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Chepstow Racing Tips & Predictions - Thursday 16th July 2026

Chepstow Racing Tips & Predictions - Thursday 16th July 2026

Our Chepstow racing tips cover all 7 races on the card today, Thursday 16th July 2026. The action gets underway at 14:05 and runs through to 17:30, with going reported as GOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick 7.9) (Watering).

A few names jump off the page from a course-form perspective. Ajrad boasts a 33.33% strike rate from 9 runs at the track, Rossa Ryan has been in fine form here with 41 wins from 198 rides, James Owen’s yard sends out runners with a 30.43% strike rate at this venue. Below you’ll find race-by-race breakdowns with our top selections, live odds and tipster picks.

Tipster Performance at Chepstow

Here’s how the leading tipsters have fared at Chepstow over the last two years (minimum 10 selections):

TipsterSourceSelectionsWinsWin %Place %
MercuryDaily Post13753.85%84.62%
The Brigadierpunterslounge.com14642.86%78.57%
Tipman Tipstipmantips.com10440%80%
MoorestyleDaily Star Sunday12433.33%66.67%
ComputeformThe Racing App10330%80%

14:05 – togetheragainfestival.co.uk Maiden Fillies’ Stakes (GBB Race)

Race Details: 1m | Class 4 | Going: GOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick 7.9) (Watering) | | flat

This won’t take much solving on paper, with just three runners and a pretty clear split between the two principals and the outsider. Lyrics Of Life brings the strongest body of form and the highest mark, while Quisana has shown enough in three starts to make this more than a walkover if she improves again. Fallen Logic was well beaten on debut and looks badly up against it on both form and rating. In a race lacking depth, it may simply come down to which of the front two handles this sharp mile and quick ground best. Even so, Lyrics Of Life sets a solid standard and this doesn’t look an especially deep maiden for the grade.

Top Selections

1. Lyrics Of Life – 4/5 with William Hill

Jockey: Joe Leavy | Trainer: Brian Meehan | Form: 25-230 | Rating: 94 | Topspeed: 72

She’s had a few chances, but this is comfortably the strongest form on offer in a race of this shape. A mark of 94 towers over her two rivals, and her figures suggest she has been keeping better company than this. The latest duck egg is a slight blot, but one poor run doesn’t erase the earlier evidence, particularly in a three-runner maiden where class can count for plenty. Brian Meehan’s filly should be able to dictate or sit handy, and Joe Leavy has the straightforward task of keeping it simple. At 4/5 she isn’t a gift, but she is still the one they all have to beat. Bet: WIN

Bet: WIN

Betting Strategy

Keep it simple in a three-runner race: Lyrics Of Life is the win bet and the only sensible play. There’s no each-way angle in a field this small, and Fallen Logic looks out of her depth. Quisana is the obvious danger if taking another step forward, but the proven standard belongs to the selection.

Live Odds Comparison

HorseBet365BetfairPaddy PowerSky BetWilliam HillBest
Fallen Logic50/166/180/166/166/180/1 (Paddy Power)
Lyrics Of Life8/118/118/118/114/54/5 (William Hill)
Quisana11/104/55/64/51/111/10 (Bet365)

Tipster Selections

TipsterSelection
Sam HardyLyrics Of Life

14:40 – LSL Racing Horse Sales Syndication Leasing Apprentice Handicap

Race Details: 5f | Class 5 | Going: GOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick 7.9) (Watering) | | flat

This may only be a five-runner sprint, but it is not lacking in depth at the top of the market. Punchbowl Flyer arrives on the back of successive wins and has clearly hit a productive spell for John O’Shea, while Savannah Smiles also comes here after getting the job done last time and looks an obvious danger from a handy middle draw. Dragon God is consistent enough and gets in lighter than the two principals, so he should keep them honest if this turns tactical. So Smart usually runs his race without quite getting his head in front, and River Edge has a bit to prove after limited recent evidence. It is not a deep Class 5 by any means, but the front two in the betting do set a fair standard.

Top Selections

1. Punchbowl Flyer – 2/1 with Bet365

Jockey: Alexandra Egan | Trainer: John O’Shea | Form: 870211 | Rating: 73 | Topspeed: 64

Punchbowl Flyer is hard to oppose in a race of this nature. The old boy has rolled back the years with a pair of wins, and that latest form line suggests he is thriving rather than merely clinging on. He has the best Topspeed figure in the field, a narrow edge on official ratings, and stall 1 could be a real asset over this sharp 5f if Alexandra Egan gets him out and into a rhythm early. In a small field, proven recent sharpness counts for plenty, and at 2/1 with Bet365 he still makes plenty of appeal despite the obvious claims of Savannah Smiles. Bet: WIN

Betting Strategy

Keep it simple in this five-runner race: Punchbowl Flyer is the win bet. He comes here in better recent nick than anything else and has the speed figures to back it up. Savannah Smiles is the main danger after her latest success, while Dragon God looks the one most likely to capitalise if the front pair underperform.

Live Odds Comparison

HorseBet365BetfairPaddy PowerSky BetWilliam HillBest
Punchbowl Flyer2/17/415/87/42/12/1 (Bet365)
Savannah Smiles9/47/415/87/42/19/4 (Bet365)
So Smart6/113/213/213/213/213/2 (Betfair)
Dragon God10/33/13/13/13/110/3 (Bet365)
River Edge17/210/110/110/19/110/1 (Betfair)

Tipster Selections

TipsterSelection
racing-daily.comPunchbowl Flyer
Robin GoodfellowSavannah Smiles
RockavonSavannah Smiles

15:15 – EBF / UB40 ft. Ali Campbell 24th July Restricted Novice (Bands B/C/D) (EBF Restricted Qual’) (GBB)

Race Details: 5f | Class 4 | Going: GOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick 7.9) (Watering) | | flat

This looks a fair restricted novice rather than a deep one, and the market has probably latched onto the right pair. Blondie Larry sets the standard on bare form after finishing second on his latest start and his 81 rating is the standout figure in the field, while Amber Ocean also brings solid placed form and gets in with less weight. Chilli is interesting lower down the weights, especially with a Topspeed of 69 already on the board, and that gives her each-way appeal in a race where a few of these still have something to prove. Percy Shaw and Chianti have bits of form but need a fair step forward, while the bigger-priced runners look up against it. In truth, this is more about who improves rather than a rock-solid piece of juvenile form.

Top Selections

1. Blondie Larry – 13/8 with Bet365

Jockey: Saffie Osborne | Trainer: Jamie Osborne | Form: 52 | Rating: 81 | Topspeed: 63

Blondie Larry is the obvious one to beat and, unlike plenty in here, he has already put down a proper marker. That second last time reads well in the context of this race and his mark of 81 puts him clear of the opposition on official figures. Drawn in stall 2, he should be able to get a handy position over this sharp 5f, which matters around Chepstow when juveniles can get unbalanced under pressure. Jamie Osborne’s youngster looks the one with the strongest claims if reproducing that latest effort, and 13/8 is short enough without being cramped in a race lacking depth. Bet: WIN

Bet: WIN

2. Chilli – 13/2 with Bet365

Jockey: Charles Bishop | Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton | Form: 48 | Rating: 74 | Topspeed: 69

Chilli makes more appeal than the bare finishing positions suggest. Her rating of 74 is perfectly workable in this company and that Topspeed figure of 69 is actually a smart number for a race of this nature, especially for one carrying only 125lb. She hasn’t put it all together yet, but there is enough in the profile to think she can be sharper for experience and this quicker ground should suit a filly with some pace. Eve Johnson Houghton’s juveniles often come forward with racing, and at 13/2 she looks the value alternative to the front two in the betting. Bet: EACH-WAY

Bet: EACH-WAY

Betting Strategy

Blondie Larry is the straight win play because he has the strongest form and the best rating in the line-up. For an each-way punt, Chilli appeals at the prices thanks to her lighter weight and solid Topspeed figure. Amber Ocean is the main danger if building on that debut second, but she looks a shade tighter in the market than I’d like.

Live Odds Comparison

HorseBet365BetfairPaddy PowerSky BetWilliam HillBest
Blondie Larry13/811/86/411/86/413/8 (Bet365)
Norham16/116/116/116/116/116/1 (Bet365)
Percy Shaw9/111/112/111/111/112/1 (Paddy Power)
Cash Flow Boy50/170/180/166/166/180/1 (Paddy Power)
Chianti11/17/17/17/117/211/1 (Bet365)
Amber Ocean2/17/47/47/415/82/1 (Bet365)
Secret Rival17/212/114/112/111/114/1 (Paddy Power)
Hailstones In May100/1100/1100/1100/1100/1100/1 (Bet365)
Chilli13/211/26/111/26/113/2 (Bet365)

Tipster Selections

TipsterSelection
Jeffrey RossBlondie Larry

15:50 – Fairplay Daily Price Boosts Handicap

Race Details: 1m | Class 5 | Going: GOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick 7.9) (Watering) | | flat

This small but interesting 1m handicap revolves around whether Stenmark is as solid as the market suggests. He brings the strongest official mark and arrives off a close second, so the case is obvious, but he does have to concede weight all round in a race where a few rivals are well treated if things fall right. Dappled Light has been thriving in lower grades and looks the chief threat after a productive spell, while Rating and Kodi Fire are the two at bigger prices who could outrun the market if the pace lifts. It is not a deep race for the grade, but it is not a gimme for the favourite either, especially on quick ground where tactical positioning over this mile can matter plenty.

Top Selections

1. Stenmark – 11/10 with Bet365

Jockey: Rossa Ryan | Trainer: Gihan Arnolda | Form: -55382 | Rating: 89 | Topspeed: 62

Stenmark is short enough, but he is still the percentage call. That latest second suggests he is knocking firmly on the door, and in a six-runner Class 5 he sets the standard on official figures from a mark of 89. Rossa Ryan is exactly the sort you want in a tactical race like this, and from stall 4 he should get a clean enough trip without needing much luck. There is a slight concern about giving weight away to race-fit rivals lower down the handicap, but this does not look the deepest contest and he holds the strongest claims if reproducing his latest effort. At around 11/10, he is hard to oppose rather than impossible to beat. Bet: WIN

Bet: WIN

2. Kodi Fire – 18/1 with Paddy Power

Jockey: Jason Watson | Trainer: Charles Hills | Form: 50-584 | Rating: 86 | Topspeed: 71

Kodi Fire is the one that makes some each-way appeal at the prices. His recent form figures do not leap off the page, but that topspeed figure of 71 is the best in the field and hints that the raw ability is still there if things click. He is also fairly treated on 86 and gets in here with only 128, which makes him interesting against a favourite lumbered with top weight. Draw 1 could be a help if Jason Watson can hold a handy spot and make this more of a speed test. At 18/1, you are not asking him to be bombproof; just competitive, and that looks more than possible in this modest little handicap. Bet: EACH-WAY

Bet: EACH-WAY

Betting Strategy

Stenmark is the straightforward win play and the one most likely to get the job done if running to his mark. For a bit more value, Kodi Fire is the each-way punt in a race lacking depth behind the principals. Dappled Light is the obvious danger after his recent revival, while Rating is not entirely dismissed from a low weight.

Live Odds Comparison

HorseBet365BetfairPaddy PowerSky BetWilliam HillBest
Stenmark11/101/11/11/11/111/10 (Bet365)
Echalar9/29/29/29/29/29/2 (Bet365)
Penelope Valentine10/112/112/112/111/112/1 (Betfair)
Kodi Fire14/116/118/118/114/118/1 (Paddy Power)
Dappled Light10/35/211/411/43/110/3 (Bet365)
Rating9/117/29/19/19/19/1 (Bet365)

16:25 – Bet Now With fairplaybet.co.uk Handicap

Race Details: 7f | Class 6 | Going: GOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick 7.9) (Watering) | | flat

This is the sort of low-grade 7f handicap that looks straightforward at first glance and then gets messy the longer you study it. Tomarlo arrives off a win and is the obvious one for the market to latch onto, while Autumn Angel and Ravenglass bring solid, repeatable recent form and look sure to be in the thick of it again. Romanovich has the draw and a handy profile for Chepstow, and Scarfo is interesting now he’s found some form, despite a wide berth. With two non-runners already out, the shape of the race matters a bit more, and on quick ground I’d want something proven to travel and finish rather than a horse who merely keeps plugging on. It’s not a strong Class 6 by any means, but it is a competitive little puzzle.

Top Selections

1. Autumn Angel – 5/1 with Bet365

Jockey: Rossa Ryan | Trainer: Tony Carroll | Form: 371422 | Rating: 68 | Topspeed: 58

Autumn Angel is doing very little wrong at present and, in a race full of unreliable types, that counts for plenty. She’s been knocking on the door with figures of 1422 since the win, and that Topspeed mark of 58 is one of the better pieces of recent evidence on offer here. Tony Carroll’s mare tends to put herself in the race and keep finding, which is exactly what you want in this grade, and the booking of Rossa Ryan only adds to the appeal. At 5/1 she makes more appeal than the shorter Tomarlo, because her form looks sturdier and she’s less of a leap of faith. Bet: WIN

2. Romanovich – 10/1 with Betfair

Jockey: William Carson | Trainer: John O’Shea | Form: 516357 | Rating: 70 | Topspeed: 56

Romanovich is not the easiest horse to catch right, but there’s enough here to make him a perfectly fair each-way play. He’s got a good inside draw in stall 1, a workable racing weight, and his Topspeed figure of 56 says he retains enough ability to land a race of this nature. The recent form is a touch mixed, but he hasn’t been operating miles below his best and this is not a deep contest for the grade. John O’Shea’s runner can go well when things drop right tactically, and from this berth he should get every chance to save ground and pounce late. Around 10/1, he looks the value each-way against more obvious rivals. Bet: EACH-WAY

Betting Strategy

Autumn Angel is the solid win play in a race where consistency is thin on the ground. Romanovich is the each-way punt at double-figure odds, especially with four places on offer. Tomarlo is the obvious danger after getting off the mark last time, while Ravenglass also has claims if building on that latest second. Don’t go mad stakes-wise in a race like this.

Live Odds Comparison

HorseBet365BetfairPaddy PowerSky BetWilliam HillBest
Tomarlo9/47/47/47/42/19/4 (Bet365)
Ten Club16/116/116/116/116/116/1 (Bet365)
Green Icon20/118/118/118/118/120/1 (Bet365)
Ajrad10/117/217/28/19/110/1 (Bet365)
Too Much Trevor9/110/110/110/110/110/1 (Betfair)
Romanovich9/110/110/110/110/110/1 (Betfair)
Autumn Angel5/19/25/15/15/15/1 (Bet365)
Ravenglass13/211/211/211/26/113/2 (Bet365)
King Of The Dance8/17/17/17/115/28/1 (Bet365)
Scarfo17/217/29/19/19/19/1 (Paddy Power)
Weston Court12/114/112/114/112/114/1 (Betfair)
Poet125/1125/1125/1125/1125/1125/1 (Bet365)

Tipster Selections

TipsterSelection
Ross ShepherdAutumn Angel
Sunday ExpressRavenglass
The DukeTomarlo

17:00 – DragonBet Welsh Racing Festival 9TH-11th Ooctober Handicap

Race Details: 6f | Class 5 | Going: GOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick 7.9) (Watering) | | flat

This looks a tight little sprint rather than a deep one, and there are a few with obvious chances if things fall right. Serenity Dream arrives on the back of a solid second and has the inside draw to work with, so it is easy to see why he heads the market. Be An Angel comes here after getting off the mark for the year and is interesting off a low weight despite being widest of all in stall 8. Some Nightmare is the old rogue in the line-up but he has been knocking on the door, while Magna is respected despite a below-par latest run. In truth, it is not a race packed with lurking improvers, so current sharpness and track position could decide it. Tricky enough, but not impossible to solve.

Top Selections

1. Serenity Dream – 9/4 with Bet365

Jockey: Billy Loughnane | Trainer: Tony Carroll | Form: 638562 | Rating: 79 | Topspeed: 70

Serenity Dream makes plenty of appeal in a race where few arrive with stronger recent credentials. That latest second was another reminder that he is holding his form well, and from stall 1 he should get the sort of economical run that matters in these sharp 6f handicaps. Tony Carroll also fields Magna, but this one looks the yard’s more solid option on current evidence. His figures are consistent, his mark looks workable, and a topspeed of 70 stacks up well enough in this company. At 9/4 he is no giveaway, but he is the one with the fewest questions to answer and looks the percentage call.

Bet: WIN

2. Some Nightmare – 6/1 with Paddy Power

Jockey: Luke Morris | Trainer: John O’Shea | Form: 843543 | Rating: 78 | Topspeed: 61

Some Nightmare is not getting any younger at nine, but he has been running well enough to think he can nick a place again and possibly more if the race drops right. The recent sequence of 843543 does not scream winner, yet it does show a horse holding his level and staying competitive, and his low weight is no bad thing in a contest where margins should be fine. Luke Morris is the sort you want aboard in these sprint handicaps, especially on a battle-hardened type who knows the job. At 6/1, he looks the value each-way against a favourite who is solid rather than bombproof.

Bet: EACH-WAY

Betting Strategy

Serenity Dream is the straightforward win play: solid recent form, a handy draw and the most convincing overall profile in the field. For an each-way punt, Some Nightmare makes more appeal than the similarly priced alternatives because he keeps running his race and carries a light weight. Be An Angel is the obvious danger after that latest win, while Magna is not one to dismiss if bouncing back.

Live Odds Comparison

HorseBet365BetfairPaddy PowerSky BetWilliam HillBest
Serenity Dream9/47/415/815/82/19/4 (Bet365)
Magna8/111/111/111/110/111/1 (Betfair)
Zoulu Warrior10/117/29/19/19/110/1 (Bet365)
Vape33/140/150/150/140/150/1 (Paddy Power)
Be An Angel3/15/211/411/43/13/1 (Bet365)
Some Nightmare11/211/26/111/211/26/1 (Paddy Power)
Outer Edge10/113/213/213/215/210/1 (Bet365)

Tipster Selections

TipsterSelection
Garry OwenBe An Angel
talkSPORT 2Magna
FarringdonSerenity Dream

17:30 – Chepstow Family Fun Day 31st August Handicap

Race Details: 1m 2f | Class 6 | Going: GOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick 7.9) (Watering) | | flat

This four-runner finale won’t take much solving on paper, but it still has a bit of shape to it. Bumaan is the obvious one after finishing second on handicap debut and, in a race lacking depth, he makes plenty of appeal from a handy low draw under Billy Loughnane. Electric Bass sets the standard on official figures and has been knocking on the door, though he is starting to look a little vulnerable to something less exposed. Aravalli arrives off the back of a breakthrough win and clearly comes here in better heart, while Time After Time has gone the wrong way since returning this year. In truth, it’s not a strong Class 6, and the one with the most upside should be the one to beat.

Top Selections

1. Bumaan – 5/4 with Bet365

Jockey: Billy Loughnane | Trainer: George Boughey | Form: 5692 | Rating: 62 | Topspeed:

Bumaan looks the percentage call in a race where exposed form only gets you so far. He took a clear step forward when runner-up last time, and that was his first go in a handicap, so there is every chance there’s a bit more to come now he steps into this modest Class 6 company. George Boughey’s 3-year-old gets weight from the older pair, has stall 1, and Billy Loughnane is exactly the sort you want in a tactical four-runner race. At 5/4 he is no giveaway, but he still makes plenty of sense against rivals who have shown their hand more fully. Bet: WIN

Betting Strategy

Keep it simple in a four-runner race: Bumaan is the win bet and the only play. Each-way betting is pointless with just one place on offer. Electric Bass is the obvious danger on ratings and consistency, while Aravalli has to be respected after finally getting his head in front, but Bumaan is the one with scope to improve past them.

Live Odds Comparison

HorseBet365BetfairPaddy PowerSky BetWilliam HillBest
Aravalli3/15/25/29/411/43/1 (Bet365)
Time After Time5/14/14/14/19/25/1 (Bet365)
Electric Bass10/310/37/27/27/27/2 (Paddy Power)
Bumaan5/411/106/511/105/45/4 (Bet365)

Tipster Selections

TipsterSelection
West CountryAravalli
Luke TuckerBumaan

Chepstow Course Specialists

Horses To Note

The top course performers among today’s runners:

HorseRunsWinsWin %Place %
Ajrad9333.33%66.67%
Outer Edge3133.33%33.33%
Punchbowl Flyer10330%70%
Romanovich14428.57%35.71%
Some Nightmare24625%37.5%

Jockeys To Note

The pilots with the strongest records at the course:

JockeyRidesWinsWin %Place %
Rossa Ryan1984120.71%43.94%
Saffie Osborne831720.48%44.58%
Charlie Tucker5120%60%
Billy Loughnane541018.52%35.19%
Joe Leavy55814.55%36.36%

Trainers To Note

Yards that have done well at Chepstow:

TrainerRunnersWinsWin %Place %
James Owen23730.43%43.48%
George Boughey29724.14%51.72%
Heather Main31722.58%41.94%
Jamie Osborne481020.83%39.58%
Eve Johnson Houghton2014120.4%44.78%

Summary & Best Bets

That wraps up our Chepstow racing tips for Thursday 16th July 2026. We’ve covered all 7 races with our top selections highlighted above. Use the betting strategies as a starting point, always shop around for the best odds, and never bet more than you can afford to lose.

FAQ

What time does racing start at Chepstow today?

The first race at Chepstow on Thursday 16th July 2026 goes off at 14:05, with 7 races scheduled in total.

What is the going at Chepstow today?

The going at Chepstow is reported as GOOD TO FIRM (GoingStick 7.9) (Watering).

How many races are at Chepstow today?

There are 7 races on the card at Chepstow today, running from 14:05 through to 17:30.

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