ladbrokes Ayr Bronze Cup Handicap (Class 2)
Horse sex
The last ten winners were geldings…

…fillies, mares and colts had a combined record of 0-30.
Running style
Seven of the ten winners came from off the pace, three winners raced prominently and front-runners were 0-18…

Prep race
Those who ran in Class 5 or lower company last time out fared poorly…

SATURDAY
1.55 – Ladbrokes “Get Racing Bet Builder Winning Boosts” Doonside Cup Stakes (Listed Race)
Trainers
Andrew Balding has sent out three winners (9-2, 9-2 and 13-8) and two seconds (18-1 and 3-1) from seven runners in this race (the others finished fourth at 25-1 and sixth at 85-40).
Prep race
Those who prepped in handicap company were just one from 28…

2.30 – Ladbrokes Ayr Silver Cup Handicap (Class 2)
Prep race
The last 14 winners all prepped in another Class 2 handicap and backing the 189 qualifiers returned a profit of £30.00 at SP…

Those who didn’t prep in Class 2 company were 0-153 in the study period…

…against an expected winners score of 5.23. Last year, this angle ruled out nine runners but in the previous three years it was 15, 18 and 16 runners.
3.40 – Ladbrokes Ayr Gold Cup (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2)
Draw
Runners drawn 1-5 have struggled in the past ten renewals at Ayr…


