The GG Hot List checks every runner in Britain and Ireland against five signals: market support, independent naps, course form, trainer form and the jockey’s record at the course. Today’s leader is Disco Annie in the 15:02 at Carlisle, the biggest market move among ten qualifiers. The price has shortened from 7/1 to 2/1 with 20 of 23 bookmakers cutting, the mare has won two of her six starts at the course, and Jonathan England has ridden 17 winners from 90 rides there since 2010. Three runners reach three signals today.
How the GG Hot List works
A runner needs at least two of the five signals below, and at least one of them must be market support or naps. That way, everything on the list has attracted attention today.
- Market: the median bookmaker price at least 30% shorter, with ten or more bookmakers cutting by 20% or more.
- Naps: two current naps, or one from a tipster with a top-three nap record over the past 28 days.
- Course: at least two wins at today’s course, with a strike rate of 25% or better there.
- Trainer: 25% winners or better from at least ten runners over the previous 14 days.
- Jockey: a strike rate of 18% or better from at least 50 rides at the course.
Runners whose price has drifted since it opened are left out. The list is ranked by number of signals, then market move, then number of naps. It contains no more than ten runners, the thresholds are not lowered on a quiet day, and non-runners are excluded before publication. Eleven runners qualify today, so the cap trims the list to ten, and Apollon Forlonge, who ranks last of the eleven, misses out. BGTips.co.uk, Computeform and Lambourn are the top-three nap tipsters over the past 28 days, with no ties for those places, and Emid’io Pepe qualifies on that basis. Course and jockey records come from our database, which covers races from 1 January 2010, so they show records since then rather than full careers.
Today’s Hot List
| No. | Horse | Race | Signals | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Disco Annie | 15:02 Carlisle | Backed / Course / Jockey | 7/1 to 2/1 · 2 wins from 6 at course · England 17 from 90 |
| 2 | Sunshine Diamond | 13:40 Stratford | Backed / Trainer / Jockey | 10/3 to 15/8 · Mulholland 6 winners from 23 in 14 days · Bowen 53 from 236 |
| 3 | Poets Whisper | 12:20 Carlisle | Napped / Trainer / Jockey | 2 naps · Richards 4 winners from 12 in 14 days · McMenamin 42 from 230 |
| 4 | Madame La Papillon | 14:27 Carlisle | Backed / Napped | 5/1 to 9/4 · 3 naps |
| 5 | Gaelic Glow | 14:27 Carlisle | Backed / Jockey | 6/1 to 3/1 · England 17 from 90 |
| 6 | She Is For Me Boys | 14:50 Stratford | Backed / Trainer | 6/1 to 10/3 · Snowden 8 winners from 23 in 14 days |
| 7 | Emid’io Pepe | 12:40 Stratford | Napped / Jockey | BGTips.co.uk nap · Skelton 75 from 297 |
| 8 | Eastern Fire | 13:10 Stratford | Napped / Jockey | 3 naps · Skelton 75 from 297 |
| 9 | Major Fortune | 13:40 Stratford | Napped / Jockey | 10 naps · Skelton 75 from 297 |
| 10 | Lune Brillante | 14:15 Stratford | Napped / Jockey | 2 naps · Skelton 75 from 297 |
What our expert thinks
GG racing writer Billy Grimshaw picks out She Is For Me Boys from today’s list, his choice rather than the list topper:
“She Is For Me Boys is my pick from the list. She’s the top-rated runner in a six-runner mares’ chase on 138, a pound clear of Bobbi’s Beauty, and she’s been backed from 6/1 to 10/3 with 19 of 23 bookmakers cutting. Jamie Snowden’s yard is in good form too, with eight winners from 23 runners in the past fortnight. She’s been in the first four in all five runs on her form line, and one of them was a win, so I don’t think she needs to improve to go close. At 10/3 I’m happy to take the market’s side.”
Billy Grimshaw, GG
1. Disco Annie · 15:02 Carlisle
Disco Annie has been backed from 7/1 to 2/1 for the Great Gable Mares’ Handicap Chase, a Queen Boudicca Mares’ Chase Series qualifier over two miles three furlongs and 210 yards, with 20 of 23 bookmakers cutting, the biggest market move on the list. The eight-year-old mare has won two of her six starts at Carlisle, a 33% strike rate, and Jonathan England has ridden 17 winners from 90 rides at the course since 2010, a 19% strike rate. Sam England trains. Disco Annie carries 11st 0lb and is the top-rated of the seven declared on 116, a pound ahead of Kientzheim on 115.
2. Sunshine Diamond · 13:40 Stratford
Sunshine Diamond has been cut from 10/3 to 15/8 for the Jumps Look Better On Racing TV Handicap Chase over two miles six furlongs and 125 yards, with 19 of 23 bookmakers cutting. Neil Mulholland has had 6 winners from 23 runners over the past 14 days, a 26% strike rate, and Sean Bowen has ridden 53 winners from 236 rides at Stratford since 2010, a 22% strike rate. The seven-year-old gelding carries 11st 5lb and is rated 133, level with Glen To Glen and Sheldon at the top of the eight-runner field. Postdata in the Racing Post also names him as a nap.
3. Poets Whisper · 12:20 Carlisle
Poets Whisper is napped by John Arnold at the Norwich Evening News and Dean Kilbryde at the East Anglian Daily Times for the Racing TV Maiden Hurdle, a Go North Night Nurse Series qualifier over two miles one furlong and 33 yards. The market has been steadier, with the price shortening from 6/4 to 5/4 and only 2 of 23 bookmakers cutting by 20%. Nicky Richards has had 4 winners from 12 runners over the past 14 days, a 33% strike rate, and Danny McMenamin has ridden 42 winners from 230 rides at Carlisle since 2010, an 18% strike rate. The five-year-old gelding won his only previous start and carries 11st 4lb. He has no official rating yet, and Tyson Fury tops the 15-runner field on 126.
4. Madame La Papillon · 14:27 Carlisle
Madame La Papillon has been cut from 5/1 to 9/4 for the Christmas Community Raceday 13th December Handicap Hurdle, a Go North Sea Pigeon Series qualifier over two miles one furlong and 33 yards, with 20 of 23 bookmakers cutting. She has three naps, from Karl Hedley at the Irish Post, Rory Delargy at The Irish Field and sportinglife.com. The six-year-old mare carries 11st 12lb and is rated 108, with Well Educated and Nobotheratall on 113 at the top of the 14-runner field. Micky Hammond and Becky Smith train and Alice Stevens rides.
5. Gaelic Glow · 14:27 Carlisle
The other qualifier from the 14:27 at Carlisle. Gaelic Glow has been backed from 6/1 to 3/1, with 21 of 23 bookmakers cutting. Sam England trains the five-year-old gelding, who carries 11st 5lb and is rated 104, and Jonathan England rides, with 17 winners from 90 rides at Carlisle since 2010, a 19% strike rate.
6. She Is For Me Boys · 14:50 Stratford
She Is For Me Boys has been backed from 6/1 to 10/3 for the Get A Free Trial Of Racing TV Now Mares’ Handicap Chase, a Challenger Mares’ Chase Series qualifier over two miles four furlongs and 205 yards, with 19 of 23 bookmakers cutting. Jamie Snowden has had 8 winners from 23 runners over the past 14 days, a 35% strike rate. The seven-year-old mare carries 10st 6lb and is the top-rated of the six declared on 138, a pound ahead of Bobbi’s Beauty on 137. Isabelle Ryder rides.
7. Emid’io Pepe · 12:40 Stratford
Emid’io Pepe is napped by BGTips.co.uk, the best-performing nap tipster over the past 28 days with 15 winners from 27, for the racingtv.com/freetrial “Chasing Excellence” Beginners’ Chase. The price has shortened from 8/11 to 8/15, a 12% move, and only two runners are declared. Harry Skelton has ridden 75 winners from 297 rides at Stratford since 2010, a 25% strike rate, and Dan Skelton trains the five-year-old gelding, who carries 11st 5lb.
8. Eastern Fire · 13:10 Stratford
Eastern Fire has three naps, from Whistler in the Sunday Telegraph, Lee Sobot at the Yorkshire Evening Post and Farringdon in the Morning Star, for the Stratford Extra Raceday “National Hunt” Maiden Hurdle over two miles and 70 yards. The price has shortened from 1/2 to 4/11. Harry Skelton rides, with 75 winners from 297 rides at Stratford since 2010, and Dan Skelton trains the five-year-old gelding, who carries 11st 5lb. Eastern Fire is the top-rated of the 13 declared on 119, with Emerald Tir next on 105.
9. Major Fortune · 13:40 Stratford
The most-napped horse of the day. Major Fortune has 10 naps, including Robin Goodfellow in the Daily Mail, Templegate in The Sun and Marlborough in the Daily Telegraph, and the price has shortened from 5/2 to 9/4 for the Jumps Look Better On Racing TV Handicap Chase, the same race as Sunshine Diamond. Dan Skelton trains the eight-year-old gelding and Harry Skelton rides at 11st 12lb. Major Fortune is rated 131, two pounds behind Glen To Glen and Sheldon on 133.
10. Lune Brillante · 14:15 Stratford
Lune Brillante is napped by Mercury in the Daily Post and Rob Wright in The Times for the Trailertrek Towbars Novices’ Hurdle over two miles six furlongs and 7 yards, and the price has shortened from 6/5 to 11/10. Dan Skelton trains the five-year-old mare and Harry Skelton rides at 11st 0lb. She is rated 124, ten pounds behind Padre Arthur on 134.
Whose NAP to trust
These are the nap tipsters with the best strike rate over the 28 days to Sunday 8 November, and their picks today. There are no ties for the top three places:
- BGTips.co.uk: 15 winners from 27 naps (56%). Today: Emid’io Pepe, 12:40 Stratford.
- Computeform (The Racing App): 13 winners from 28 naps (46%). Today: Dream Shadow, 14:50 Stratford.
- Lambourn (Racing Post): 11 winners from 26 naps (42%). Today: Apollon Forlonge, 15:55 Stratford.
Only Emid’io Pepe of those three picks makes the list: Apollon Forlonge qualifies but falls outside the ten-runner cap, and Dream Shadow has no second signal. The most-napped horse of the day is Major Fortune in the 13:40 at Stratford, with ten naps, and he is No. 9 on the list with the price shortening from 5/2 to 9/4. You can see every nap in Today’s Naps Table.
Biggest backed moves this morning
The three biggest market moves of the morning that are not on the Hot List all miss it because none has a second signal:
- Klassy Pearl (15:55 Stratford): 14/1 to 9/2, a 63% move.
- Petty Cash (13:40 Stratford): 10/1 to 9/2, a 50% move.
- Emerald Tir (13:10 Stratford): 20/1 to 11/1, a 43% move.
These are price movements, not recommendations.
How yesterday’s Hot List did
There was no Hot List over the weekend, so this is Friday’s Hot List, which had six runners and two of them won. Sea Warrior (6/5) disputed the lead at Fontwell, went on three out and went clear on the run-in to win comfortably, ten lengths ahead of Koenigsstern. Bragbor (6/1) was towards the rear at Newcastle, made headway from over two furlongs out and led towards the finish to beat Stoneacre Donny by half a length. List topper He’s A Latchico (12/1) was in rear and lost touch three out to finish eighth of eight at Fontwell, beaten around 48 lengths. Lynx De Thaix (11/4) led three out in the same race but had no extra on the run-in and was third, beaten around six lengths. Path Of Stars (13/2) made a mistake at Fontwell, dropped to last after three out and was the fourth and last finisher, beaten around 58 lengths, and Carolina Jetstream (11/4) had every chance over a furlong out in the Listed Cooley Fillies Stakes at Dundalk but had no extra and was fifth, beaten under two lengths. A £1 win bet on each at starting price returned £9.20 from £6 staked, a profit of £3.20. Past performance is not a guide to future results.
Prices checked at 08:40 GMT on Monday 9 November and subject to change. Market moves use median bookmaker prices; trainer form covers 26 October to 8 November; course and jockey records cover races since 1 January 2010.
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